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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 8/22 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 8/22/2012 9:51:50 AM


8-22





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#2
Posted: 8/22/2012 9:52:44 AM
Thank you! Any early locks mate?
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#3
Posted: 8/22/2012 9:56:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Astrocreep:

Thank you! Any early locks mate?

Not yet.  I've got a busy morning at the office.  Won't be around much until this afternoon.

Milwaukee obviously looks good.  Ripe for a moneyline parlay.

Kansas City is getting no respect from the oddsmakers.. Tampa might be a decent early play given how well Shields has been pitching.  Not sure if I want to back Tampa after getting 2-hit though.


Not a great looking card altogether.  I'm going to take things slow again today.  Probably won't end up with a very large card.
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#4
Posted: 8/22/2012 10:00:19 AM
You have the Angels playing the Tigers.  Pretty impressive since they're playing the Sox right now.  They must really be athletic to play in two places at once. 
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#5
Posted: 8/22/2012 10:01:28 AM
hi silly any thoughts on the under on the rays game thanks
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#6
Posted: 8/22/2012 10:08:10 AM
Afternoon Plays

Tampa Bay Under
Seattle ML

BOL Silly 
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#7
Posted: 8/22/2012 10:17:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sicknesscity:

You have the Angels playing the Tigers.  Pretty impressive since they're playing the Sox right now.  They must really be athletic to play in two places at once. 


Thanks.  One man operation, it's easy to make mistakes that go unchecked.  Fixed it.

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#8
Posted: 8/22/2012 10:18:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tryme1234:

hi silly any thoughts on the under on the rays game thanks

Why not?  Both offenses are anemic right now.  Shields has been terrific.  Both bullpens are fresh too.
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#9
Posted: 8/22/2012 10:22:46 AM
You have LeBlanc as a Righty for MIA vs ARI. That particular breakdown is WAY off due to the fact that ARI kills lefties especially at home.
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#10
Posted: 8/22/2012 10:27:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dereksutton:

You have LeBlanc as a Righty for MIA vs ARI. That particular breakdown is WAY off due to the fact that ARI kills lefties especially at home.

Thanks.  Just uploaded a revised version with LeBlanc correctly labeled as a lefty.  You were right, the correction boosted the line 34 cents in Arizona's favor.

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#11
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:05:32 AM
TOP 30 PITCHERS LAST 30 DAYS:
(UPDATED THROUGH GAMES PLAYED 8/19)

#01 Jordan Zimmermann (28)
#02 David Price (25)
#03 Madison Bumgarner (20)
#03 Kris Medlen (7)
#05 Johnny Cueto (35)
#05 Adam Wainwright (15)
#07 J.A. Happ (88) 
#08 Hiroki Kuroda (51)
#09 Max Scherzer (32)
#10 Clayton Kershaw (22)
#11 James Shields (37)
#12 R.A. Dickey (6)
#13 Doug Fister (17)
#14 Wade Miley (33)
#15 Patrick Corbin (69)
#16 CC Sabathia (21)
#17 Alex Cobb (47)
#18 Matt Moore (125)
#19 Justin Verlander (12)
#20 Stephen Strasburg (4)
#21 Mark Rogers (5)
#22 Chris Capuano (55)
#23 Roy Halladay (23)
#24 Felix Hernandez (23)
#25 Rick Porcello (82)
#26 Mike Fiers (13)
#27 David Phelps (113)
#28 A.J. Griffin (68)
#29 Cliff Lee (19)
#30 Paul Maholm (91)
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#12
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:05:52 AM
BOTTOM 30 PITCHERS LAST 30 DAYS:
(UPDATED THROUGH GAMES PLAYED 8/19)

