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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Postseason - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 10/7/2012 1:36:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by roondog248:

I feel pretty good about backing Wainwright...espically at an EV moneline

Cardinals love lefties too.  How many times have the St. Louis hitters seen Gio?  He's a pitcher that gets much easier to hit with experience.  I don't know the answer to this, but it would be the first thing I looked up before locking in on the Cardinals.  
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#27
Posted: 10/7/2012 1:39:06 PM
Do you think the Cards 1st 5innings would be a better bet here?

Cards have a better BA vs L  than WAS does vs. Righties.
and Was has the bullpen advantage, 
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#28
Posted: 10/7/2012 1:40:57 PM
Gio shut them out on 8/31/12 as a SP. 
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#29
Posted: 10/7/2012 1:47:54 PM
Gio tends to struggle more with his control on the road from what I've seen and I'm pretty sure his metrics would confirm.  When I've backed him, its been on the road (when he is cheaper) and every f'n inning is 
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#30
Posted: 10/7/2012 1:56:40 PM
In that same game the Nationals scored 6 runs in 3 inning on wainwright...maybe over 7 is the play here, darn.
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#31
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:29:53 PM
Monday, October 8th's games uploaded.  Sorry for the late post today.. Monday mornings I dedicate to updating my NFL databases and running the RPI calculations.
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#32
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:31:29 PM
Any plays today Silly?
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#33
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:36:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Cardinals love lefties too.  How many times have the St. Louis hitters seen Gio?  He's a pitcher that gets much easier to hit with experience.  I don't know the answer to this, but it would be the first thing I looked up before locking in on the Cardinals.  


I agree 100%....
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#34
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:48:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nepatriots_12:

Any plays today Silly?

Strongest lean is on the Cardinals but ultimately I decided to pass.  The Yankees/Baltimore line is spot on.
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#35
Posted: 10/8/2012 4:59:01 PM
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#36
Posted: 10/8/2012 6:24:23 PM
Yanks ML....bro
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#37
Posted: 10/8/2012 6:30:49 PM

syll what is the play on yankees, balt game.

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#38
Posted: 10/8/2012 6:56:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by telemaco22:

syll what is the play on yankees, balt game.


No play.  The line is perfect in my eyes.  No reason to bet against the house.
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#39
Posted: 10/8/2012 7:40:24 PM
hey si1ly was wondering if you would accept my friends request.. would like to follow yoour post figure it be easier for me this way.. nice hit ealiers bet..
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#40
Posted: 10/9/2012 3:58:31 PM
Today's games added.  Strong lean to the Giant tonight.  Also leaning on the under in Oakland.
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#41
Posted: 10/10/2012 12:09:36 AM
you should really play more leans. it's all hitting lol
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#42
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:24:50 AM
October 10th's games added.

Carpenter hasn't pitched enough innings to produce a reliable breakdown.. but I don't think I would have played the game anyways.  Slight lean to the under if anything.  Carp is a playoff vet and Jackson was one of the best second half pitchers in the MLB.

Looking hard at the Yankees today.
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#43
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:41:55 AM
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#44
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:57:32 AM
Tigers look to have serious value today based on your sheets.
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#45
Posted: 10/10/2012 11:08:36 AM
 Thx
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#46
Posted: 10/10/2012 11:13:12 AM
good luck on the Yanks play. I was considering them but way to high and I refuse to playing Yanks game s on the RL lost too many over the past few years. They oddly produce the most 1 run wins.
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#47
Posted: 10/10/2012 11:48:41 AM
Hi silly-

Where can i find the plays ? 
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#48
Posted: 10/10/2012 12:00:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani:

Hi silly-

Where can i find the plays ? 

Haven't locked in anything yet.  Still debating what to do with the Yankees and Tigers.  I'll start a separate thread for any official plays like I usually do.

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#49
Posted: 10/10/2012 12:11:31 PM
Ahh okay, im sorry :)

What do you think about stl TT under 3.5? I am leaning that way myself
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#50
Posted: 10/10/2012 12:22:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani:

Ahh okay, im sorry :)

What do you think about stl TT under 3.5? I am leaning that way myself

No value at this number.  I think that's a pretty fair team total for them today.  There are better bets out there I think.  But I'm not really the one to ask advice on team totals.  I hardly ever play them because the margin of error is so great.  Weeble knows a thing or two about TT. 
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