NBA law of averages theory

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA law of averages theory
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 2/2/2013 6:31:06 AM

“The so-called law of averages is not a law at all but a common, and erroneous, misconception that if, say, a coin has come up heads five times in a row, it is more likely to come up tails next time.”

This holds true in casinos such as Russian roulette and flipping a simple coin...but betting the NBA I've realized there is much more to debunk this misconception...and law of averages DO apply to betting the NBA...

In the NBA there are many factors with the human element involved than simply flipping a coin...days rest, back to back games, long road trips etc...

So I decided to track totals for matchups of recent games since we have enough games played already to test the law of averages...what I've discovered so far might be a formula to bet over and unders....

Saturdays plays under the formula...

Houston over 208 1unit
New Orleans under 1 unit
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 2/2/2013 6:33:06 AM
Correction New Orleans under 186.5
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 2/2/2013 10:18:13 PM
Golden state under 202 2 units
vixen321 PM vixen321
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Posted: 2/2/2013 10:26:13 PM
1-1 so far. 

Care to share your strategy? 

Good luck with Suns under
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 2/2/2013 10:39:06 PM
Need under suns to break even today...formula went 6-0 yesterday but didnt post....breaking even not bad on bad days in the NBA..

Bobbys_pregame PM Bobbys_pregame
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Posted: 2/2/2013 10:42:29 PM
Suns game will sky rocket well over 202, should be a 214-208 finish imo
Bobbys_pregame PM Bobbys_pregame
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Posted: 2/2/2013 10:43:05 PM
*correction

114-108 finish
AFNfootballnerd PM AFNfootballnerd
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Posted: 2/2/2013 10:51:24 PM
I hope not bobby 
Forum: NBA Betting
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