Thought about starting to post here my daily picks.
I'm doing very good this year so I'll put the time to post, maybe explain sometimes.
It will actually help me keep track and see what people around think. I might have 1 a day and might have 5. I actually like to make 5 plays a day sometimes as it help reducing the losses if there are some (or increase them intensely but that depends on how good you are).
Anyways, my picks for today are:
Boston +7 ---------- 3.5 units - Actually not a lot to explain in this one, I think the line is a bit high, and a let down spot for Atlanta. This is more a gut feeling play, but a strong one as it is my best play for the day.
Dallas+1.5 --------- 2.5 units - Chicago after a long road trip. Skipped Wolves last night, so thinking this one will catch. Taking Dallas plus points against a team after a 7 road trip games is great IMO.
Orlando +12.5 ---- 1.5 units (Had it before line dropped. Obviously took it as soon as I heard Klay and Steph are Q.
Pelicans +4 -------- 1.1 units - I like the fact the public loves Durant back, but I have to fade it as I'm not sure how well they'll do in this one. I think it will be a tight one so I'm taking the spread. Pelicans will be well motivated to cool OKC enthusiasm down and OKC's enthusiasm might just heart them.
Pelicans over 194.5 ----- 0.5 unit - Same reasoning as above. Think this one will reach the 100 for each team.
GL to all - thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
Thought about starting to post here my daily picks.
I'm doing very good this year so I'll put the time to post, maybe explain sometimes.
It will actually help me keep track and see what people around think. I might have 1 a day and might have 5. I actually like to make 5 plays a day sometimes as it help reducing the losses if there are some (or increase them intensely but that depends on how good you are).
Anyways, my picks for today are:
Boston +7 ---------- 3.5 units - Actually not a lot to explain in this one, I think the line is a bit high, and a let down spot for Atlanta. This is more a gut feeling play, but a strong one as it is my best play for the day.
Dallas+1.5 --------- 2.5 units - Chicago after a long road trip. Skipped Wolves last night, so thinking this one will catch. Taking Dallas plus points against a team after a 7 road trip games is great IMO.
Orlando +12.5 ---- 1.5 units (Had it before line dropped. Obviously took it as soon as I heard Klay and Steph are Q.
Pelicans +4 -------- 1.1 units - I like the fact the public loves Durant back, but I have to fade it as I'm not sure how well they'll do in this one. I think it will be a tight one so I'm taking the spread. Pelicans will be well motivated to cool OKC enthusiasm down and OKC's enthusiasm might just heart them.
Pelicans over 194.5 ----- 0.5 unit - Same reasoning as above. Think this one will reach the 100 for each team.
GL to all - thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
I don't really like the card tonight, but I'm gonna play 2 games anyways as they've got good angles in my eyes.
Utah+4.5 ---------- 1.5 units - I like it because of 2 reason: First one is that this is a huge over look game for the Raps as they have the Cavs in two days. Last time they proved to be the better team at the time, but now they know the Cavs will be better. No, the Raps aren't gonna stand on the court today and let Utah score, but I'm sure their heads not gonna be there. Second, Utah has lost since forever. As I explained in other threads, I like things to even down, but I have to know when to pick them. Done that with the Jazz against Lawson and co, but now I feel they can actually win if they are not gonna dig themselves the hole they always dig. So why not the moneyline? I prefer the points. It's still the Jazz.
Bucks +5 -------- 1 unit - I think this is a pretty good spot for a let down by the Mavs. Such an highly intense game yesterday, gonna play against an unfulfilled talented team as the Bucks who really want to win after they fought so hard yesterday. I have the court adavantge, I've got the points advantage, I think this one deserves 1 unit play.
LAC -14.5 ------- 1 unit - I think LAC are just too much against Orlando without Vucevic. Plus, yesterday the line was the same against GSW, then why is it the same after they played great. I'll tell you, because the lines are decided well before. Right on the spot IMO this time, and Orlando won't hang 48 minutes with this team who just started playing its b-ball.
GL to all. Thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
I don't really like the card tonight, but I'm gonna play 2 games anyways as they've got good angles in my eyes.