#135 Edinson Volquez (158)
#136 Kip Wells (211)
#137 Nathan Eovaldi (171)
#138 Travis Wood (207)
#139 Ricky Romero (200)
#140 John Lannan (184)
#141 Corey Kluber (142)
#142 Aaron Cook (189)
#143 Wandy Rodriguez (132)
#144 Garrett Richards (194)
#144 Franklin Morales (71)
#146 Mark Buehrle (112)
#147 Alex White (167)
#147 Ross Ohlendorf (212)
#147 Nick Blackburn (198)
#150 Luke Hochevar (137)
#151 Henderson Alvarez (176)
#151 Gavin Floyd (154)
#153 Brooks Raley (206)
#154 Dan Haren (101)
#155 Samuel Deduno (236)
#156 Chris Young (187)
#157 Stephen Fife (244)
#158 Dallas Keuchel (214)
#159 Aaron Laffey (173)
#160 Chris Seddon (215)
#161 Josh Beckett (126)
#162 Jonathan Sanchez (225)
#163 Armando Galarraga (219)
#164 Philip Humber (189)
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#13
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:08:51 AM
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#14
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:12:50 AM
Anyone notice that the Rays have 4 pitchers in the top 20 over the last 30 days!?  No wonder they've been hot.  By the way, Shields pitches today against a very average Kansas City starter.  Shields numbers have been nothing short of spectacular the last 30 days.
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#15
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:18:53 AM
I'm going to try my luck with another parlay with the Rays.  I hope my stubbornness doesn't get the best of me.


Locked in:

Parlay - Tampa Bay Rays ML & Milwaukee Brewers ML (+112)
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#16
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:32:56 AM
si1ly, thanks again for the great sheets and the excellent picks. You are amazing

Would you be open to the idea of one of us (I guess I'm volunteering) to mirror your sheets to another google account as long as a link is posted in this thread? I always check in the morning before work and it works fine, but when I go on break and check again several hours later I frequently get the "too many users viewing" error message.


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#17
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:34:46 AM
with you on this parlay  
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#18
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:35:02 AM
Yesterday's extra inning loss was tough.  Price was terrific.  It was not a bad parlay.  Hopefully today will be different.  GL!
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#19
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:40:51 AM
What is the site for baseball lineups?  Espn is showing no Soriano today for the Cubs?
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#20
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:54:25 AM
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#21
Posted: 8/22/2012 11:57:35 AM
Love the Brew Crew today.  And in that park with those bullpens, the over is on my radar too.

I don't trust the Rays to cover a run line against an under-rated KC team though.  Under at the Trop might be the play for me
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#22
Posted: 8/22/2012 12:01:18 PM

2:10pm Cubs (T. Wood - L) @ Brewers (Y. Gallardo - R)
Gametime Forecast: 79°F • Sunny • 10%PoP
1. David DeJesus (L) LF
2. Luis Valbuena (L) 3B
3. Starlin Castro (R) SS
4. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
5. Bryan LaHair (L) RF
6. Steve Clevenger (L) C
7. Brett Jackson (L) CF
8. Darwin Barney (R) 2B
9. Travis Wood (R) P

1. Norichika Aoki (L) RF
2. Rickie Weeks (R) 2B
3. Ryan Braun (R) LF
4. Aramis Ramirez (R) 3B
5. Corey Hart (R) 1B
6. Martin Maldonado (R) C
7. Carlos Gomez (R) CF
8. Cody Ransom (R) SS
9. Yovani Gallardo (R) P

TY Hammer for providing this to me.

Confirms no Soriano

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#23
Posted: 8/22/2012 12:02:50 PM
Do you worry about Medlen having only 4 starts or are in as confident in him as your numbers suggest?
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#24
Posted: 8/22/2012 12:06:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TurnstoneMoney:

Do you worry about Medlen having only 4 starts or are in as confident in him as your numbers suggest?

Yeah, his data can't be trusted completely yet.  He's off to a great start though.  Probably shouldn't be faded until at least we know more about him.
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#25
Posted: 8/22/2012 12:10:57 PM

 you da man Si1ly

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