This game will be a slow painful pace with all shots being contested as Fever are playing for their season. Dream are a different team on the road and average 8 points less than at home. Fever had the best home defence all year averaging just 69 points per game.
13 from 18 home games for Fever has gone under this total.
The last 8 games at Indy has gone under this total.
7 from 18 away games for Dream has gone under this total.
Fever has won at home by 5 points or more this season 9 times from 18 starts
Dream has lost by 5 points or more on the road 10 times from 18 starts.
You can't go past the recent home form of Indy. They are 10-4 in their last 14 games. Dream on the road are 2-12 in their last 14.
Lynx vs Mercury: Lynx -2.5 and under 158.5
Lynx destroyed the Mercury the other day by 23 points. I know it was in Minny but the Lynx have proven they can play away from home recently with 10-3 in their last 13 away games. The Mercury on the other hand aren't to good at home, they are 7-6 in their last 13 home games.
Prediction: 75-69 Fever
Lynx has won by 3 points or more on the road this season 12 from 18 starts
The Mercury has lost at home by 3 points on more 8 times from 18 starts.
The total has gone under 158.5 10 times in 18 games for Mercury at home this season. The under has been below 158.5
9-1 in their last 10 home games.
For Lynx on the road, the total has been under 158.5 9 times from 18 starts. Their last 5 games has been 4-1 under this total.
The 2 times they have played in PHO this year the totals have been 159 & 149.
Lynx average 86.33 against the Mercury, Mercury average just 69.16 against the Lynx this season
I just can't go past the stats on this one. Lynx have owned the Mercury all season (coaching change I know). Lynx have won by 23, 12, 5, 32, 11 & 20. That is very impressive record. The Mercury have now lost 13 straight against Minny in the past 3 seasons.
This game will be a slow painful pace with all shots being contested as Fever are playing for their season. Dream are a different team on the road and average 8 points less than at home. Fever had the best home defence all year averaging just 69 points per game.
13 from 18 home games for Fever has gone under this total.
The last 8 games at Indy has gone under this total.
7 from 18 away games for Dream has gone under this total.
Fever has won at home by 5 points or more this season 9 times from 18 starts
Dream has lost by 5 points or more on the road 10 times from 18 starts.
You can't go past the recent home form of Indy. They are 10-4 in their last 14 games. Dream on the road are 2-12 in their last 14.
Lynx vs Mercury: Lynx -2.5 and under 158.5
Lynx destroyed the Mercury the other day by 23 points. I know it was in Minny but the Lynx have proven they can play away from home recently with 10-3 in their last 13 away games. The Mercury on the other hand aren't to good at home, they are 7-6 in their last 13 home games.
Prediction: 75-69 Fever
Lynx has won by 3 points or more on the road this season 12 from 18 starts
The Mercury has lost at home by 3 points on more 8 times from 18 starts.
The total has gone under 158.5 10 times in 18 games for Mercury at home this season. The under has been below 158.5
9-1 in their last 10 home games.
For Lynx on the road, the total has been under 158.5 9 times from 18 starts. Their last 5 games has been 4-1 under this total.
The 2 times they have played in PHO this year the totals have been 159 & 149.
Lynx average 86.33 against the Mercury, Mercury average just 69.16 against the Lynx this season
I just can't go past the stats on this one. Lynx have owned the Mercury all season (coaching change I know). Lynx have won by 23, 12, 5, 32, 11 & 20. That is very impressive record. The Mercury have now lost 13 straight against Minny in the past 3 seasons.
