HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-nil irrespective of site order (Anaheim) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 335-5 (.985)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 83-1 (.988)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 179-4 (.978)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 48-1 (.980)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 215-125 (.632)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 51-33 (.607)
Game 4 record, NHL only, all rounds: 113-70 (.617)
Game 4 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 28-21 (.571)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1319 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Finals. Note in general that the
greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation,
the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-nil @ HHV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-nil with site order HHV (Anaheim) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 250-4 (.984)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 70-1 (.986)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 132-3 (.978)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 36-1 (.973)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 157-97 (.618)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 42-29 (.592)
Game 4 record, NHL only, all rounds: 84-51 (.622)
Game 4 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 20-17 (.541)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1319 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 MLB Finals. Note in general that the
greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation,
the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 3: The Anaheim Ducks visited and topped the Calgary
Flames 5-goals-4 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff
series 1326 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 3-games-nil, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of
2-0 and a Game 4 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 3-games-nil, the Calgary Flames have a series record of
0-3 and a Game 4 record of 1-2. Anaheim trailed in Calgary by three
goals as late as 19:10 into the second period, and by two goals as late
as 11:13 into the third period, but won. In the history of best-of-7 NHL
playoff games from 1939 through 2016, inclusive, road teams down three
goals as late as 19:10 into the second period had a game record of only
5-251 (.020), and road teams down two goals as late as 11:13 into the
third period had a game record of only 6-473 (.013).