Charlotte/Chicago line

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Charlotte/Chicago line
mellow_wolf PM mellow_wolf
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3608
 
mellow_wolf
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:02:02 PM

Charlotte is certainly bad, but they have actually kept things closer with the below average offensive teams in the league. They are 5-6 SU against the bottom 15 teams in offensive efficiency. Only 1 of those 6 losses has been by more than 11 points(lost to Milwaukee by 15). Chicago is 23rd in offensive efficiency.

Also, teams with slow pace are more favorable opponents with this high line. The Bobcats have either won or lost by less than eleven points in 13 of their 16 games against teams in the bottom half of the league in pace. Chicago is 25th in pace.

Chicago has 16 wins and 12 losses, with only 2 wins being greater than 11 points. They just don't blow teams out and are content to emerge with the win. After somewhat getting their mojo back against the Wizards, will they be excited about this hapless Bobcats squad coming in on New Year's Eve? I doubt it. I'd be thinking about what party I was going to be getting down at later.

Charlotte, on the other hand, has off until Friday and has every reason to play with full energy despite their talent differences with Chicago. Ring in the New Year with at least a spirited effort. Right?

I am going with Charlotte +11.5

Good luck with your plays. 

GTRandy PM GTRandy
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 827
 
GTRandy
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:08:10 PM
Bulls laying 11.5 points is just too much against any team imo. They sure can win this game by a score of 92-78 , but I think the Bobcats will keep this within 10 points. BOL 
mellow_wolf PM mellow_wolf
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3608
 
mellow_wolf
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:49:00 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by GTRandy:

Bulls laying 11.5 points is just too much against any team imo. They sure can win this game by a score of 92-78 , but I think the Bobcats will keep this within 10 points. BOL 

Even with Rip back, I still think this is high by about 1.5-2 points. GL.

cubd80 PM cubd80
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 2508
United States
 
cubd80
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:54:54 PM
No Hinrich today....Does that change anything?
NorthernCapper PM NorthernCapper
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 854
Canada
 
NorthernCapper
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:57:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mellow_wolf:

Even with Rip back, I still think this is high by about 1.5-2 points. GL.


Nice play MW, like it.  Agree 100% line should be about 9.5, 10.  Chicago is still getting the large juice at home like they were last year,but obv aren't as explosive without rose.  They've been brutal ATS at home this year.
mellow_wolf PM mellow_wolf
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3608
 
mellow_wolf
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:00:26 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by cubd80:

No Hinrich today....Does that change anything?

Not from my viewpoint. GL.

TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 43442
Missouri
 
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:04:45 PM
Like the over 188 has well. Should play a little looser as neither team has pressure and its NYE


bol wolf
einyx PM einyx
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 5855
United States
 
einyx
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:06:37 PM
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 35336
California
 
kaponofor3
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:12:32 PM
Love this play, am on it as well
abadboycali PM abadboycali
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 9375
California
 
abadboycali
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:20:36 PM
cashinsports PM cashinsports
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 4484
 
cashinsports
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:44:06 PM
Good luck Mr Wolf
Posted using a mobile device.
Mikado PM Mikado
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 10129
Colorado
 
Mikado
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 4:00:01 PM
Good Luck today in the Association!
manutdfctts9899 PM manutdfctts9899
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 11318
 
manutdfctts9899
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 4:03:31 PM
BOL to you and happy new year!!
Ch00b PM Ch00b
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 110
Ontario
 
Ch00b
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:05:41 PM
m_w, one of the best cappers on this site 
rod_steel PM rod_steel
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 96245
United States
 
rod_steel
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:22:20 PM
manutdfctts9899 PM manutdfctts9899
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 11318
 
manutdfctts9899
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:32:02 PM
LVTruck PM LVTruck
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 21195
 
LVTruck
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:33:12 PM
 Solid Work
bm3power PM bm3power
Joined: Apr 2009
Posts: 347
 
bm3power
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:34:05 PM
Dangrs PM Dangrs
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 152
 
Dangrs
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:37:25 PM
SuperSlapem PM SuperSlapem
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 3249
 
SuperSlapem
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 5:56:01 PM
Where do you find info on the "pace" of teams in the NBA?
Posted using a mobile device.
lakers9 PM lakers9
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 384
 
lakers9
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 6:08:47 PM

happy new yr M_W!

mellow_wolf PM mellow_wolf
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3608
 
mellow_wolf
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 6:52:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SuperSlapem:

Where do you find info on the "pace" of teams in the NBA?

hoopdata.com

SuperSlapem PM SuperSlapem
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 3249
 
SuperSlapem
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 7:05:48 PM
Thx mw
That's some solid info in your writeup. I missed it but I always read your writeups when possible.
Posted using a mobile device.
SuperSlapem PM SuperSlapem
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 3249
 
SuperSlapem
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 7:35:53 PM
Just spent a half hour and went through that page and I think I will find it helpful. Thx again.
Posted using a mobile device.
ELITE-110 PM ELITE-110
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 26
 
ELITE-110
Participation Meter
Posted: 12/31/2012 9:16:24 PM
Hny
Posted using a mobile device.
Forum: NBA Betting
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.