Update the two plays for tonight cause they are on the previous page (there is a little writeup on one of the games there): Mavericks - 7 Grizzlies - 2.5
Update the two plays for tonight cause they are on the previous page (there is a little writeup on one of the games there): Mavericks - 7 Grizzlies - 2.5
I don't think so. Maybe Warriors ML First Quarter at +110 has some value in this 50:50 situation but i'm good with my two ATS plays for tonight so no play on 1st quarter tonight.
I don't think so. Maybe Warriors ML First Quarter at +110 has some value in this 50:50 situation but i'm good with my two ATS plays for tonight so no play on 1st quarter tonight.
I don't think so. Maybe Warriors ML First Quarter at +110 has some value in this 50:50 situation but i'm good with my two ATS plays for tonight so no play on 1st quarter tonight.
I don't think so. Maybe Warriors ML First Quarter at +110 has some value in this 50:50 situation but i'm good with my two ATS plays for tonight so no play on 1st quarter tonight.
Overall ATS: 35-21-1+ 11.9 units Overall Totals: 3-7-0 - 4.7 units ML Dogs 1 st Quarter: 8-1-0 + 9.3 units
Overall profit: + 16.5 units
Passed on my posted lean Warriors ML 1st Quarter but it actually hits. Just hate to play different sides (quarters/halves and full game) on same gamecause it's very risky to finish with 0-2 on the particular game...
Overall ATS: 35-21-1+ 11.9 units Overall Totals: 3-7-0 - 4.7 units ML Dogs 1 st Quarter: 8-1-0 + 9.3 units
Overall profit: + 16.5 units
Passed on my posted lean Warriors ML 1st Quarter but it actually hits. Just hate to play different sides (quarters/halves and full game) on same gamecause it's very risky to finish with 0-2 on the particular game...
jinkojinko Sorry man no play on that game. Maybe Dallas are the better option but i hate to back them on b2b... to inconsistent sometimes even against poor teams...
The reason is simple: just fade the worse eastern team that struggle to score this season. In fact last season Bobcats also struggled to score but their defensive eff. was in top 5 in the league. That's why they made the playoffs. This season their defense is gone. Josh McRobberts departure was devastating to the team chemistry and they bring Lance Stephenson which is known as a locker room "bada*s" This team have only two elite players in face of Kemba and Big Al... the others are trash. Suns 6-game losing streak over tonight. And little revenge for the home loss against Hornets early in the season.
jinkojinko Sorry man no play on that game. Maybe Dallas are the better option but i hate to back them on b2b... to inconsistent sometimes even against poor teams...
The reason is simple: just fade the worse eastern team that struggle to score this season. In fact last season Bobcats also struggled to score but their defensive eff. was in top 5 in the league. That's why they made the playoffs. This season their defense is gone. Josh McRobberts departure was devastating to the team chemistry and they bring Lance Stephenson which is known as a locker room "bada*s" This team have only two elite players in face of Kemba and Big Al... the others are trash. Suns 6-game losing streak over tonight. And little revenge for the home loss against Hornets early in the season.
Bounce back/Letdown criteria this season: 0-0-1 (one push)
Second play for tonight. We have the possible bounce back/letdown criteria tonight for the second time this season. First time i pushed with Clippers - 4 at home against Trailblazers early in the season. What we need:
1) Two good playoff western conference team: Spurs and Grizzlies 2) We need home team that lose badly their last game: Spurs against Portland at road by 13 points (with Popovich regular move at b2b to rest his older experienced players) 3) We need road team that just win over another top western playoff team in a emotional game: Grizzlies last night against Warriors
All three points for the criteria are fit. So we want to take the small home favorite to bounce back against possible letdown road team in this scenario. And in long term we will edge in this type of bet i believe.
In addition i also like:
1) Spurs are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS against Grizzlies last 9 games. It seems like Popovich owns them lately. 2) Everybody will say that Parker and Leonard (even worse) are out for tonight's game. Let me show the last season two games for Spurs against top western conference teams without Parker and Leonard:
18 february. Win against Clippers (excellent home team) at road with 113-103 (with no important injuries for LA) 19 february. B2B!!! Win against Trailblazers (excellent home team) at road wit 111-109 (with Aldridge out for the game)
It seems that Leonard and Parker out didn't mess the Pop rotation. And even on b2b and even on road! With that being said give me:
Gregg Popovich - 3 1.1 units (to win 1)
It's sometimes crazy to bet on team without two of its best players but here i think the spot isn't look so bad.
Possible third ATS game for tonight. No ML Dog 1st quarters.
Bounce back/Letdown criteria this season: 0-0-1 (one push)
Second play for tonight. We have the possible bounce back/letdown criteria tonight for the second time this season. First time i pushed with Clippers - 4 at home against Trailblazers early in the season. What we need:
1) Two good playoff western conference team: Spurs and Grizzlies 2) We need home team that lose badly their last game: Spurs against Portland at road by 13 points (with Popovich regular move at b2b to rest his older experienced players) 3) We need road team that just win over another top western playoff team in a emotional game: Grizzlies last night against Warriors
All three points for the criteria are fit. So we want to take the small home favorite to bounce back against possible letdown road team in this scenario. And in long term we will edge in this type of bet i believe.