haha I'll repost what I posted on your last thread earlier tonite, GL to us Aussie
It's time to step up my game and I'm going under big on both
Atl/Ind under 145.5 Minn/Phx under 158.5
home
teams should they win would prefer to institute their defensive stamp
on each game, I feel as playoffs go deeper shots are more coveted as
defenses become tighter, hopefully there is no Pokey to not call
timeouts when the opponent makes big runs and I still am not a believer
in Atl for some reason, I can see both games in the high 130's at best,
maybe I'm off and will pay dearly but these are where my chips will lay
and hope these stake me for a good run, GL boys
haha I'll repost what I posted on your last thread earlier tonite, GL to us Aussie
It's time to step up my game and I'm going under big on both
Atl/Ind under 145.5 Minn/Phx under 158.5
home
teams should they win would prefer to institute their defensive stamp
on each game, I feel as playoffs go deeper shots are more coveted as
defenses become tighter, hopefully there is no Pokey to not call
timeouts when the opponent makes big runs and I still am not a believer
in Atl for some reason, I can see both games in the high 130's at best,
maybe I'm off and will pay dearly but these are where my chips will lay
and hope these stake me for a good run, GL boys
LOL, great minds think alike Wagers.. I think Indy will defend well this game and try to keep control of the big players for Dream.
As for PHO, I think they will try and slow the game down because playing at a fast pace against Minny is dangerous. Minny are averaging above 50% from the floor..
LOL, great minds think alike Wagers.. I think Indy will defend well this game and try to keep control of the big players for Dream.
As for PHO, I think they will try and slow the game down because playing at a fast pace against Minny is dangerous. Minny are averaging above 50% from the floor..
Hey Guys. So far, I only locked MIN -1.5 right after the line opened (actually it opened at -1). I like the unders and Indy -5; but I am quite a bit more cagey about those plays. I am pretty sure Atlanta will be trying to push the ball again and, if they make a couple of threes in the 1H, like they did in GM1, Indy will be forced to push back to score. I just hope Zellous will have a big game; if she disappears again, Atlanta will probably win tomorrow. I think I will decide tomorrow, or just live-play the totals. Like under78.5 1H for the MIN game so I might play that. In general, all these four teams have a few very skilled players who can create their own shots and catch on fire so I am not so gang-ho on the unders. But GL with your plays guys.
Hey Guys. So far, I only locked MIN -1.5 right after the line opened (actually it opened at -1). I like the unders and Indy -5; but I am quite a bit more cagey about those plays. I am pretty sure Atlanta will be trying to push the ball again and, if they make a couple of threes in the 1H, like they did in GM1, Indy will be forced to push back to score. I just hope Zellous will have a big game; if she disappears again, Atlanta will probably win tomorrow. I think I will decide tomorrow, or just live-play the totals. Like under78.5 1H for the MIN game so I might play that. In general, all these four teams have a few very skilled players who can create their own shots and catch on fire so I am not so gang-ho on the unders. But GL with your plays guys.
For some reason, Im thinking that ATL are only going to get around 62-64 points in this game. They played really well against WSH on the road last week but that was a do or die game. This game for Indy is a do or die game. I think the 1H will be explosive and the teams will hit a couple of 3's and jumpers making the total go over for the 1H. But then after HT, i expect the teams to come out and really contest for every ball and contest every shot. Who knows, I could be completely wrong. its playoffs, anything is possible.
As for the Minny vs Pho, this for me is all about Minny. They want to win this series within 2 games so they get extra few days rest going into the WNBA Finals against either ATL or Indy. I think Minny will win by 5-8 points. Home court advantage isn't a big thing for Pho this season as they are about even on the road and at home.
For some reason, Im thinking that ATL are only going to get around 62-64 points in this game. They played really well against WSH on the road last week but that was a do or die game. This game for Indy is a do or die game. I think the 1H will be explosive and the teams will hit a couple of 3's and jumpers making the total go over for the 1H. But then after HT, i expect the teams to come out and really contest for every ball and contest every shot. Who knows, I could be completely wrong. its playoffs, anything is possible.
As for the Minny vs Pho, this for me is all about Minny. They want to win this series within 2 games so they get extra few days rest going into the WNBA Finals against either ATL or Indy. I think Minny will win by 5-8 points. Home court advantage isn't a big thing for Pho this season as they are about even on the road and at home.