Utah+4.5 ---------- 1.5 units - I like it because of 2 reason: First one is that this is a huge over look game for the Raps as they have the Cavs in two days. Last time they proved to be the better team at the time, but now they know the Cavs will be better. No, the Raps aren't gonna stand on the court today and let Utah score, but I'm sure their heads not gonna be there. Second, Utah has lost since forever. As I explained in other threads, I like things to even down, but I have to know when to pick them. Done that with the Jazz against Lawson and co, but now I feel they can actually win if they are not gonna dig themselves the hole they always dig. So why not the moneyline? I prefer the points. It's still the Jazz.
Bucks +5 -------- 1 unit - I think this is a pretty good spot for a let down by the Mavs. Such an highly intense game yesterday, gonna play against an unfulfilled talented team as the Bucks who really want to win after they fought so hard yesterday. I have the court adavantge, I've got the points advantage, I think this one deserves 1 unit play.
LAC -14.5 ------- 1 unit - I think LAC are just too much against Orlando without Vucevic. Plus, yesterday the line was the same against GSW, then why is it the same after they played great. I'll tell you, because the lines are decided well before. Right on the spot IMO this time, and Orlando won't hang 48 minutes with this team who just started playing its b-ball.
GL to all. Thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
Cavs -7 -------- 1.5 units - This is a very important game for the Cavs ego, after they were humiliated at their own home in Lebron's comeback. Nothing really for the Knicks to offer, they are so so bad. Cavs started playing well, and this time I'm not counting the over look game of the Raps game tomorrow in which the Cavs will have a revenge angle back-to-back (NY and Toronto).
Lebron loves the MSG. If the line wasn't a bit too low in my eyes, which I see to be a bit fishy, I would have placed more units. But I don't because I'll wait for tomorrow's card, which will probably be a big one.
GL to all. Thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
Cavs -7 -------- 1.5 units - This is a very important game for the Cavs ego, after they were humiliated at their own home in Lebron's comeback. Nothing really for the Knicks to offer, they are so so bad. Cavs started playing well, and this time I'm not counting the over look game of the Raps game tomorrow in which the Cavs will have a revenge angle back-to-back (NY and Toronto).
Lebron loves the MSG. If the line wasn't a bit too low in my eyes, which I see to be a bit fishy, I would have placed more units. But I don't because I'll wait for tomorrow's card, which will probably be a big one.
GL to all. Thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
How you like the Dubs at half bro at -4.5. I agree. Not sure why Everyone is on the Knicks nuts when they did not do anything to deserve that respect yet. And I don't see them beating the Cavs twice in one year after catching them off guard first game.
How you like the Dubs at half bro at -4.5. I agree. Not sure why Everyone is on the Knicks nuts when they did not do anything to deserve that respect yet. And I don't see them beating the Cavs twice in one year after catching them off guard first game.
SCC - I don't know how the Dubs will operate tonight, but if anything I think they cover. No play for me though. Card is very ugly tonight. Wait for tomorrow.
SCC - I don't know how the Dubs will operate tonight, but if anything I think they cover. No play for me though. Card is very ugly tonight. Wait for tomorrow.
Cavs -7 -------- 1.5 units - This is a very important game for the Cavs ego, after they were humiliated at their own home in Lebron's comeback. Nothing really for the Knicks to offer, they are so so bad. Cavs started playing well, and this time I'm not counting the over look game of the Raps game tomorrow in which the Cavs will have a revenge angle back-to-back (NY and Toronto).
Lebron loves the MSG. If the line wasn't a bit too low in my eyes, which I see to be a bit fishy, I would have placed more units. But I don't because I'll wait for tomorrow's card, which will probably be a big one.
GL to all. Thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
dont know. unless your in the cavs locker room i dont know how you are capping their mindset other than wishful thinking.
not saying you'll lose. but...the cavs have bouts of ugly when the starters arent out there. thats a bad team to be risking 7 points on the road.
my gut says trap game but its hard to back the knicks. so im gonna hope you cash. GL.
Cavs -7 -------- 1.5 units - This is a very important game for the Cavs ego, after they were humiliated at their own home in Lebron's comeback. Nothing really for the Knicks to offer, they are so so bad. Cavs started playing well, and this time I'm not counting the over look game of the Raps game tomorrow in which the Cavs will have a revenge angle back-to-back (NY and Toronto).
