Postseason - MLB Breakdown Sheets

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Postseason - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/7/2012 1:36:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by roondog248:

I feel pretty good about backing Wainwright...espically at an EV moneline

Cardinals love lefties too.  How many times have the St. Louis hitters seen Gio?  He's a pitcher that gets much easier to hit with experience.  I don't know the answer to this, but it would be the first thing I looked up before locking in on the Cardinals.  
roondog248 PM roondog248
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Posted: 10/7/2012 1:39:06 PM
Do you think the Cards 1st 5innings would be a better bet here?

Cards have a better BA vs L  than WAS does vs. Righties.
and Was has the bullpen advantage, 
roondog248 PM roondog248
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Posted: 10/7/2012 1:40:57 PM
Gio shut them out on 8/31/12 as a SP. 
5t4r5align PM 5t4r5align
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Posted: 10/7/2012 1:47:54 PM
Gio tends to struggle more with his control on the road from what I've seen and I'm pretty sure his metrics would confirm.  When I've backed him, its been on the road (when he is cheaper) and every f'n inning is 
roondog248 PM roondog248
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Posted: 10/7/2012 1:56:40 PM
In that same game the Nationals scored 6 runs in 3 inning on wainwright...maybe over 7 is the play here, darn.
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/8/2012 4:29:53 PM
Monday, October 8th's games uploaded.  Sorry for the late post today.. Monday mornings I dedicate to updating my NFL databases and running the RPI calculations.
nepatriots_12 PM nepatriots_12
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Posted: 10/8/2012 4:31:29 PM
Any plays today Silly?
phat03 PM phat03
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Posted: 10/8/2012 4:36:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Cardinals love lefties too.  How many times have the St. Louis hitters seen Gio?  He's a pitcher that gets much easier to hit with experience.  I don't know the answer to this, but it would be the first thing I looked up before locking in on the Cardinals.  


I agree 100%....
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/8/2012 4:48:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nepatriots_12:

Any plays today Silly?

Strongest lean is on the Cardinals but ultimately I decided to pass.  The Yankees/Baltimore line is spot on.
cardifkill PM cardifkill
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Posted: 10/8/2012 4:59:01 PM
NYBUILT PM NYBUILT
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Posted: 10/8/2012 6:24:23 PM
Yanks ML....bro
telemaco22 PM telemaco22
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Posted: 10/8/2012 6:30:49 PM

syll what is the play on yankees, balt game.

si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/8/2012 6:56:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by telemaco22:

syll what is the play on yankees, balt game.


No play.  The line is perfect in my eyes.  No reason to bet against the house.
carlos1321 PM carlos1321
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Posted: 10/8/2012 7:40:24 PM
hey si1ly was wondering if you would accept my friends request.. would like to follow yoour post figure it be easier for me this way.. nice hit ealiers bet..
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/9/2012 3:58:31 PM
Today's games added.  Strong lean to the Giant tonight.  Also leaning on the under in Oakland.
eknilb PM eknilb
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Posted: 10/10/2012 12:09:36 AM
you should really play more leans. it's all hitting lol
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/10/2012 10:24:50 AM
October 10th's games added.

Carpenter hasn't pitched enough innings to produce a reliable breakdown.. but I don't think I would have played the game anyways.  Slight lean to the under if anything.  Carp is a playoff vet and Jackson was one of the best second half pitchers in the MLB.

Looking hard at the Yankees today.
roondog248 PM roondog248
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Posted: 10/10/2012 10:41:55 AM
TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 10/10/2012 10:57:32 AM
Tigers look to have serious value today based on your sheets.
kikkoman10 PM kikkoman10
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Posted: 10/10/2012 11:08:36 AM
 Thx
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 10/10/2012 11:13:12 AM
good luck on the Yanks play. I was considering them but way to high and I refuse to playing Yanks game s on the RL lost too many over the past few years. They oddly produce the most 1 run wins.
Codearmani PM Codearmani
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Posted: 10/10/2012 11:48:41 AM
Hi silly-

Where can i find the plays ? 
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/10/2012 12:00:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani:

Hi silly-

Where can i find the plays ? 

Haven't locked in anything yet.  Still debating what to do with the Yankees and Tigers.  I'll start a separate thread for any official plays like I usually do.

Codearmani PM Codearmani
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Posted: 10/10/2012 12:11:31 PM
Ahh okay, im sorry :)

What do you think about stl TT under 3.5? I am leaning that way myself
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/10/2012 12:22:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani:

Ahh okay, im sorry :)

What do you think about stl TT under 3.5? I am leaning that way myself

No value at this number.  I think that's a pretty fair team total for them today.  There are better bets out there I think.  But I'm not really the one to ask advice on team totals.  I hardly ever play them because the margin of error is so great.  Weeble knows a thing or two about TT. 
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