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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: THE CHASE LOUNGE...
4getaboutit send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 11/7/2012 7:16:40 PM
Shady ur plays are off the spreadsheet?
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Hoyasaxa
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#77
Posted: 11/7/2012 7:53:57 PM

Lakers-Clippers seasonal chase 7-1 ATS so far...

Sorry been traveling for work the last few days...

Tonight you definitely want to follow our normal plan-Utah-3(how can they be favored this much vs LAL?) Exactly-they are that much better-the Lakers are a slow team and can't handle transition offenses on the road(remember Portland last week?) It's a trp,  people, don't let it bite...

Utah-3

Clippers are the exact opposite-someone posted earlier-how can SA be favored by only 2 after they beat LAC soundly last year incl the playoffs? Because tons of people are going to play it and the game above the wrong way-honestly, I could care-the Clips are a much better team this year, deeper, vs the even older Spurs...they've been thinking about this one all summer-hence the poor showings vs Cleveland and GS...the Clips are a great play vs good teams for now...GL

Clips +1.5

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#78
Posted: 11/7/2012 8:07:12 PM
1-2 ffs
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#79
Posted: 11/7/2012 8:14:26 PM

Good stuff Hoya, LAC vs Clev last game was look ahead to SA. The miami total moved 5 points on the over from opening, that's a lot of points man.

 

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#80
Posted: 11/7/2012 8:16:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

Lakers-Clippers seasonal chase 7-1 ATS so far...

Sorry been traveling for work the last few days...

Tonight you definitely want to follow our normal plan-Utah-3(how can they be favored this much vs LAL?) Exactly-they are that much better-the Lakers are a slow team and can't handle transition offenses on the road(remember Portland last week?) It's a trp,  people, don't let it bite...

Utah-3

Clippers are the exact opposite-someone posted earlier-how can SA be favored by only 2 after they beat LAC soundly last year incl the playoffs? Because tons of people are going to play it and the game above the wrong way-honestly, I could care-the Clips are a much better team this year, deeper, vs the even older Spurs...they've been thinking about this one all summer-hence the poor showings vs Cleveland and GS...the Clips are a great play vs good teams for now...GL

Clips +1.5


 I already locked in Spurs at -1.5...Should be a good game... BOL
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#81
Posted: 11/7/2012 8:19:47 PM

Haven't been tracking the BB SS just going off of Nads and Jonesin updating around here +2.5 dogs and +6.5 dogs going into tonight. Rely on Shady SS for the Bye trendz (Thx bud bye the way) and already know the good numbers to side on anyways by now in football.

 

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#82
Posted: 11/7/2012 8:51:14 PM
Hoya - do u tweet? Gotta handle? Tia
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#83
Posted: 11/7/2012 8:55:55 PM
Newfie, as someone said earlier in this thread. Trends happen in waves. I see HOME FAVORITES covering the next few weeks. DOGS have dominated this season, it's only natural that Vegas would adjust their line accordingly. I would imagine their goal at the end of the year is to have 50% favs and 50% dogs cover. Same for HOME and AWAY. Your thoughts?
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#84
Posted: 11/7/2012 8:55:57 PM
Yeah...I feel a little over reaction after the Det. Blowout....thus Dream Team is like All the others I.e Angels in April...not ready for prime time...Det.ain't no yardstick....
 
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#85
Posted: 11/7/2012 9:10:52 PM
Thanks Financialocks for what you wrote. I also started following this thread after the allstar break and was losing money before that. Since I found McShady , Semper , Newfie , Angle , Go Nads , Moth , Straight Wagers , Chips , Hoya , Air , s1 and everyone else I havent had to reload since. Seriously there are some incredible minds in here with statistics and taking time to find trends. Thanks again even if it ends now I want to thank Shady seriously for helping and wanting nothing in return.
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#86
Posted: 11/7/2012 9:27:12 PM
I would have reloaded about 5 times if not for finding McShady. He has taught me (us) the art of the chase. And discipline. I owe him a ton and he asks for nothing.
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#87
Posted: 11/7/2012 9:47:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bogey533:

Thanks Financialocks for what you wrote. I also started following this thread after the allstar break and was losing money before that. Since I found McShady , Semper , Newfie , Angle , Go Nads , Moth , Straight Wagers , Chips , Hoya , Air , s1 and everyone else I havent had to reload since. Seriously there are some incredible minds in here with statistics and taking time to find trends. Thanks again even if it ends now I want to thank Shady seriously for helping and wanting nothing in return.


I don't know about those other slackers but thanks.