Lebron loves the MSG. If the line wasn't a bit too low in my eyes, which I see to be a bit fishy, I would have placed more units. But I don't because I'll wait for tomorrow's card, which will probably be a big one.
GL to all. Thoughts and insights are well welcomed.
dont know. unless your in the cavs locker room i dont know how you are capping their mindset other than wishful thinking.
not saying you'll lose. but...the cavs have bouts of ugly when the starters arent out there. thats a bad team to be risking 7 points on the road.
my gut says trap game but its hard to back the knicks. so im gonna hope you cash. GL.
dont know. unless your in the cavs locker room i dont know how you are capping their mindset other than wishful thinking.
not saying you'll lose. but...the cavs have bouts of ugly when the starters arent out there. thats a bad team to be risking 7 points on the road.
my gut says trap game but its hard to back the knicks. so im gonna hope you cash. GL.
Of course it's wishful thinking. Sort of. Everyone thinks and tries to evaluate what will happen. If I knew then I wouldn't be here.
All we can, all of us, is use history stats and knowledge and many other things to evaluate the motivation level a team will come up with.
You're saying the Cavs' bench is a disaster, but is the Knicks' better? This is not wishful thinking, this is my eyes watching the Knicks 2 times a week and conclude that they are a very very very bad team.
That is quite true that it is a dangerous move to place a bet on an inconsistent team like the Cavs on the road, but they're playing a bad team, and history shows that LJ is amazing in revenge game (and he likes his revenges either cold or hot, doesn't really matter) and that he is amazing playing at MSG.
All these are good enough for me to place a SMALL bet of 1.5 units. I will not be sorry if I'm wrong, I have 50% chance to be on the wrong side. This is capping, and I think it's either the Cavs or a no play.
dont know. unless your in the cavs locker room i dont know how you are capping their mindset other than wishful thinking.
not saying you'll lose. but...the cavs have bouts of ugly when the starters arent out there. thats a bad team to be risking 7 points on the road.
my gut says trap game but its hard to back the knicks. so im gonna hope you cash. GL.
Of course it's wishful thinking. Sort of. Everyone thinks and tries to evaluate what will happen. If I knew then I wouldn't be here.
All we can, all of us, is use history stats and knowledge and many other things to evaluate the motivation level a team will come up with.
You're saying the Cavs' bench is a disaster, but is the Knicks' better? This is not wishful thinking, this is my eyes watching the Knicks 2 times a week and conclude that they are a very very very bad team.
That is quite true that it is a dangerous move to place a bet on an inconsistent team like the Cavs on the road, but they're playing a bad team, and history shows that LJ is amazing in revenge game (and he likes his revenges either cold or hot, doesn't really matter) and that he is amazing playing at MSG.
All these are good enough for me to place a SMALL bet of 1.5 units. I will not be sorry if I'm wrong, I have 50% chance to be on the wrong side. This is capping, and I think it's either the Cavs or a no play.
SCC - I don't know how the Dubs will operate tonight, but if anything I think they cover. No play for me though. Card is very ugly tonight. Wait for tomorrow.
I bought Cavs at -2 after 1Q. Hopefully they do their typical come out firing 30points and then layoff rest of game. Hope we all cover on the Cavs though. LBJ hasn't won me one this year.
SCC - I don't know how the Dubs will operate tonight, but if anything I think they cover. No play for me though. Card is very ugly tonight. Wait for tomorrow.
I bought Cavs at -2 after 1Q. Hopefully they do their typical come out firing 30points and then layoff rest of game. Hope we all cover on the Cavs though. LBJ hasn't won me one this year.
Huge card today, here are my picks - will be happy to discuss about them if you like.
OKC-12.5-------- 5.5 units - I know this might be the square play, but Philly has done its obligation and won the last game to avoid NBA negative record of 0-18 start. OKC lost in KD's return. They'll start smashing from the start. Wrotten is still out (I can't believe I have to explain why it is good a Philly player is out as it doesn't even matter), Philly got absolulty nothing to offer. I see this as a 30 margin game. The kind of those that start 40-15 first Q.
