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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: THE CHASE LOUNGE...
FPC send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#126
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:06:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by schiman:

Jattdoit /GoNads -

Interesting trend.  I have SBR closing lines:
Weeks 9-17, 2009/10/11:
2.5 road fav: 6-1
3    road fav: 18-9
3.5 road fav: 10-4

Even breaking down by year, it's 3 consistent years of profit without a single losing trend.

Food for thought....
good info.  I wonder if we can go back further?
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#127
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:54:39 PM
Good work Schiman as always
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#128
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:56:06 PM

Are there any strong plays tonight?

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#129
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:06:24 PM

4 team RR to start the season

Under 91 Wash - Clev

Under 87 Boston - Miami

Boston + 7

Over 86 Dallas - L.A,L

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#130
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:14:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

@Go_Nads

Can u please run a query on which teams have not lost a 13pt teaser in NFL this year? Last year after about half of the season there were at least 5 or 6 and I did well with that. Sometimes one would play the other or be on the bye week which left only 4 teams which is the number of teams for a 13pt teaser.

Angle, sorry somehow I glossed over your post.

So I took a look at it looks like there is no team that meets the criteria (haven't lost a 13 point teaser this year)

The query is: season=2012 and ats margin >= 13

And it has been done 38 times this year:

Arizona Weeks 2, 3
Atlanta Weeks 1, 3, 8
Baltimore week 1
Buffalo Week 2
Chicago Weeks 4, 5
Cincinnati Week 4
Denver weeks 4, 8
Green Bay Week 6
Miami weeks 2, 8
Minnesota Weeks 3, 5
New England Weeks 1, 4, 8
NY Giants Weeks 3, 6
NY Jets Weeks 1, 6
San Diego Weeks 2, 4
Seattle Week 2
San Francisco Weeks 1, 4, 5, 8
St. Louis Week 5
Tampa Bay Weeks 6, 8
Houston Weeks 2, 7
Washington Weeks 1, 6
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#131
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:20:16 PM

Good luck to all that have action on the Association tonight. Let the marathon begin.

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#132
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:47:28 PM

I suggest 2 Chases-

A) Fade Lakers as they will need plenty of time to get used to their new offense and each other but the public is all over them so there's even more value than normal fading them. Nash and Kobe will miss games, weak bench-everyone wants to beat them..

B) Chase On Clippers-undervalued right now but not as much later-deep bench, Billups comes back-they should go over Season Win Total of 49.5-get some of that by tomorrow night...Jordan and Griffin have been working on outside shooting too-if either can do more than slam, look OUT...

I will bet more each time either fails up to 3 games, maybe 4...

GL and thanks for all your work elsewhere...I live in LA and I know these teams very well.

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#133
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:04:50 PM
I see I missed smu shady, nice spreadsheet bud
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#134
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:12:52 PM
Roscoe helped fill the gaps
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#135
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:13:43 PM
SDQL help

Wanted to see record of team playing game 2 of a b2b against a conference or division opponent off at least 1 day of rest.  

Would be live on Dallas v utah and lakers v portland tomorrow.  
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#136
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:15:37 PM
Newfie

Any pro line numbers worth watching in NBA?
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#137
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:32:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mjnorman59:

Newfie

Any pro line numbers worth watching in NBA?

I have no stats from previous years only my recollection that 4-9 pt dogs are heavy ML winners in CBB and there are times when set lines on nights are 2.5 on dog and live lines move to +7 and those dogs win outright. I never place a bet in nba if public is all over it. I find nba to be most fixed sport out there 
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#138
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:38:25 PM
Thx Newfie. 
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#139
Posted: 10/30/2012 9:47:35 PM

I find nba to be most fixed sport out there 

horseracing and boxing...then NBA

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#140
Posted: 10/30/2012 9:55:30 PM
How boring...G1 winner!


Sixers u199 for tmrw G1. Please take note. I dont watch NBA or know anything about it. Just #'s....
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#141
Posted: 10/30/2012 9:56:27 PM
, Been a while since I've posted here, but I felt I need to share this with my dog lovers. Top 5 win (straight-up) percentages as an underdog last year (minimum 30 games as a dog):

Indiana (50%)
Phoenix (42%)
Houston (39%)
LA Clippers (38%)
Boston (37%)

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#142
Posted: 10/30/2012 10:19:37 PM
Thanks StraightWagers for the easy over play and over TT in the Celts game!
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#143
Posted: 10/30/2012 10:50:38 PM
yes sir

take over 94 1st half Mavs/LA
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#144
Posted: 10/30/2012 11:24:31 PM
I like the Chase but it assumes you lose...I don't lose
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#145
Posted: 10/30/2012 11:36:53 PM
A G1 win in a chase is always the best. As Semper said so many times this summer, "G1 winner -be back in a few days!"

What totals do you like tomorrow SW?
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#146
Posted: 10/30/2012 11:43:24 PM

 NBA Morrison Chase System starts tomorrow with Denver +2 @ Philly, Orlando and Miami.

I will be playing TheLimts 7/5 Method.

BOL

 

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#147
Posted: 10/30/2012 11:59:33 PM
over 46 3rd qtr Mavs.LAL
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#148
Posted: 10/31/2012 1:30:35 AM

Thanks SW for bos tt and over


Im taking dallas against jazz. +8.5

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#149
Posted: 10/31/2012 1:51:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

How boring...G1 winner!


Sixers u199 for tmrw G1. Please take note. I dont watch NBA or know anything about it. Just #'s....
Great start 
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#150
Posted: 10/31/2012 2:50:45 AM
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