MLB Playoffs : Tuesday

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: MLB Playoffs : Tuesday
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:26:29 AM

2012 Playoffs : 8-5-0 +70.48 units

San Francisco Giants +132 (14 units to win 18.48)

Over the last two seasons, Vogelsong is 13-8 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in starts following a team loss.  In these 26 starts, Vogelsong has only allowed more than 3 earned runs in three of those starts.  Here is a breakdown of the earned runs he has allowed in these situations:

0 - 2

1 - 9

2 - 8

3 - 4

4 - 2

5 - 1

Bailey is basically off a no hitter given he only three 4 innings in his last start, but even if you shrug off the post-no hitter curse, then he is on back to back shutout.  Capping this game in simplest form, I just don't see how Bailey doesn't give up a bunch and that should be plenty for Vogelsong. 

SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:28:26 AM

** update, got a better line **

San Francisco Giants +134 (14 units to win 18.76)

Zmoney21 PM Zmoney21
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:28:30 AM
giants 1 run the whole series Vogelsong collapsing last couple months Reds will dominate once again tomorrow
einyx PM einyx
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:40:03 AM
Like the play  Definitely value in the better pitcher. No way I'd lay juice in the playoffs on Homer Bailey
Consilience PM Consilience
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:48:36 AM
The fraudulent bats of the Giants concern me. It doesn't take Cy Young to silence these wimps. Good luck, need to look further.
ihavenopatience PM ihavenopatience
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Posted: 10/9/2012 2:55:33 AM

I think the real concern for the Giants isnt if Vogelsong will pitch well and i am not doubting your statistics but whether or not the Giants can produce runs.

quanza PM quanza
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Posted: 10/9/2012 3:31:09 AM
I live in the bay area and follow the giants...even for a die hard fan like myself, I'm very pessimistic about this game.
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53percent PM 53percent
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Posted: 10/9/2012 6:57:35 AM
 Based on the immediate comments sf will be a large play for me!
yamda PM yamda
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Posted: 10/9/2012 8:14:01 AM
 Thanks for the writeup Spaz! On SF today
neander100 PM neander100
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Posted: 10/9/2012 8:43:09 AM
good luck spaz, no way can I back giants bats.
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g37mt6 PM g37mt6
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Posted: 10/9/2012 9:13:40 PM
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/9/2012 9:16:54 PM
Didn't get to see who everyone was on before making a play today.. but I'm glad to see we were in agreement with this play.  Let's lock em down in the bottom of the 10th.
nepatriots_12 PM nepatriots_12
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Posted: 10/9/2012 9:23:49 PM
Louis_IV PM Louis_IV
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Posted: 10/9/2012 9:46:22 PM
nice hit spazzola
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
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Posted: 10/9/2012 11:56:52 PM
thanks fellas, figured Bailey for a few more runs, but Vogelsong and the pen delivered.  Looking over tomorrow's games now
estes1717 PM estes1717
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Posted: 10/9/2012 11:59:30 PM
 MR Spazattack
Forum: MLB Betting
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