Monday Plays...

Forum: NBA Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Monday Plays...
UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 1:07:32 PM

Good day to all..

I hope everyone was successful in Cashing their Plays, one way or the other yesterday...

I am looking at Both Games tonight as potential Plays...

Game 1.. Sixers/Celtics..

I capped this Game on Saturday for the Sixers to cover which they came through in the end after almost letting the C's cover..

I am a little confused about this Game, the line opened at -5 but has since dropped to -4.5 encouraging more wagers to come in on the C's to Cover at 80% of the Public Play.. Plus 65% of  all the ML money is on the C's as well..

This is almost the same scenario as Saturday's game where Vegas got all the Money on the C's to cover, but they Failed to do so..

It would lead me to believe that Vegas thinks the Sixers can cover again, if not win SU...

The Sixers basically owned the Game from the start, if it were not for Turn Overs which the Sixers are the best Team in the league in limiting those, I believe they could have pullled one out in Boston for Game 1..

The Celtics had to rely on Garnett to carry them through out the Game making shot after shot, and Rondo coming through when it mattered..

But other than that no one else really was consistant, and the Celtics were playing catch up all Game long.

 I think the Sixers have to feel good about how they played, and if they can cut down on the Turn Overs and make better decisions on their shots I believe this could be another close one..

Game 1.. Lean Sixers +5.. If I play, I always buy the Hook..

Game 2 Lakers/Thunder..

This Game has me very intrigued..

I personally think the Lakers will feel the effects of a 7 Game series against the Nuggets who gave them everything they could handle and more..

Everyone is saying that the Lakers Bigs will dominate this series, but with Gasol & Bynum you never know when they are going to show up and play.. They are very innconsistant and have to be called out every other Game just to get them to play up to their potential..

 The Lakers do have  Ron Artest back who showed on Saturday he can really help out, but I see Game one getting away from the LAKERS as the game rolls on..

Each game in the season series was close at halftime before the Thunder finnally imposed their will on the Lakers, even the Game Harden was injured the Thunder were up before they let the Lakers back in due to the fact they were missing Harden in the rotation and were unable to produce any scoring from their bench..

I know season series and Playoffs are not to be related, but the one thing that has always been damaging to the Lakers is the opposing teams Point Gaurd play, and I feel like Westbrook should have a big series and a big Game One..

I know it seems like a large number to give the Lakers at +7.5,  it must be good to good to be true.

The Lakers will certainly cover this easily right?

Game  2..Play..  Thunder -7  bought the Hook and got it at -115 since they were coming off at -7.5 at -105...

Bol Tonight on everyones play..

Betting Trends
Team Open Sportsbook Hilton Caesars MGM Stations Offshore Bookmaker 05/14/2012 9:35 PM EDT
507 LOS ANGELES LAKERS 193 191.5 191.5 191.5 191.5 191 191.5u15 191.5
508 Oklahoma City -6 -09 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5
05/14/2012 7:05 PM EDT
509 PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 174 173.5 173.5 173.5 174 173.5u11 173.5
510 BOSTON CELTICS -5 +04 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -02 -4.5

cashinsports PM cashinsports
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Posted: 5/14/2012 1:35:25 PM

good luck brotha.

i have boston-4.

UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 1:38:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cashinsports:

good luck brotha.

i have boston-4.

Bol...

cashinsports PM cashinsports
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Posted: 5/14/2012 1:48:07 PM

lakers getting +7.5 is too many points in my opinion. the books anticpate the Lakers fatigue. i think OKC owns the lakers. No one can stop Harden....as a matter of fact no one in the league can stop Harden when drives to the hoop!

unless he's elbowed in the head and eliminated from the game...

UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 1:55:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cashinsports:

lakers getting +7.5 is too many points in my opinion. the books anticpate the Lakers fatigue. i think OKC owns the lakers. No one can stop Harden....as a matter of fact no one in the league can stop Harden when drives to the hoop!

unless he's elbowed in the head and eliminated from the game...

Yeah, I see the Lakers being One step behind the OKC tonight...

I like the Thunder alot in this spot..

