Aight with that being said here is my breakdown of the card.
3team parlay wisc/wisc und/Belfort .5u to win 2.84u
3team parlay wisc2nd und/BELFORT/49ers Ml .5u to win 2.12u
Bisbing vs Belfort
Vitor looked good at weigh ins... not too sucked in as he can sometimes look when he cuts to 185. This combined w/how good he looked to me on short notice vs Bones made this a must play for me. Belfort is super explosive and only has to touch u 1 time to hurt you. If his head is in the this fight and he doesn't gas I think he wins this fight 75% of the time. So when the line is this close I think he is a must play.
Sarafian vs Dalloway.
Imo Cb has looked good in 0 of his fights in the UFC. Hell he almost lost to an injured Jason Miller Not completely sold on Sarafian but my desire to fade Cb might lead to me throwing him in a parlay. If Daniel avoids being layed on for 2 of the 3 rds I can see him winning the decision, but he is also very explosive so I wouldn't be shocked if he was able to hurt CB before then.
Gonzaga vs Big Ben
I used to bet Gabe in almost every fight, the guy is an open weigh bjj champion, but since his head kick win he just doesn't take guys down and use his bjj. He is very heavy handed and has good kicks, but I wud still like to see him use his bjj. If this fight was vs the Rothwell we seen pre Schaub fight I would be on Gabe. However, Ben seems to be taking a new look at the fight game and looked incredible at the weigh in. Probably going to lay off this fight. Maybe toss 10 bux on it with a friend at the table. Just a hard fight to take as I could make legit arguments for either, hence why the line is so close lol.
Nunes vs Lentz
Oringally i was leaning on Nunes, but his lack of fnishes as of late started to scare me. A guy like Lentz is going to try to grind him out, and without Nunes giving me the comfort of a possible early finish decided to make this one a nonplay as well.
Prado vs Alcantara
Was waiting to see what they were going to do here. Alcantara was a fill in. That said the guy normally fights MW hence his 201 weigh in. If Prado doesn't get caught with something in the first rd, I would expect him to win this fight pretty easily if he uses his size and gnp's him.
1u at -230
Barboza vs Martins I was real hesitant at first because I had heard this Martins guy was tough as balls. However, he has 0 takedowns and his tdd is not up to par. Barboza went to jersey to work with Edgar and his camp. If he has any takedowns what so ever it will be a wrap. That being said, if the two just stand I expect Barboza to finish him that way as well. -300 is a little too much to lay, looking to parlay him with Prado and maybe Daniel Sara
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
LAST 5 SHOWS
SF finale -1.2u
ufc 155 +.05u
tuf 16 +3u
fx 6 +4.5u
ufc fox +2.3u
+ 8.65u since the return
Aight with that being said here is my breakdown of the card.
3team parlay wisc/wisc und/Belfort .5u to win 2.84u
3team parlay wisc2nd und/BELFORT/49ers Ml .5u to win 2.12u
Bisbing vs Belfort
Vitor looked good at weigh ins... not too sucked in as he can sometimes look when he cuts to 185. This combined w/how good he looked to me on short notice vs Bones made this a must play for me. Belfort is super explosive and only has to touch u 1 time to hurt you. If his head is in the this fight and he doesn't gas I think he wins this fight 75% of the time. So when the line is this close I think he is a must play.
Sarafian vs Dalloway.
Imo Cb has looked good in 0 of his fights in the UFC. Hell he almost lost to an injured Jason Miller Not completely sold on Sarafian but my desire to fade Cb might lead to me throwing him in a parlay. If Daniel avoids being layed on for 2 of the 3 rds I can see him winning the decision, but he is also very explosive so I wouldn't be shocked if he was able to hurt CB before then.
Gonzaga vs Big Ben
I used to bet Gabe in almost every fight, the guy is an open weigh bjj champion, but since his head kick win he just doesn't take guys down and use his bjj. He is very heavy handed and has good kicks, but I wud still like to see him use his bjj. If this fight was vs the Rothwell we seen pre Schaub fight I would be on Gabe. However, Ben seems to be taking a new look at the fight game and looked incredible at the weigh in. Probably going to lay off this fight. Maybe toss 10 bux on it with a friend at the table. Just a hard fight to take as I could make legit arguments for either, hence why the line is so close lol.
Nunes vs Lentz
Oringally i was leaning on Nunes, but his lack of fnishes as of late started to scare me. A guy like Lentz is going to try to grind him out, and without Nunes giving me the comfort of a possible early finish decided to make this one a nonplay as well.
Prado vs Alcantara
Was waiting to see what they were going to do here. Alcantara was a fill in. That said the guy normally fights MW hence his 201 weigh in. If Prado doesn't get caught with something in the first rd, I would expect him to win this fight pretty easily if he uses his size and gnp's him.
1u at -230
Barboza vs Martins I was real hesitant at first because I had heard this Martins guy was tough as balls. However, he has 0 takedowns and his tdd is not up to par. Barboza went to jersey to work with Edgar and his camp. If he has any takedowns what so ever it will be a wrap. That being said, if the two just stand I expect Barboza to finish him that way as well. -300 is a little too much to lay, looking to parlay him with Prado and maybe Daniel Sara
Hoping the play on Prado late doesn't bust me in the behind later. He is fighting a MW that too this fight on short notice, if he can't beat him I am going to be highly irritated. Also just realize that Belfort is a 5rd fight. I hope he stops him before the end of rd 2 or we cud be in some trouble.
0
FINAL PLAYS
.5 parlay wisc/wisc und/belfort to win 2.12u
.5parlay 2ndhalfwiscund/belfort/49ers ml 2.84u
1u Prado @ -230
.5 parlay prado/barboz/sarafine to win 1.07u
.5 parlay prado/barboza to win .45u
Hoping the play on Prado late doesn't bust me in the behind later. He is fighting a MW that too this fight on short notice, if he can't beat him I am going to be highly irritated. Also just realize that Belfort is a 5rd fight. I hope he stops him before the end of rd 2 or we cud be in some trouble.
You are tagging him in the stand up u have the size and power advantage... and that's what happenes? You lose to a guy they brought in just to have a fight happen?
0
You are tagging him in the stand up u have the size and power advantage... and that's what happenes? You lose to a guy they brought in just to have a fight happen?
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
