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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Charlotte/Chicago line
mellow_wolf send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mellow_wolf
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#1
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:02:02 PM

Charlotte is certainly bad, but they have actually kept things closer with the below average offensive teams in the league. They are 5-6 SU against the bottom 15 teams in offensive efficiency. Only 1 of those 6 losses has been by more than 11 points(lost to Milwaukee by 15). Chicago is 23rd in offensive efficiency.

Also, teams with slow pace are more favorable opponents with this high line. The Bobcats have either won or lost by less than eleven points in 13 of their 16 games against teams in the bottom half of the league in pace. Chicago is 25th in pace.

Chicago has 16 wins and 12 losses, with only 2 wins being greater than 11 points. They just don't blow teams out and are content to emerge with the win. After somewhat getting their mojo back against the Wizards, will they be excited about this hapless Bobcats squad coming in on New Year's Eve? I doubt it. I'd be thinking about what party I was going to be getting down at later.

Charlotte, on the other hand, has off until Friday and has every reason to play with full energy despite their talent differences with Chicago. Ring in the New Year with at least a spirited effort. Right?

I am going with Charlotte +11.5

Good luck with your plays. 

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Posted: 12/31/2012 1:08:10 PM
Bulls laying 11.5 points is just too much against any team imo. They sure can win this game by a score of 92-78 , but I think the Bobcats will keep this within 10 points. BOL 
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mellow_wolf send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 12/31/2012 1:49:00 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by GTRandy:

Bulls laying 11.5 points is just too much against any team imo. They sure can win this game by a score of 92-78 , but I think the Bobcats will keep this within 10 points. BOL 

Even with Rip back, I still think this is high by about 1.5-2 points. GL.

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Posted: 12/31/2012 1:54:54 PM
No Hinrich today....Does that change anything?
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#5
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:57:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mellow_wolf:

Even with Rip back, I still think this is high by about 1.5-2 points. GL.


Nice play MW, like it.  Agree 100% line should be about 9.5, 10.  Chicago is still getting the large juice at home like they were last year,but obv aren't as explosive without rose.  They've been brutal ATS at home this year.
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mellow_wolf send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 12/31/2012 2:00:26 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by cubd80:

No Hinrich today....Does that change anything?

Not from my viewpoint. GL.

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TRAIN69
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#7
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:04:45 PM
Like the over 188 has well. Should play a little looser as neither team has pressure and its NYE


bol wolf
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Posted: 12/31/2012 2:06:37 PM
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#9
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:12:32 PM
Love this play, am on it as well
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#10
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:20:36 PM
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Posted: 12/31/2012 2:44:06 PM
Good luck Mr Wolf
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Posted: 12/31/2012 4:00:01 PM
Good Luck today in the Association!
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Posted: 12/31/2012 4:03:31 PM
BOL to you and happy new year!!
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Posted: 12/31/2012 5:05:41 PM
m_w, one of the best cappers on this site 
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Posted: 12/31/2012 5:22:20 PM
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Posted: 12/31/2012 5:32:02 PM
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#17
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:33:12 PM
 Solid Work
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Posted: 12/31/2012 5:34:05 PM
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Posted: 12/31/2012 5:37:25 PM
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Posted: 12/31/2012 5:56:01 PM
Where do you find info on the "pace" of teams in the NBA?
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Posted: 12/31/2012 6:08:47 PM

happy new yr M_W!

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mellow_wolf send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 12/31/2012 6:52:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SuperSlapem:

Where do you find info on the "pace" of teams in the NBA?

hoopdata.com

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SuperSlapem send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 12/31/2012 7:05:48 PM
Thx mw
That's some solid info in your writeup. I missed it but I always read your writeups when possible.
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SuperSlapem send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 12/31/2012 7:35:53 PM
Just spent a half hour and went through that page and I think I will find it helpful. Thx again.
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ELITE-110 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 12/31/2012 9:16:24 PM
Hny
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