 

 

WizrduvOdz PM WizrduvOdz
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:05:38 PM
On them both...May do a small parlay with them and under Sixers and over Thunder
-LB- PM -LB-
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:10:27 PM
BOL UP! Replyed to your post in my thread. Hopefully see ya at the window!
-LB- PM -LB-
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:12:57 PM
UP - any opinions on todays totals? thx
UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:17:09 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by WizrduvOdz:

On them both...May do a small parlay with them and under Sixers and over Thunder

I like em alot tonight..

I ussually don't play Over/Unders though, but I will be pulling for you to Hit em all tonight if you go with a Parlay...

Michfan15 PM Michfan15
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:23:35 PM
Think Vegas threw out the 7.5 figure to look sexy for lakers backers.  Okc off a week rest ready to run the tired lakers out of th building.  Can see a thunder blowout 
UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:27:13 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by -LB-:

UP - any opinions on todays totals? thx

Naw..

Totals have been tricky to read on full Games these Playoffs..

I have done better on 2nd Half totals when I play them..

UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:37:43 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Michfan15:

Think Vegas threw out the 7.5 figure to look sexy for lakers backers.  Okc off a week rest ready to run the tired lakers out of th building.  Can see a thunder blowout 

I can see the Lakers putting up a fight at first, but as the Game goes on I see the Thunder running away with this one..

The +7.5 has everyone fooled into thinking there is no way the Lakers can lose by that much..

I see the Thunder winning by DD'S easily...

Michfan15 PM Michfan15
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Posted: 5/14/2012 2:40:30 PM
Yup. Good luck  
UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 3:27:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Tanger1neSky21:


I originally liked LA, but after thinking about all of the factors at play here i think OKC is the play. Your right alot of people on here probably think 7.5 is too high of a number but a 2 point lead can go to an 8 point lead very quickly when you have a squad like the Thunder, young & talented and hungry for a title. I think i'm going to play the Thunder on this one.

Thunder will be one step ahead of the Lakers all night..

I see this one being a situation that even if the LAKERS make a run and get close, the Thunder will answer back with one of their 12-2  spurts they are known for to take the life out of the Lakers..

Thunder just to much for the Lakers tonight..

UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 4:06:01 PM

Odds Makers are starting to raise the Line again to +8..

We are fixing to start seeing +8 for the Lakers accross the Boards to encourage more wagers be placed on the Lakers Spread...

Vegas already has 70% on the Laker ML and thought +7.5 would get everyone on the Lakers but it has failed as the Public were staying consistant with the Thunder at 60% through out the day..

Look at what is happening currently, they are getting the Public money away from the Thunder on the spread from my Earlier post by going to +8 in some books..

This makes me feel even better about my Play...

Open Sportsbook Hilton Caesars MGM Stations Offshore Bookmaker 05/14/2012 9:35 PM EDT
507 LOS ANGELES LAKERS 193 191.5 191 191.5 191.5 191 191u06 191.5
508 Oklahoma City -6 -09 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -8 -7.5 -11 -7.5

TRISTANS PM TRISTANS
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Posted: 5/14/2012 4:23:46 PM
Lakers UNDER
Sixers OVER


composite PM composite
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Posted: 5/14/2012 4:26:30 PM

There's 55% on the Thunder and 45% on the Lakers and they're raising the line from -7.5 to -8? 

Last time I checked, that's the definition of reverse line movement.

Now if you want to think that square $$ constitutes the 45% and sharp $$ constitutes the 55% that's up to you.  But remember, denial's not just a river in Egypt.

I'm tentatively on the Lakers. OKC struggled in its first 2 games v Dallas before Dirk & Co. threw in the towel and decided they wanted an early start on Cancun instead.  And I see this Laker team being much better than this year's Dallas team (w/o Chandler and Barea who were both sorely missed)

composite PM composite
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Posted: 5/14/2012 4:30:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by UPNTHAPORT:

Good day to all..

I hope everyone was successful in Cashing their Plays, one way or the other yesterday...

I am looking at Both Games tonight as potential Plays...

Game 1.. Sixers/Celtics..

I capped this Game on Saturday for the Sixers to cover which they came through in the end after almost letting the C's cover..

I am a little confused about this Game, the line opened at -5 but has since dropped to -4.5 encouraging more wagers to come in on the C's to Cover at 80% of the Public Play.. Plus 65% of  all the ML money is on the C's as well..

