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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Postseason - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#1 Posted: 10/6/2012 11:53:04 AM COPY & PASTE THE URL BELOW: Primary https://docs.google.com/folder/d/0B8gd-be68XCvcThxV0dtXzBENlE/edit Mirror 1 https://docs.google.com/folder/d/0B8gd-be68XCvZmMyd0J2MzUzd3M/edit
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9291 Location: Virginia	#2 Posted: 10/6/2012 12:00:37 PM
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tinfoils	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jun 2002 Posts: 34951 Location:	#3 Posted: 10/6/2012 12:40:04 PM
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Kaka123	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 2404 Location:	#4 Posted: 10/6/2012 12:45:34 PM
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vegaslover	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2007 Posts: 3386 Location: United States	#5 Posted: 10/6/2012 12:54:18 PM Sill, you playing the DET Over?
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vegaslover	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2007 Posts: 3386 Location: United States	#6 Posted: 10/6/2012 12:54:46 PM Also, really like OAK, thoughts? I know your sheet disagrees.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#7 Posted: 10/6/2012 12:58:50 PM Well, my sheet shows that Oakland game is at fair value. I think Vegas has set very tight lines on both sides today. Slight lean to the Giants because Cinci has such a poor offense against righties. Even though the model shows some value on the Oakland over.. with both bullpens at full disposal and Verlander capable of going 8 IP without blinking.. I think the 7.5 line is pretty reasonable. I'm laying off this game entirely. If I made a play today, it would be on the Giants, but even that line is tough. There will be better opportunities in the coming weeks.
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ShadowWarrior	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Nov 2002 Posts: 6346 Location: Hawaii	#8 Posted: 10/6/2012 1:04:32 PM Thank you Si1ly.
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dimeplayer68	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Feb 2009 Posts: 7888 Location:	#9 Posted: 10/6/2012 1:23:07 PM
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RLeith35	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 418 Location: United States	#10 Posted: 10/6/2012 1:27:48 PM Si i ly, I tried to copy & paste both & said folder is empty? Am i doing something wrong?
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#11 Posted: 10/6/2012 1:34:29 PM I only have the Play-In games uploaded. I'll be adding games to the appropriate folder as the playoffs progress. Since Covers removed the hyperlink feature, I'll just keep this thread active and I'll have the rest of the playoffs posted in the subfolders. Feel free to bookmark one of the two links (they will both contain the same information).
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#12 Posted: 10/6/2012 3:56:17 PM AWESOME !!
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coachwbb	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Caesars Palace \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2012 Posts: 26 Location: California	#13 Posted: 10/6/2012 4:30:50 PM Thanks si1ly....I don't post much but really enjoy reading your sheets and thoughts. No accounting for a team playing very well right now (A's)? Good luck.
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jezhead	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2004 Posts: 3642 Location: Ontario	#14 Posted: 10/6/2012 4:33:46 PM
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#15 Posted: 10/6/2012 5:05:34 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by coachwbb: Thanks si1ly....I don't post much but really enjoy reading your sheets and thoughts. No accounting for a team playing very well right now (A's)? Good luck. The models factor play over the last 30 days... but it has minimal impact on the result. I have the model weighted heavily towards full season data. I've found the results to be more accurate the larger the sample size. I think the lines tonight are at fair value.. books got these ones nailed.
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keepitstrict	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
All-Star Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 11113 Location: Ontario	#16 Posted: 10/6/2012 5:08:14 PM
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#17 Posted: 10/6/2012 5:40:41 PM know it was 3 months ago but on 6/28 & 6/29 5 runs were scored on cain 2 being homers 3 runs were scored on cueto in 7 innings. do you think this data can be factored into this game?
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telemaco22	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 811 Location:	#18 Posted: 10/6/2012 5:59:35 PM so oaklan is the play?
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#19 Posted: 10/6/2012 6:05:18 PM I placed a small wager on oakland RL
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telemaco22	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 811 Location:	#20 Posted: 10/6/2012 6:09:13 PM sorry siil but i check in the doc web site and say the the folder are empty. so what is the play in oaklan-detroit game.
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#21 Posted: 10/6/2012 6:09:55 PM Holy garbage.. CoCo Crisp HomeRun
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#22 Posted: 10/6/2012 6:13:48 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by telemaco22: sorry siil but i check in the doc web site and say the the folder are empty. so what is the play in oaklan-detroit game. Si1ly posted his thoughts in post #7 and the folder is Play-In Games which is in post #11
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#23 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:06:53 PM Today's games updated and I moved yesterday's games to the proper folder. Don't know where my head was putting them in the play-in games. Today I like the Cardinals and the Reds.
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#24 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:31:24 PM
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#25 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:32:22 PM I feel pretty good about backing Wainwright...espically at an EV moneline
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