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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: THE CHASE LOUNGE...
awdamaddix send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#176
Posted: 10/31/2012 10:15:11 PM

taking dallas+6.5 2h

I have no faith in jazz, they suck

great hit shady!

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#177
Posted: 10/31/2012 10:48:44 PM
nice hit Mick
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#178
Posted: 10/31/2012 11:00:18 PM
spoke too soon whoa jazz
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#179
Posted: 11/1/2012 4:04:37 AM
Nice start to the NBA season McShady . Two easy under Game 1 winners . Followed you on both .
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#180
Posted: 11/1/2012 9:31:40 AM
@hoyas

Thx again. Tailed on clippers this time. 

My chases 2 win 2 pending. 


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#181
Posted: 11/1/2012 9:51:21 AM
mjnorman59 are you making a SS to track your chases? If so is it accessible?
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#182
Posted: 11/1/2012 10:06:12 AM
McShady I sent you a friend request so I could gain access to your spreadsheet. It was very helpful to me when it was public. Thanks!!
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#183
Posted: 11/1/2012 10:11:30 AM

not on the ss shady, 

but this is g1 week for texans after bye

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#184
Posted: 11/1/2012 10:28:32 AM
@awd

HOU v buffalo.  Both gm1 after I believe, so excluded. 

@ rand

No ss as yet. Was waiting to get a week or so in to have some trends to track.  Will have it built out in a week or so and will post if people are interested.  


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#185
Posted: 11/1/2012 10:35:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by awdamaddix:

not on the ss shady, 

but this is g1 week for texans after bye



Cmon bro. Im pretty sure you could have figured this one out?!
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#186
Posted: 11/1/2012 11:07:21 AM

doh!

I think I paid more attention to texans 

than bills. its about time to just read

and not post again, let alone make my own plays


covers blows on my phone

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#187
Posted: 11/1/2012 11:20:20 AM
Working on NBA/NCAAB SetLine spreadsheet, so far have:

+6.5 is 3-1 with 1 ML winner
+2.5 is 3-0 with 2 ML winners

Other numbers are 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 so no point in posting.  There is certainly not enough data yet to be playing these.  If anyone else (Shady, Newfie?) is keeping this data, let me know and I'll scrap mine.
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#188
Posted: 11/1/2012 11:33:01 AM
That's 2 now for the undertaker! Great job Shady!

Thanks to Moth for lakers fade!

Also to Hoyasaxa for lakers fade and play on LAC!

Anything for tonite other than W Kentucky from Trendz? I have KC +8.
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#189
Posted: 11/1/2012 11:44:20 AM
@Go_Nads
Where do u find the set line numbers for NBA? I only see football on the link that was posted several days ago.

http://sportselect.wclc.com/lists/

Is there basketball there or am I missing it?
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#190
Posted: 11/1/2012 11:45:45 AM
@Go_Nads

Is OKC a +2.5 on the set line?
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#191
Posted: 11/1/2012 11:58:51 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

@Go_Nads
Where do u find the set line numbers for NBA? I only see football on the link that was posted several days ago.

http://sportselect.wclc.com/lists/

Is there basketball there or am I missing it?

Doesn't look like they have any up for today.  Last 2 days NBA was in the same spot where the football ones have always been.

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#192
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:18:16 PM
Thx for the info Nads.
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#193
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:44:52 PM
Reliable source. western Ky under 54 tonight. Just a thought !!
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#194
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:55:51 PM
has anyone used this chase before? Stolen from across the street.

NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS


THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.

RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games.
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
6. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.

* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series

BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)

First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... ????????

EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, PHO

1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win

The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.

Comments: The system will start in Jan and go thru Apr with Apr being optional. During full seasons I usually stop at the end of March. I will consider no plays after the middle of Apr.


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#195
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:59:45 PM
Angle out, GL everyone. I have W Kentucky-8 and KC +8
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#196
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:49:18 PM

a trend for KC tonight pre 2012:

in games 9 -12, 9 -2 with revenge vs an opponent off BB straight up losses.

Coach Crennel is 8 -1 away vs opp off BB straight up losses

However, In the month of November KC is 15-24 ATS vs Division and SD is 20 - 20.

 

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#197
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:52:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hotdog642:

has anyone used this chase before? Stolen from across the street.

NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS


THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.

RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games.
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
6. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.

* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series

BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)

First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... ????????

EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, PHO

1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win

The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.

Comments: The system will start in Jan and go thru Apr with Apr being optional. During full seasons I usually stop at the end of March. I will consider no plays after the middle of Apr.



hmmm......
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#198
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:56:46 PM
Something about tonight's game scares me. It's a division revenge game, SD playing like crap. Huge pointspead. When too many factors say KC, then I may think about going the other way.
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#199
Posted: 11/1/2012 2:00:33 PM
Sorry to be a "Debbie Downer" but systems like thats are for gamblers that dont know sports...too risky, time consuming & mininal profits. If you cant nail a Chase concept down to 3 games. You shouldnt be Chasing
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#200
Posted: 11/1/2012 2:08:36 PM
Rivers is my backup QB for FF and he is awwwful
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