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Author: [WNBA] Topic: WNBA FUTURES (as of 8/5)
penzfan17 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#1
Posted: 8/5/2011 6:05:30 PM
WOW.

Minnesota +250  

Seattle +350

Indy +550

Phoenix +700

CT/NY +800

SA +900

Unreal how Minny is now up to +250.  I understand their winning streak and all, but i just think it is way too big a move, especially for a team that hasn't had a lot of playoff experience.

Still love Phoenix.... Gaines will get things figured out and with LA as terrible as they are Phoenix will be in the dance for sure
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livin2gamble
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#2
Posted: 8/5/2011 6:16:38 PM
My book still offering Minny at 500,,
                               Indy at 600
                               Pho at 400
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#3
Posted: 8/5/2011 8:30:52 PM
I think that price is justified. Minnesota is pretty awesome. If Moore restrains herself from attempting more than 4-5 threes a game, they are an incredibly tough out. Two very able bigs, good-to-excellent PG and two excellent-to-star caliber wings.

And they don't act like an inexperienced team, except for the loss to Phoenix where Taurasi owned Moore. I want to think there will be more of the same in the playoffs, but I'm not sure.

If anything, a short three-game series benefits the underdog; Phoenix should clearly be an underdog to Minnesota if they meet in September.
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#4
Posted: 8/5/2011 11:55:36 PM
But +250?? Seattle was at that or slightly above at the start of the year and Seattle appeared to be a NO BRAINER favorite.

Just don't think +250 is a good bet at all, having to beat 2 of 3 GOOD teams in west then prolly CT or Indy.


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#5
Posted: 8/6/2011 2:53:45 AM
If you look at the history of WNBA GMs voting for the following season's champion, the incumbent champion is picked almost every time. Phoenix after their winning campaigns in 2007 and 2009. Seattle this year.

'No brainer' for the GMs, sure. They haven't picked correctly once. But we know better. And the bookmakers know better.

It's easier to correctly gauge teams' chances halfway through the regular season than before the first preseason game is played. We won't find many soft lines from now on.

I agree that +250 is over the top. But they *are* the favorites right now. Seattle wasn't the favorite to me before the season started. So I looked for a decent bet then, but I won't now.

Are you thinking of adding anything? San Antonio maybe?
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#6
Posted: 8/7/2011 2:50:49 PM
someone please go put $500 on Atlanta to win WNBA-2011 at 5dimes... +3000
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#7
Posted: 8/7/2011 2:54:56 PM
Has any of their top players been seriously (re)injured?

The only news I was able to dig up was this:

Lehning tore her right ACL in last Sunday's game

500 to win 15k is just absurd IMHO (I have this bet at +2000 and still think it's reasonable... definitely reflects the situation better than +3000... UNLESS I'm not aware of something very bad that's just happened to the team)
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#8
Posted: 8/7/2011 3:38:36 PM
28-14

Atlanta (30 to 1) is doubling up Seattle (3 to 1)


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#9
Posted: 8/7/2011 6:01:27 PM
Having Indiana, Phoenix and Atlanta to win it all, my perfect day would mean wins for Atlanta (check!), Phoenix (obviously!), Indiana (duh!) and Los Angeles (just to challenge the Storm, hopefully not the Mercury, for the playoff spot)

Go Mercury!
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#10
Posted: 8/7/2011 6:07:22 PM
I definitely think ATL can come out of the east.  Will look at what their price is tomorrow morning when they are posted again.

Problem is 5dimes limits me to $100 on WNBA futures :(
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#11
Posted: 8/7/2011 6:07:41 PM
Well $100 on bigger #'s, $250 on the low odds teams
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#12
Posted: 8/7/2011 6:18:44 PM
If you were online a few hours earlier, you'd have a $100 to win $3000 sitting pretty right now. Watch Chicago get pummeled today and Atlanta dropping to 18-1 again.
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#13
Posted: 8/7/2011 6:23:53 PM
I could definitely see that.  Although ATL's schedule is not easy...

9 of 14 left are on the road......