Clips +2 hook I gotta believe they overlooked Cavs for this tilt also Over 203 hook if it's the game I think it is it will go over, GL McShady's crew
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#88
Posted: 11/7/2012 9:49:21 PM
Thanks.  But the truth is the truth.  There is a lot of talent in here and it's fun to see guys nail their picks.  It takes a lot of time to be good at cappin.  Shady and the guys in here are special.  It was a privilege to see capping at its best.  I love this lounge.  Beside seeing my kids when I get home from work, this lounge is what I look forward to.  You guys keep it up.
Best,
FL
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#89
Posted: 11/7/2012 10:00:13 PM
Warriors 1st half -2.5
Warrors -5
Golden State had a great preseason under Jackson and seeking thier 1st win at home and now face an average Cavs team off a huge upset win at Clips in the midst of a hideous road trip, give me Klay Thompson and Curry over Irving in Oaktown everyday
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#90
Posted: 11/7/2012 10:15:11 PM

just found this thread during the playoffs - just yesterday seemed like all was going well and now today all the bs. maybe the few that are left can continue it - moth, hoya , sw, newfie in their honor.

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#91
Posted: 11/7/2012 10:16:58 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Moth61:

Newfie, as someone said earlier in this thread. Trends happen in waves. I see HOME FAVORITES covering the next few weeks. DOGS have dominated this season, it's only natural that Vegas would adjust their line accordingly. I would imagine their goal at the end of the year is to have 50% favs and 50% dogs cover. Same for HOME and AWAY. Your thoughts?

I think it has more to do with the public fave and public dog, for vegas to lose their hat like that last week they will be getting it back, they need those 65-35% spread wins. The thing I have always preached is about the fave ML and parlays, if those suckers hit they pay huge, there were huge numbers of 5 & 6 parlay payouts last weekend ranging from 6-13000 grand apiece at some books. You may think the dog covers but your stronger lean is for the fave to at least win the game. Dogs are proper side to be on, back door cover cause they are trying to win, fave just gotta hold off enough to win. Besides, we are focusing on the 4.5, 7.5, 8.5, 10.5, 13.5 dogs (6.5 dogs in NCAAFB only) because those have historically hit on proline at higher rates >75% when posted there and we have -6.5 & 9.5 faves to jump on to get piece of that fave action. There are the 1.5 and 2.5 3.5 5.5 11.5 numbers we don't even look at playing, it may be most of those faves hit to take up a higher percentage of faves covering. All we are trying to do is refine to get the highest % of winners we want to be 65-35 for every 100 bets placed.

 

It's 70-22 set so far, next year it will be around same thing, now we know from day 1 which games to get on. Same thing going forward. Not gonna win them all might go 9-0 and then 4-7 youre still 13-7. I got greedy last weekend stepped outta my boundaries, that feeling that you can't be wrong 4 8.5's and first one loses I loaded up went 1-2 on last 3 lost 12 units and then chased good money after bad next day losing another 10. Last weekend was an outlier. But, I was a FG away in USC game after fumble inside 10 and end zone interception, OK ST threw interception in end zone in 4th 1/4, Either one of those hit and I get 4 parlays home both hit and it's 10 parlays or 8Grand. Like Shady sayz, knowing the trendz is good, knowing which ones to get on to win is better haha 

 

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#92
Posted: 11/7/2012 10:18:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by StraightWagers:



I don't know about those other slackers but thanks.

Clips +2 hook I gotta believe they overlooked Cavs for this tilt also Over 203 hook if it's the game I think it is it will go over, GL McShady's crew

 

haha

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#93
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:15:30 PM
Under 48.5 in Ohio game is $$$! Thanks McShady.
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#94
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:20:11 PM
he's the real slim Shady
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#95
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:31:32 PM
Hoyasaxa thanks for Jazz $$$.

StraightWagers thanks for Suns $$$.
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#96
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:38:17 PM
Thanks McShady, Hoya for under Ohio and jazz
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#97
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:44:15 PM
Missed the GS play- damnit! Nice hit anyway SW!
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#98
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:59:42 PM
thanks for the plays tonight guys! Great stuff  
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#99
Posted: 11/8/2012 12:12:53 AM
GN and GL, thank you Shady for letting me in the fold
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#100
Posted: 11/8/2012 12:38:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

NBA chase play Game 2 of 2. Phx -1 (I played ML at -150). I know it's juicy if you lost on Phx vs Mia recover loss. If not, you get a one-game chase play! You can take your chance on - 3 but not recommended. Playing the ML should almost be the same as buying 2 points.

I am keeping my early season chase plays small. This is my second  NBA chase. The first was on Denver and they won GM 2 of 2 ATS vs. Miami.

Looking to go 2-0!




Congrats to any who tailed me on my second NBA chase winner on Phx. Sorry for the nailbiter! I got scared when the lead went under 15. If you noticed, buying points was not necessary and was not necessary on my previous winner on Denver vs Miami.

I will have another chase play on Thurs! Let's keep this thread focused on winners as usual and thanks McShady for EVERYTHING YOU HAVE DONE! I got the hit on the under for B GREEN and bet BG +3 and under 48 teaser!
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