BACK at IT FOX 5 plays

Was posting on here a while ago just sort of stopped... was killing it... gonna come back on here for a few cards, get some momentum going and hopefully pick up a following.

Martinez vs Cruickshank

Was on Daron for 1u b4 the weigh ins at -125.  A lot of times there is some concern taking guys that come off the TUF show because they have a bigger fan base than a lot of the up and coming fighters and the lines to them do tend to get a little inflated.  That doesn't worry me here, Daron is one of the most well rounded fighters in this division and the weigh in miss by Martinez is just a bonus to me.  When someone comes in that much overweight and they haven't had a real big problem w/weigh like a A Johnson, something is usually wrong and they weren't able to train cardio as they should be.  158.5 is a really high number its not like this was a fill in fight and the guy wasn't aware of what was going on, these fox cards are set up further in advance than ppvs.  IMO all Daron has to do is get out of the first rd and it should be a fairly easy fight for him in the latter rounds.  Addition of another unit post weigh in

1u -125 1u -140  2u total.

Nijem vs Proctor

No need to get into a long speel here, the reason I am on Nijem is simple.  The guy is a better wrestler and very good on the ground.  He has good sub d and looked spectacular in his last fight.  Have a feeling that Nijem is going to "fitch" his way through a big portion of this fight.

1u -185

Swick vs Brown

Was it just me or any of you guys that have followed mma for a long time expect Swick to be -240?  I know brown went on record to say that he feels he is better in every area... which is interesting because I feel Swick is light yrs ahead on the feet, he is the more powerful, faster, better striker.  I honestly feel swick is going to finish Brown.  Brown's only chance imo is to make this a super dirty fight, clinch, ride the fence and make it awful to watch.   Keep in mind the Swick we seen a few years back was fighting at 70% due to his injuries.  Doctors were actually shocked he was able to do so.  He got the ring rust out last fight and has one of the best camps for WW.  I think Swick is gonna dominate this fight.  Wish I would have got on when it was released at -125

2u -160

Henderson vs Diaz

It shocks me how many ppl I am seeing on Diaz.  Nate's problem occurs when he faces bigger, stronger, wrestlers that are able to frustrate him and not allow him to fight on his pace.

^^^^^ does that not sound like Benson's exact description?  Benson is the bigger fighter. Diaz has the obvious better hands.  However, Benson isn't going to just stand there and play trade a hit with him.  Benson is gonna kick, benson is gonna put him on the cage, beat him up and take him down.  Diaz has great subs, but have you seen Benson's sub d?  It's redic, Guida had him in a guitine from top mount, that's one of the tightest chokes in the game and benson is just chilling like he is on vaca.

The idea of not taking the bigger, stronger, fighter here is a joke

2.5u -150

I wasn't aware of you in 2010, wasn't too big on the site.  Then in feb of 2011 I was in the middle of telling one of my friends that the line on the SIlva/Belfort fight was a joke and that Anderson easily should have been -400 if not more... he directed me to this site and your post.  You had talked about how there was so much value in Belfort and that you had 16.5 units on him.

At the time I thought it was a joke and that there was no way anyone who knew anything about mma would ever put that much money on Vitor (guys is known for being a headcase, not saying he doesn't have his reasons) but to do it when he is facing the best fighter on the planet?  I mean why would anyone do that?  Vitor's only chance in that fight was if he just barraged him right out of the gate or if he got lucky with some wild swing.  The problem w/that is Anderson has some of the best timing in MMA, the idea of anyone beating Anderson on their feet is pretty laughable.  Pretty laughable and then I read that some guy has 16.5 units on him. 

I mean why on earth would anyone ever put that much volume on someone that only has a punchers chance?  Especially when you're only getting 2 to 1?  So when I read that as I am telling my boy that Anderson is the play of the year here... I mean I thought you were square as f*ck.  Then there were a few plays after that, that I strongly disagreed with so for the rest of that year we actually would just fade you when in question.  I am not saying I would have an opinion on a fight and then instantly change it if you were on it, but if I liked something and you were on the other side it would get an extra unit or two. 

It would seem that you like to eat popcorn...  just kinda drifted away from the site,  Which is why I haven't been posting alot hence why the post has the words "back at it" in the title.  I mean you can't be as square as I originally thought if ur up the units you are now... but i am still confused by some of the things you do. 

This isn't me trying to be funny, but why would you dirty Henderson w/a parlay?  Like I could understand if you had a straight bet on him and then drifted one of the units off to include him in a parlay because you thought he was the best play on the card and was going to win, but to have such a big parlay with Easton confuses me.  I understand that Easton looks the part and had a nice debut but other than that I just haven't been that impressed.w/him. He won a questionable majority decision over Jared Papazian (who took the fight on real short notice and then got dominated by Dustin Pague in his next outing) then to take him at such a high price when he is fighting a guy that has looked great since he moved down in weight classes... I mean idk just seemed like a bad play to dirty up the best play on the card if u didn't have an outright bet on it.

I mean I get it, you wanted to take easton and thought u found a way to get some of the juice down, however in that particular play he just didn't add enough value to the play imo.