On a good note, 3 vs Washington (2 on road)  and 1 vs Tulsa.

And a huge game @ Chicago.

I may put $50 on it tomorrow morning depending on what happens :)

I don't think Chicago is just going to lay down and fall out of the playoffs though
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#14
Posted: 8/7/2011 7:47:46 PM
Chicago is getting smothered. They have lost the ball three times on inbound passes, must be the all-time WNBA record.
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#15
Posted: 8/8/2011 2:55:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MuggsyBogues:

Chicago is getting smothered. They have lost the ball three times on inbound passes, must be the all-time WNBA record.


Yet they win big.  Huge win for the Sky
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#16
Posted: 8/8/2011 4:22:55 PM
ATL still +3000
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#17
Posted: 8/9/2011 5:20:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MuggsyBogues:

Has any of their top players been seriously (re)injured?

The only news I was able to dig up was this:

Lehning tore her right ACL in last Sunday's game

500 to win 15k is just absurd IMHO (I have this bet at +2000 and still think it's reasonable... definitely reflects the situation better than +3000... UNLESS I'm not aware of something very bad that's just happened to the team)


Wow, I felt it coming. Get well soon Ms Price!
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#18
Posted: 8/9/2011 9:12:56 PM
You telling me this team is 30-1??? No way!
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#19
Posted: 8/11/2011 5:33:52 PM
No one is catching Minnesota for #1 seed in the west.  They don't exactly have the toughest schedule down the stretch and are 4 games ahead of everyone else.

#2 seed in the west is a real tossup, I really think phoenix gets it though.  Seattle can't win on the road and SA has a pretty bad record since their blazing hot start.  Hoping SA can stay in the #3 hole though, a Seattle matchup SCARES me big time for the Mercury
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#20
Posted: 8/11/2011 6:03:05 PM
What are you current futures? I have Atlanta Phoenix and Indiana at an average of +1400. No idea who to root for tonight =) But I'm sure it's not going to be one sided as a -6 spread would imply.

If you don't have Atlanta, you still have an hour to watch the final 5-10 minutes of their last game, see how insanely lucky they got to get in the position to win it, and how incredibly clutch they were on defense. I think +2650 is still ridiculous. They CAN get into playoffs and once they do.... just see what happened last year.

Sancho + Lyttle are just as good as Taylor and Taurasi or Moore and Augustus in my book. Sure there's a handicap to overcome being so far behind the top seeds, but in a 3 game series an experienced team like this just can't be worse than +200 underdog.

I suggest you put a little something on that +2650. Just in case my second favorite team beats my favorite team tonight.
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#21
Posted: 8/12/2011 4:19:39 PM
I only have Phoenix at +800 right now.  I'm still not sold that Atlanta can go into Indiana and win a series.  And I don't really want to tie up money that i will just try to hedge in 1st rd if they make the playoffs
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#22
Posted: 8/12/2011 6:40:31 PM
Nah I'm just dreaming. This team has a worse collective jumper than Tulsa Shock. Hell, they shoot worse jumpers than shaq shot free throws in his primetime!


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#23
Posted: 8/14/2011 2:08:33 AM
Well maybe they CAN shoot. Obviously, Seattle with Jackson will be a different beast since they won't allow basket drives nearly as often. But for now... there's hope that Atlanta makes the playoffs... and Seattle does not!
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#24
Posted: 8/17/2011 12:20:23 AM
HUGE win for the Mercury tonight! In great position for that #2 seed.

I am praying for a SA/Phoenix 1st rd matchup!
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#25
Posted: 8/17/2011 4:58:50 AM
Lauren Jackson healthy huh? I'm praying LA wins every game on the schedule, and bounce Seattle from the playoffs

Amazing couple of days. Chicago loses. Check. Minnesota loses. Check. Phoenix, Atlanta AND Indiana all win in dramatic fashion. friggin Check!

I cant believe bookmakers were giving Seattle 7 then 6 points. If they meet as seeds #2 (pho) and #3 (sea) in the first round, what do you think Game 1 spread will be? 6.5?.... AGAIN?
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