This is almost the same scenario as Saturday's game where Vegas got all the Money on the C's to cover, but they Failed to do so..

It would lead me to believe that Vegas thinks the Sixers can cover again, if not win SU...

The Sixers basically owned the Game from the start, if it were not for Turn Overs which the Sixers are the best Team in the league in limiting those, I believe they could have pullled one out in Boston for Game 1..

The Celtics had to rely on Garnett to carry them through out the Game making shot after shot, and Rondo coming through when it mattered..

But other than that no one else really was consistant, and the Celtics were playing catch up all Game long.

 I think the Sixers have to feel good about how they played, and if they can cut down on the Turn Overs and make better decisions on their shots I believe this could be another close one..

Game 1.. Lean Sixers +5.. If I play, I always buy the Hook..

Game 2 Lakers/Thunder..

This Game has me very intrigued..

I personally think the Lakers will feel the effects of a 7 Game series against the Nuggets who gave them everything they could handle and more..

Everyone is saying that the Lakers Bigs will dominate this series, but with Gasol & Bynum you never know when they are going to show up and play.. They are very innconsistant and have to be called out every other Game just to get them to play up to their potential..

 The Lakers do have  Ron Artest back who showed on Saturday he can really help out, but I see Game one getting away from the LAKERS as the game rolls on..

Each game in the season series was close at halftime before the Thunder finnally imposed their will on the Lakers, even the Game Harden was injured the Thunder were up before they let the Lakers back in due to the fact they were missing Harden in the rotation and were unable to produce any scoring from their bench..

I know season series and Playoffs are not to be related, but the one thing that has always been damaging to the Lakers is the opposing teams Point Gaurd play, and I feel like Westbrook should have a big series and a big Game One..

I know it seems like a large number to give the Lakers at +7.5,  it must be good to good to be true.

The Lakers will certainly cover this easily right?

Game  2..Play..  Thunder -7  bought the Hook and got it at -115 since they were coming off at -7.5 at -105...

Bol Tonight on everyones play..

Betting Trends
Team Open Sportsbook Hilton Caesars MGM Stations Offshore Bookmaker 05/14/2012 9:35 PM EDT
507 LOS ANGELES LAKERS 193 191.5 191.5 191.5 191.5 191 191.5u15 191.5
508 Oklahoma City -6 -09 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5
05/14/2012 7:05 PM EDT
509 PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 174 173.5 173.5 173.5 174 173.5u11 173.5
510 BOSTON CELTICS -5 +04 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -02 -4.5

 

BTW, great write-up.  We're opposite on LAL/OKC but I'm taking the Sixers based on this.

UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 4:36:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by composite:

There's 55% on the Thunder and 45% on the Lakers and they're raising the line from -7.5 to -8? 

Last time I checked, that's the definition of reverse line movement.

Now if you want to think that square $$ constitutes the 45% and sharp $$ constitutes the 55% that's up to you.  But remember, denial's not just a river in Egypt.

I'm tentatively on the Lakers. OKC struggled in its first 2 games v Dallas before Dirk & Co. threw in the towel and decided they wanted an early start on Cancun instead.  And I see this Laker team being much better than this year's Dallas team (w/o Chandler and Barea who were both sorely missed)

Bol on your Play..

UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/14/2012 4:53:29 PM

Play 2..Official..

Sixers +5..Bought Hook..

Also Small Prop Bet on Westbrook to go Over 24 Points at

 -115 as I see Value in this Play..

Will check Back Later...

Once again BOL To everyone Tonight..

-LB- PM -LB-
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Posted: 5/14/2012 5:10:38 PM
Bol brother!

Posted using a mobile device.
greengrocer PM greengrocer
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Posted: 5/14/2012 6:04:05 PM
boston and over,thunder and under gl brother
evilelvis PM evilelvis
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Posted: 5/14/2012 6:25:24 PM
  GL PORT.
dduukkee PM dduukkee
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Posted: 5/14/2012 6:27:20 PM
get money brotha, GL
-LB- PM -LB-
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Posted: 5/14/2012 6:54:21 PM
Lets make some paper brother!   
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