Hornets -4.5 ------- 3 units - Caught that one when it was 4.5, now it's 5.5 at my book. I see no reason whatsoever for the Hornets to be favourite against any team unless it's the Sixers. Coming of a 300 straight losses, against a team which lead most of last night game against the Cavs. I saw this line before NYK-CAVS game ended, so even though I had a small play on the Cavs last night, I actually wanted NYK to win so this would be a 5 unit play. NYK lost, but the books moving the line up, so I see they have faith in this Hornet team. I might be a chicken to place only 3 units on a play which I really believe in, but it's still the Hornets.
Cavs+4.5 ------- 1.5 unit - This is a revenge game for the Cavs, I this DD absence really impacts the Raps offense game. The Cavs can lose, but this one will obviously be close. Cavs' mind wasn't at MSG last as I had hoped before game time, so I know it will be @ TOR today. Gonna be a great game, and I'm going with the one with blood on their hands.
Wolves+7.5 ------- 1.5 units - +7.5? Really? Hasn't the Rockets just blown up Memphis? Hasn't the Wolves just lost to the 2nd most pathetic team in NBA history helping them avoid equlaizing that shaming record? Why is the line that low. I smell bad things for the Rockets backers. I'm going small, but I'm going.
Hawks -1.5 ------ 1 unit - Same thing as the Wolves. Line seems to be on the wrong side. BKN should have been the favs here IMO. They just won against the Spurs and won 3 out of their last 4, how can they be dogs at their own house hosting a team their level as the Hawks. I'm taking the more consistent team who has been playing pretty well as of late.
Might have 1 or 2 more plays. As I said this is a big card. Got 2-3 more leans, but yet to check what I'm gonna do with them.
Thoughts and insights are well welcomed. GL to all.
Huge card today, here are my picks - will be happy to discuss about them if you like.
OKC-12.5-------- 5.5 units - I know this might be the square play, but Philly has done its obligation and won the last game to avoid NBA negative record of 0-18 start. OKC lost in KD's return. They'll start smashing from the start. Wrotten is still out (I can't believe I have to explain why it is good a Philly player is out as it doesn't even matter), Philly got absolulty nothing to offer. I see this as a 30 margin game. The kind of those that start 40-15 first Q.
Hornets -4.5 ------- 3 units - Caught that one when it was 4.5, now it's 5.5 at my book. I see no reason whatsoever for the Hornets to be favourite against any team unless it's the Sixers. Coming of a 300 straight losses, against a team which lead most of last night game against the Cavs. I saw this line before NYK-CAVS game ended, so even though I had a small play on the Cavs last night, I actually wanted NYK to win so this would be a 5 unit play. NYK lost, but the books moving the line up, so I see they have faith in this Hornet team. I might be a chicken to place only 3 units on a play which I really believe in, but it's still the Hornets.
Cavs+4.5 ------- 1.5 unit - This is a revenge game for the Cavs, I this DD absence really impacts the Raps offense game. The Cavs can lose, but this one will obviously be close. Cavs' mind wasn't at MSG last as I had hoped before game time, so I know it will be @ TOR today. Gonna be a great game, and I'm going with the one with blood on their hands.
Wolves+7.5 ------- 1.5 units - +7.5? Really? Hasn't the Rockets just blown up Memphis? Hasn't the Wolves just lost to the 2nd most pathetic team in NBA history helping them avoid equlaizing that shaming record? Why is the line that low. I smell bad things for the Rockets backers. I'm going small, but I'm going.
Hawks -1.5 ------ 1 unit - Same thing as the Wolves. Line seems to be on the wrong side. BKN should have been the favs here IMO. They just won against the Spurs and won 3 out of their last 4, how can they be dogs at their own house hosting a team their level as the Hawks. I'm taking the more consistent team who has been playing pretty well as of late.
Might have 1 or 2 more plays. As I said this is a big card. Got 2-3 more leans, but yet to check what I'm gonna do with them.
Thoughts and insights are well welcomed. GL to all.
4-2 last night for a -1.3 units. OKC and Hornets were really ugly. What can I say... On the other hand, 2 ugly comebacks for Rockets and Kings backers. NBA has some good and some bad sht in it.
Still upset I came out on the red side with another positive YTD night.
4-2 last night for a -1.3 units. OKC and Hornets were really ugly. What can I say... On the other hand, 2 ugly comebacks for Rockets and Kings backers. NBA has some good and some bad sht in it.
Still upset I came out on the red side with another positive YTD night.
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