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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: UNDERDOG SYSTEM
Denverb send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#51
Posted: 4/12/2012 2:44:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by qbbearcat:

I like the idea behind this system but seems like it would be hard to keep making a profit in the long run unless you keep avoiding sweeps.  As an example if you hit your first 6 series all on the first game and go up 6U or so...if that 7th series is a sweep you lose 7U and then all your profits go away.  It's great if you can keep avoiding sweeps but my only point is it doesn't take very many to make your profits disappear quickly.


This is partly true you just have to have the bankroll and the balls to make it work.

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#52
Posted: 4/12/2012 2:45:31 PM
Semperfi19,

Let me get this straight you lost Seattle in the first game so did you come back with them the next game and double you play to make a profit?  If they lose the second game do you just try to get even or make a profit in the final game?  Thank you if you can clarify the system already for your plays this year.
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#53
Posted: 4/12/2012 3:21:44 PM
I like it I'll follow along  BOL
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#54
Posted: 4/13/2012 10:00:50 AM

Can't wait to see your series picks for the weekend! 

I like the early leans on the A's, Angels, and Brewers.

BOL

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#55
Posted: 4/13/2012 10:06:11 AM
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#56
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:32:03 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BigWaveDave:

Semperfi19,

Remember you from the other site that a previous member here went to.................
What was the record for the chases last season??

Good Luck and continued success this year and beyond.

 

Big Wave,

LY was profitbable....I do not sell my picks so I did not keep exact records nor did I post all my plays from last year.   As you know posting takes time and I did not post all my plays so me putting up my undocumented record would be pointless.  It would open me up to way too much scrutiny and I am not going there. 

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#57
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:37:08 AM
Dial'em up Semperfi
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semperfi19 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#58
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:43:09 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by qbbearcat:

I like the idea behind this system but seems like it would be hard to keep making a profit in the long run unless you keep avoiding sweeps.  As an example if you hit your first 6 series all on the first game and go up 6U or so...if that 7th series is a sweep you lose 7U and then all your profits go away.  It's great if you can keep avoiding sweeps but my only point is it doesn't take very many to make your profits disappear quickly.

You are correct.  Like Denverb said there is a money management side to this as well.  Several times last year I did not play the game 3 based on the first two games.  That third bet is a girl for sure.  I like to try and avoid BET 3 like the plague.  So I really focus on games 1&2 in every series. Game 3 bets takes big balls for sure. Good Luck.

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#59
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:55:37 AM

YTD SERIES RECORD  5-0 + 530

OVERALL    5-3

Straight plays  0-2, -100

Let's move to Series #6 and #7.

#6  LA Angels  +145..  Bet 1....100 to win 145....If this goes to a bet 2, the Angels will most likely be a fav with CJ Wilson vs Hughes, so get ready to lay the juice if necessary.  Game 3 Willams vs Nova the Yanks will be favored and I like the match up there.   

#7  Indians  +115....Bet 1  100 to win 115....Love the game 2 and 3 matchups if needed.  Game 3 the Tribe might be fav as well.

 

May add 1 or 2 later...Good Luck Boys!

THunter (R)
at Tor
BMorrow (R)
JHammel (R)
at Tor
HAlvarez (R)
BMatusz (L)
at Tor
KDrabek (R)

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#60
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:58:11 AM
love it!!! stay in the fight!!!!
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#61
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:00:30 PM
The bottom of my thread has something that I was testing and it worked but did not realize it worked...  I may do that for every series moving forward..I was looking hard at Baltimore but just can' t trust it at this point.  One angle I look at are teams going on the road after getting swept at home.  Baltimore fits that scenario, just think Toronto has a 65/35 chance at sweep based on my numbers.. so I passed. 
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#62
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:04:20 PM
plenty of bases left..no need to press
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#63
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:11:06 PM
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#64
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:51:54 PM
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#65
Posted: 4/13/2012 2:43:08 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by edbd:

Semperfi19,

Let me get this straight you lost Seattle in the first game so did you come back with them the next game and double you play to make a profit?  If they lose the second game do you just try to get even or make a profit in the final game?  Thank you if you can clarify the system already for your plays this year.

 

Seattle was a one game play only  against Darvish if you look at my post, it was not a series bet.....The breakdown for the year is that we have one 3 series in game one, and 1 win ea in gaeme 2 and game 3  for a 5-0 record....just read the thread and you can find out where each series ws won.

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#66
Posted: 4/13/2012 2:48:11 PM
LAA game #2 it is...
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#67
Posted: 4/13/2012 2:49:47 PM

ADDING TWO SERIES THAT START LATER TONIGHT

 

#8  PIRATES    +160     BET 1   100 to win 160

#9  A's +140                 BET 1   100 to win 140

 

GOOD LUCK ...4 plays for the weekend. 

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#68
Posted: 4/13/2012 2:56:19 PM
sweetGL
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#69
Posted: 4/13/2012 3:00:54 PM
Decided to go with Mil, Tb and Clev

GL Guys
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#70
Posted: 4/13/2012 3:51:21 PM
GL this wkd...hope you hit em' all in game 1!!
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#71
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:53:36 PM
Great call McShady on your Cubs pick .
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willwrig
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#72
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:58:52 PM
Like PIT Great start to the year Semperfi
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#73
Posted: 4/14/2012 8:29:39 AM
bikemr...good to see ya back at the chase! 

Semperfi...thx for the easy Tribe winner!
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#74
Posted: 4/14/2012 9:15:32 AM
McShady : BOL to you this year . I always appreciate your contribution to this thread .
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#75
Posted: 4/14/2012 9:19:26 AM
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