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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: UFC on FX 5 & Bellator 75
MR219 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#1
Posted: 10/4/2012 8:05:05 PM
YTD Record:
Overall: 121-138-2, -80.05 Units ,,
UFC: 94-100-2, -59.55 Units ,,
Strikeforce: 11-11, +3.30 Units 
Bellator: 16-27, -23.80 Units ,,
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units 
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units 
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units 

I had my best MMA capping weekend in months last weekend.  Hopefully, it is a sign of good things to come.  Here is what I have locked in on so far:

1.  Marcus Levesseur (-115) over Carlo Prater.  Risking 2.3 units to win 2 units.

2.  Aaron Simpson (+153) over Mike Pierce.  Risking 2 units to win 3.05 units.  Simpson looked so much bigger and stronger than Pierce at the weigh-ins.  I had this line capped as a PK'em before the lines were released, so I am happy to take Simpson in this spot.

3.  Danny Castillo (+140) over Michael Johnson.  Risking 2 units to win 2.8 units.  I actually thought Castillo would be favoured in this fight .  Still not impressed by Johnson.  He needs to do more than beat an over hyped Ferguson and a piss poor figher IQ'd Roller before I change my mind on this guy.  I still can't get the image of Johnson losing to Featherweight Brookins out of my head...

4.  Josh Neer - Justin Edwards under 2.5 rounds (-140).  Risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit.

5.  Yves Edwards - Jeremy Stephens under 2.5 rounds (+110).  Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units.

6.  Bart Palaszewski (+185) over Diego Nunes.  Risking 1 unit to win 1.85 units.

I will probably have some Bellator plays and a couple of UFC parlays tomorrow!

For tonight, Lets Go RAMS!!!   
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#2
Posted: 10/4/2012 8:17:00 PM
We're gonna be on some opposites next couple days.

I took an alt line of az +3.5 -200. Maybe we can both cash!
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whipton
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#3
Posted: 10/4/2012 8:54:19 PM
GL tmrw 
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ctm1985
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#4
Posted: 10/4/2012 11:51:52 PM
Simpson 

Good luck!  Keep it rolling 
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#5
Posted: 10/5/2012 12:32:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

We're gonna be on some opposites next couple days.

I took an alt line of az +3.5 -200. Maybe we can both cash!

Rams!!!  

Sorry bud...

Do you generally play a lot of Alternative NFL lines? 
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#6
Posted: 10/5/2012 12:32:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by whipton:

GL tmrw 

You too!  
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#7
Posted: 10/5/2012 12:34:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ctm1985:

Simpson 

Good luck!  Keep it rolling 

I can't believe people would be willing to lay that kind of juice with Pierce in this spot....

Hopefully, I will stay hot!  BOL with your plays! 
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#8
Posted: 10/5/2012 1:49:35 AM
pierce getting slammed harrd so far, gonna wait a bit to get a better line on sampson, also I think jhonson is getting pummeled, those are probably my 2 plays, might parlay them with browne, GL sir, stay hot!
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#9
Posted: 10/5/2012 9:11:30 AM
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#10
Posted: 10/5/2012 9:23:14 AM
I don't feel confident in anyone who lost to Cody McKenzie. 

I lean the other way on most of those but won't bet many of them.  So good luck on the card!
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#11
Posted: 10/5/2012 9:30:31 AM
MR, that may have been the worst game ever last night. Horrible offense both sides. I don't play a lot if alt lines but have had good success in past.
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#12
Posted: 10/5/2012 10:56:49 AM
 Same thoughts on Johnson.
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#13
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:35:28 PM
Pinnacle just voided my Stephens - Edwards under 2.5 rounds bet stating that the fight has been postponed.
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#14
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:42:36 PM
Updated Card:

1.  Parlay of Jacob Volkmann over Shane Roller and John Dodson over Jussier Formiga.  Risking 6.1 units to win 6 units.

2.  Parlay of Travis Browne over Bigfoot Silva and Josh Neer over Justin Edwards.  Risking 3.6 units to win 3 units.

3.  Parlay of Jake Ellenberger over Jay Hieron and Darren Uyenoyama over Phil Harris.  Risking 2.95 units to win 2 units.

4.  Marcus Levesseur (-115) over Carlo Prater.  Risking 2.3 units to win 2 units.

5.  Aaron Simpson (+153) over Mike Pierce.  Risking 2 units to win 3.05 units. 

6.  Danny Castillo (+140) over Michael Johnson.  Risking 2 units to win 2.8 units. 

7.  Josh Neer - Justin Edwards under 2.5 rounds (-140).  Risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit.

8.  Bart Palaszewski (+185) over Diego Nunes.  Risking 1 unit to win 1.85 units.

9.  Travis Browne - Bigfoot Silva under 1.5 rounds (+110).  Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units.
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#15
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:44:55 PM
Bellato Plays:

1.  Brett Rogers (-110) over Alexander Volkov.  Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units.

2.  Mark Holata (-130) over Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz.  Risking 2.6 units to win 2 units.

3.  Mike Wessel - Richard Hale over 1.5 rounds (-115).  Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit.

4.  Mike Wessel (+240) over Richard Hale.  Risking 1 unit to win 2.4 units.
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#16
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:50:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by deserted:

pierce getting slammed harrd so far, gonna wait a bit to get a better line on sampson, also I think jhonson is getting pummeled, those are probably my 2 plays, might parlay them with browne, GL sir, stay hot!

Thanks bud!

BOL with your plays tonight!!!  
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#17
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:50:41 PM
pierce will stuff all take down attempts and thats clearly wat simpson wants to do. on pierce but good luck one of us will b happy
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#18
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:51:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CTownLetdown:

 Same thoughts on Johnson.

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#19
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:53:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sharpstick:


Dodson,,,,
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#20
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:55:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jonnyg4508:

I don't feel confident in anyone who lost to Cody McKenzie. 

I lean the other way on most of those but won't bet many of them.  So good luck on the card!

He was dominating McKenzie up until that point.  In interviews after, he said he was really tense and was suffering the octagon jitters we always here about.  I think we see the real Levesseur tonight.

BOL on your plays!
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#21
Posted: 10/5/2012 4:58:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KobezKing:

pierce will stuff all take down attempts and thats clearly wat simpson wants to do. on pierce but good luck one of us will b happy

I think Simpson's game plan is to clinch with Pierce against the cage Courture style, not necessarily to try to take Pierce down.  I think he will be successful during the first 2 rounds executing that game plan before slowing down in the 3rd.  It should be enough for Simpson to win by decision.
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#22
Posted: 10/5/2012 5:02:18 PM
yes i guess i kind of agree with you. my view is a edge toward pierce but if u see it as coin flip fight ur def on rite side with value
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#23
Posted: 10/5/2012 5:02:42 PM
does anyone have a link to fight comcast doesnt have fuel tv
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#24
Posted: 10/5/2012 6:31:56 PM
Imma add the under 1.5 rounds in the main event, gonna give you props for that one later
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#25
Posted: 10/5/2012 6:55:14 PM
Squeaked it out!
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