Atlanta was eliminated by the Fever last year, after winning the GM1. I am pretty sure they will be very motivated and will not underestimate Indiana today. Ditto for Indiana. I am gonna throw a curveball and take o35.5 1Q for a 0.5 unit. Also taking PHX u78 1H. I think PHX will have to slow the game down as much possible; they should watch SEA/MIN tapes and study how SEA almost stole GM2.
Atlanta was eliminated by the Fever last year, after winning the GM1. I am pretty sure they will be very motivated and will not underestimate Indiana today. Ditto for Indiana. I am gonna throw a curveball and take o35.5 1Q for a 0.5 unit. Also taking PHX u78 1H. I think PHX will have to slow the game down as much possible; they should watch SEA/MIN tapes and study how SEA almost stole GM2.
ok, take this for what it's worth but I use ref trends/stats when I cap NBA but it's impossible to find pre-game ref assignments in WNBA so I've compiled the 16 refs in the playoffs, their tendancies and possible ref assignments for upcoming game with trends, fun right, may not pay off but something to factor in: Blauch, Brewton, Dawkins, Forsberg, Gulbeyan, Holtkamp, Humphrey, Inouye, Jarret, Mauer, Nunez, Pantoja, Price, Simpson, B. Smith, Walker
Under combos: Brewton, Mauer, Blauch, Price, Forsberg, Pantoja Over combos: Humphrey, B. Smith, Inouye
so if we eliminate the 3 refs that were on Ind/Atl game 1 (Inouye, Brewton, Forsberg) that leaves a pool of 13 refs and their tendancies, impossible to tell but for my under 145.5 I'd like to see any combo of Mauer, Price, Blauch, Pantoja
I'm just going to start a spreadsheet toady so maybe next year we have ref tendancies (eg. Inouye, Dawkins, Nunez crews allow a ton of FT's) and maybe we hire a member to travel and go to games everyday and post us the ref assignments before tip as they watch warm-ups haha. Anyways good luck and once we see the refs I hope it helps at least with more info for a halftime play.
ok, take this for what it's worth but I use ref trends/stats when I cap NBA but it's impossible to find pre-game ref assignments in WNBA so I've compiled the 16 refs in the playoffs, their tendancies and possible ref assignments for upcoming game with trends, fun right, may not pay off but something to factor in: Blauch, Brewton, Dawkins, Forsberg, Gulbeyan, Holtkamp, Humphrey, Inouye, Jarret, Mauer, Nunez, Pantoja, Price, Simpson, B. Smith, Walker
Under combos: Brewton, Mauer, Blauch, Price, Forsberg, Pantoja Over combos: Humphrey, B. Smith, Inouye
so if we eliminate the 3 refs that were on Ind/Atl game 1 (Inouye, Brewton, Forsberg) that leaves a pool of 13 refs and their tendancies, impossible to tell but for my under 145.5 I'd like to see any combo of Mauer, Price, Blauch, Pantoja
I'm just going to start a spreadsheet toady so maybe next year we have ref tendancies (eg. Inouye, Dawkins, Nunez crews allow a ton of FT's) and maybe we hire a member to travel and go to games everyday and post us the ref assignments before tip as they watch warm-ups haha. Anyways good luck and once we see the refs I hope it helps at least with more info for a halftime play.
Wagers, this is interesting, but if you used only playoff games the sample is way to small to draw any conclusions. This is the general problem with capping WNBA, even the regular season, there are not a lot of games to do much of a stat. analysis.
Wagers, this is interesting, but if you used only playoff games the sample is way to small to draw any conclusions. This is the general problem with capping WNBA, even the regular season, there are not a lot of games to do much of a stat. analysis.
by eliminating the 3 refs that did 1st game Phx/Min and the 3 refs working current Atl/Ind I'm going to guess out of the remaining 10 we get some combo of Brewton, Forsberg, Price, Inouye for Minn/Phx and 3 of those combos tend to the under, we shall see
by eliminating the 3 refs that did 1st game Phx/Min and the 3 refs working current Atl/Ind I'm going to guess out of the remaining 10 we get some combo of Brewton, Forsberg, Price, Inouye for Minn/Phx and 3 of those combos tend to the under, we shall see
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