here's my initial thoughts on G3
the closest dominant team to this Phx team was Minn 2013 and Minn 2011. In 2013 Minn swept Atl winning closeout G3 @ Atl 86-77, this was after Minn beat Atl by 25pts each in G1 and G2, sound familiar? In that game both teams combined for 9-24 3pt'ers and 36-48 FT
in 2012 Indy closed out Minn in G4 in Indy 87-78. Neither team shot particularily well with indy shooting only 37% and both teams combining for 12-36 3pt'ers and 39-43 FT.
in 2011, and this is pivotal, Min closed out Atl once again in a G3 @ Atl in a low scoring 73-67. Both teams combined for 7-20 3pt'ers and 27-40 FT. They were on 1 day rest and coming off G2 where they both left it all on the floor in a 101-95 thriller. They had nothing left in the tank for G3.
in 2010 Sea closed out the whipping post Atl in G3 @ Atl 87-84. Both teams combined for 14-40 3pt'ers and 41-56 FT.
in 2009 Phx closed out Indy in G5 in Phx 94-86. Both teams combined for 16-36 3pt'ers and 38-45 FT. Taurasi, Taylor and Bonner carried the load and are only remaining players fromthat Championship team.
now if you look at the numbers from this years series we get G1 combined 8-30 3pt'ers and 17-18FT, G2 9-27 3pt'ers and 28-37FT. To me the I don't feel as if they both have "left it on the floor" yet. There is great room for advancement in both 3pt shots attempted and made and particularly FTA. As we can see both these categories go up dramatically in the closeout game of a Finals.
If you dig a little deeper, last time Phx was on the road they let a big lead slip away while Minn scored only 9pts in 1st qtr and the total still slipped over this total of 157. Before that Phx went into LA and despite Griner playing only 18minutes and Taurasi having an awful game (3-11) Phx still managed to annihilate 93-68. LA played about as bad as a team can play at home 1-123pt'ers and 11-22FT, who misses half their FTs? Anyways the total still climbed over what the man gives us tomorrow.
A strong factor for me is the potential referee crew. We've already gotten Gulbeyan/Simpson/Bonner in G1 and Blauch/Walker/Brewton G2 so by process of elimination, and it's really a guessing game as they don't post refs until tip off, I'd imagine we get some combination of Brooks-Clauser/Price/Mauer/Forsberg/Gulbeyan and that's fine with me because my stats show any combo thereof produce some higher totals. Price/Forsberg were in the 93-68 Phx/LA matchup, Price/Gulbeyan were in the G3 2012 Final game where Indy beat Min 87-78 despite shooting 37%. and Gulbeyan/Brooks were in that high paced G2 this year when Atl went to Chi and won 92-83 and we had 49FTA.
Once again, all those Finals were in October. this condensed season has led to many high scoring games because of a lack of defense and also offenses getting to know each other and so push the pace. Chi has been a team all season that don't play a lot of defense (don't be fooled by what they did to Indy, Indy can't score in a pinch) and also push when their backs are to the wall, like they are now.
We could definitely get a game where Phx locks in on D and Chi feels the pressure and goes on vacation early and it ends up 83-68 but I really think we might get that leave it on the floor type game where Chi finally gets to the line and makes a few 3pt shots and Phx gets theirs too. Both teams should be well rested with the 2 days off and I gotta believe Chi pushes the pace I this nothing to lose game. Maybe a 50pt + qtr bails us out but I think we get the over 157. 92-81 Phx not sure if it's a 33 bagger or what yet, gotta ruminate a bit more and see what you boys think
here's my initial thoughts on G3
the closest dominant team to this Phx team was Minn 2013 and Minn 2011. In 2013 Minn swept Atl winning closeout G3 @ Atl 86-77, this was after Minn beat Atl by 25pts each in G1 and G2, sound familiar? In that game both teams combined for 9-24 3pt'ers and 36-48 FT
in 2012 Indy closed out Minn in G4 in Indy 87-78. Neither team shot particularily well with indy shooting only 37% and both teams combining for 12-36 3pt'ers and 39-43 FT.
in 2011, and this is pivotal, Min closed out Atl once again in a G3 @ Atl in a low scoring 73-67. Both teams combined for 7-20 3pt'ers and 27-40 FT. They were on 1 day rest and coming off G2 where they both left it all on the floor in a 101-95 thriller. They had nothing left in the tank for G3.
in 2010 Sea closed out the whipping post Atl in G3 @ Atl 87-84. Both teams combined for 14-40 3pt'ers and 41-56 FT.
in 2009 Phx closed out Indy in G5 in Phx 94-86. Both teams combined for 16-36 3pt'ers and 38-45 FT. Taurasi, Taylor and Bonner carried the load and are only remaining players fromthat Championship team.
now if you look at the numbers from this years series we get G1 combined 8-30 3pt'ers and 17-18FT, G2 9-27 3pt'ers and 28-37FT. To me the I don't feel as if they both have "left it on the floor" yet. There is great room for advancement in both 3pt shots attempted and made and particularly FTA. As we can see both these categories go up dramatically in the closeout game of a Finals.
If you dig a little deeper, last time Phx was on the road they let a big lead slip away while Minn scored only 9pts in 1st qtr and the total still slipped over this total of 157. Before that Phx went into LA and despite Griner playing only 18minutes and Taurasi having an awful game (3-11) Phx still managed to annihilate 93-68. LA played about as bad as a team can play at home 1-123pt'ers and 11-22FT, who misses half their FTs? Anyways the total still climbed over what the man gives us tomorrow.
A strong factor for me is the potential referee crew. We've already gotten Gulbeyan/Simpson/Bonner in G1 and Blauch/Walker/Brewton G2 so by process of elimination, and it's really a guessing game as they don't post refs until tip off, I'd imagine we get some combination of Brooks-Clauser/Price/Mauer/Forsberg/Gulbeyan and that's fine with me because my stats show any combo thereof produce some higher totals. Price/Forsberg were in the 93-68 Phx/LA matchup, Price/Gulbeyan were in the G3 2012 Final game where Indy beat Min 87-78 despite shooting 37%. and Gulbeyan/Brooks were in that high paced G2 this year when Atl went to Chi and won 92-83 and we had 49FTA.
Once again, all those Finals were in October. this condensed season has led to many high scoring games because of a lack of defense and also offenses getting to know each other and so push the pace. Chi has been a team all season that don't play a lot of defense (don't be fooled by what they did to Indy, Indy can't score in a pinch) and also push when their backs are to the wall, like they are now.
We could definitely get a game where Phx locks in on D and Chi feels the pressure and goes on vacation early and it ends up 83-68 but I really think we might get that leave it on the floor type game where Chi finally gets to the line and makes a few 3pt shots and Phx gets theirs too. Both teams should be well rested with the 2 days off and I gotta believe Chi pushes the pace I this nothing to lose game. Maybe a 50pt + qtr bails us out but I think we get the over 157. 92-81 Phx not sure if it's a 33 bagger or what yet, gotta ruminate a bit more and see what you boys think
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.