In addition i also like:
1) Spurs are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS against Grizzlies last 9 games. It seems like Popovich owns them lately. 2) Everybody will say that Parker and Leonard (even worse) are out for tonight's game. Let me show the last season two games for Spurs against top western conference teams without Parker and Leonard:
18 february. Win against Clippers (excellent home team) at road with 113-103 (with no important injuries for LA) 19 february. B2B!!! Win against Trailblazers (excellent home team) at road wit 111-109 (with Aldridge out for the game)
It seems that Leonard and Parker out didn't mess the Pop rotation. And even on b2b and even on road! With that being said give me:
Gregg Popovich - 3 1.1 units (to win 1)
It's sometimes crazy to bet on team without two of its best players but here i think the spot isn't look so bad.
Possible third ATS game for tonight. No ML Dog 1st quarters.
Do you know how many games Robin Lopez missed as a Portland player ? I will tell you: 0! Maybe you noticed that Blazers are way better on defense this year and Robin is one of the reasons. He is nice rebounder and really great shot blocker. Terry Stotts will face the problem "rotation without Lopez" for the first time since Robin arrived at Oregon. Chris Kaman will be nice fit for the starting lineup but what can we say about the second unit. Until now Blake and Kaman was nice combo for the trash minutes but what Portland will do now ? Maybe they could try to move somebody on the starting lineup but who knows if that will work? Kaman for sure will get the most of the minutes from Lopez. I think Portland will have some troubles with the new rotation first two-three games without Robin Lopez and with Spurs and Pelicans (b2b) on the deck they won't cover tonight. I will take the chalk.
Bucks + 10
One total also:
Pacers at Clippers - Under 201.5 No writeup here. The total line is fishy and begging for over after the blowout wins for both teams in their last games and the movement somehow tells me to take that under tonight.
So here is the final card:
Suns - 1 Spurs - 3 Bucks + 10 Pacers at Clippers - Under 201.5
Biggest card for the season. Maybe is a mistake to take so much games cause i usually play one or two per night but i like them all.
Do you know how many games Robin Lopez missed as a Portland player ? I will tell you: 0! Maybe you noticed that Blazers are way better on defense this year and Robin is one of the reasons. He is nice rebounder and really great shot blocker. Terry Stotts will face the problem "rotation without Lopez" for the first time since Robin arrived at Oregon. Chris Kaman will be nice fit for the starting lineup but what can we say about the second unit. Until now Blake and Kaman was nice combo for the trash minutes but what Portland will do now ? Maybe they could try to move somebody on the starting lineup but who knows if that will work? Kaman for sure will get the most of the minutes from Lopez. I think Portland will have some troubles with the new rotation first two-three games without Robin Lopez and with Spurs and Pelicans (b2b) on the deck they won't cover tonight. I will take the chalk.
Bucks + 10
One total also:
Pacers at Clippers - Under 201.5 No writeup here. The total line is fishy and begging for over after the blowout wins for both teams in their last games and the movement somehow tells me to take that under tonight.
So here is the final card:
Suns - 1 Spurs - 3 Bucks + 10 Pacers at Clippers - Under 201.5
Biggest card for the season. Maybe is a mistake to take so much games cause i usually play one or two per night but i like them all.
Suns - 1 Spurs - 3 (the push lose twice with clutch triples and one of them was by the miracle triple by Marc Gasol ) Bucks + 10 (one of the Portland guys tried to stole the ATS win 5 second before the buzzer with trash slam dunk for the push... and then somehow Bucks player hit the triple to back me for a win here ) Pacers at Clippers - Under 201.5 (by half point ? Really ? I love it when that happened ) Nets ML First Quarter at + 240
3-2 with + 0.8 units for the night.
I will try to avoid so big cards in the future. Almost every of the games i picked last night was freakin moose at the end. And i hate to be involved in such a games.
Overall ATS: 37-22-1+ 12.8 units Overall Totals: 3-8-0 - 5.8 units ML Dogs 1 st Quarter: 9-1-0 + 10.3 units
Suns - 1 Spurs - 3 (the push lose twice with clutch triples and one of them was by the miracle triple by Marc Gasol ) Bucks + 10 (one of the Portland guys tried to stole the ATS win 5 second before the buzzer with trash slam dunk for the push... and then somehow Bucks player hit the triple to back me for a win here ) Pacers at Clippers - Under 201.5 (by half point ? Really ? I love it when that happened ) Nets ML First Quarter at + 240
3-2 with + 0.8 units for the night.
I will try to avoid so big cards in the future. Almost every of the games i picked last night was freakin moose at the end. And i hate to be involved in such a games.
Overall ATS: 37-22-1+ 12.8 units Overall Totals: 3-8-0 - 5.8 units ML Dogs 1 st Quarter: 9-1-0 + 10.3 units
Don't forget that with 24 second left and up by 8 Portland make the unnecessary slam dunk for 10 point lead. They could run the clock with shot clock violation (as many teams do) and the game easily will finish with 8 point lead. The last two possesions were awful cause there was a garbage bench time. Most of the times here the dog backcovers.
Don't forget that with 24 second left and up by 8 Portland make the unnecessary slam dunk for 10 point lead. They could run the clock with shot clock violation (as many teams do) and the game easily will finish with 8 point lead. The last two possesions were awful cause there was a garbage bench time. Most of the times here the dog backcovers.
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