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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: UFC 152
whipton send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
whipton
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#51
Posted: 9/19/2012 12:29:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by whipton:

143

Erick Silva
++++++++++++
switches stance (southpaw/ortho)
muay thai/jits
good striker
good kicks (body/legs) 
good td ???
good gnp 
good jits
good top control 
< avg tdd ???
guard ???
chin ???
< avvg cardio ???
grapplers gas him out ???



oop 153
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#52
Posted: 9/19/2012 12:33:38 PM

Love your info, Whip. I'm glad you're back into threadin here again

 I have been doing OK at MMA lately, but I can't even be called a capper. I've never watched video for prep - I tried to take notes as a watched fights but gave it up.

I pick solely on fight memory, reading websites, and fighter histories.

That said, I have perhaps missed 2, or maybe 3 UFC events in the past 6-7 years

I'm a MMA (UFC mainly) Junkie!!!

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#53
Posted: 9/19/2012 12:36:40 PM
the secrets out thats my style.


fight capping 101
=============
watch all the footy
keeps notes
envision both fighters gameplan 
envision the the result 
============================
keys to fight capping confidence

hopefully success 


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#54
Posted: 9/19/2012 12:45:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

.

I pick solely on fight memory, reading websites, and histories.



i remember carmont/camozzi. i went on youtube checked out 1 vid on carmont a read a comment someone made that said "carmont always gasses after 1 round" the degenerate in me decided that sounded like a  good enough source, and went with camozzi. smh. 
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#55
Posted: 9/19/2012 1:43:34 PM
Actually preflight I google UFC 152 predictions and pool as much info as I can
Tapplogy a bit. I finished half a prediction myself
Love sherdog previews
I would never bet on one persons opinion except for about 5 guys on this forum
I'm going to start going with my gut more. I often chicken out on a dog close to fight
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#56
Posted: 9/19/2012 1:57:31 PM
i dig that sherdog preview, i forgot about it though until you just mentioned it. the dudes on the stann, cubby bandwagon. a bit more confidence in those picks. i feeling this 152 card and might have to go "ctm" on it and throw down like 20 prop bets.
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#57
Posted: 9/19/2012 2:52:17 PM
lines came out

walel a bit chalkier than i would have guessed
charlie a bit chalkier than i would have guessed
lance i was pretty much dead on about my guess
hettes is super chalky; kinda surprised me
seth & igor open as faves i would have guessed that as well
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#58
Posted: 9/19/2012 3:35:24 PM
that grant line has dropped massively 
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#59
Posted: 9/19/2012 3:51:34 PM
Hail Mary Parlay (0.1u for 60u)
=======================
jon
dj
stann
matt
cubby
igor
tj 
lance
jimy
seth 
walel

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#60
Posted: 9/19/2012 4:00:54 PM
Grant went frOm 200 to 150 in 2 hrs on bodog.
Best play on that fight may b decision
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#61
Posted: 9/19/2012 4:10:11 PM
my early thoughts
=============
jon via tko -115
jon via sub +213
jon/vitor < 1.5 -125
stann +155
stann via dec +468
dj via dec +435
cub +180
grant +150

parlay +185
======
lance 
matt 
hettes 
jon 

parlay + 420
============
walel
charlie
seth
igor
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#62
Posted: 9/19/2012 4:18:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

Grant went frOm 200 to 150 in 2 hrs on bodog.
Best play on that fight may b decision

i think i'm going to play grant straight up rather than the fight going to the distance because i think the the dec. odds will be @ -200 + range.
if your book allows you to use > 2.5 rds as a parlay piece  now we're talking potential awesome play.
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#63
Posted: 9/19/2012 4:19:19 PM
i am waiting to see the grant via dec odds. 
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#64
Posted: 9/19/2012 4:29:05 PM
waiting list 
========
hettes via sub
charlie via dec
igor via ko/tko
cub/oli itd
evan/grant > 2.5rds

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#65
Posted: 9/19/2012 8:49:29 PM
There's some new props on bodog. One I like is over 2.5 decisions at +130

Brennman fight, bisping fight, Dunham fight I think have a good chance
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#66
Posted: 9/20/2012 3:12:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

There's some new props on bodog. One I like is over 2.5 decisions at +130

Brennman fight, bisping fight, Dunham fight I think have a good chance

which fight is +130 ?


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#67
Posted: 9/20/2012 4:29:54 PM
Over 2.5 fights will go to decision
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#68
Posted: 9/20/2012 4:30:10 PM
Pays +130
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#69
Posted: 9/20/2012 6:37:25 PM
Upon closer look, not all fights on card are included
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#70
Posted: 9/20/2012 7:35:59 PM
stann via dec +643  (0.2u for 1.3u)
FOTN oli/cub +625  (0.1u for 0.6u)

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#71
Posted: 9/20/2012 7:50:00 PM
parlay (1u for 1.8u)
===============
jon 
matt
lance 
jimy

*probably drop more (u) on this later
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#72
Posted: 9/20/2012 8:01:48 PM
dj via dec +425 (0.5u for 2.1u)
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#73
Posted: 9/20/2012 8:09:00 PM
cub +205 (0.5u for 1u)
tj +160 (0.5u for 1u)
stann +155 (0.5u for 0.8u)

*will add more (u) to these later
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#74
Posted: 9/20/2012 8:15:13 PM
parlay (0.5u for 2.1u)
================
seth
walel
igor/vinny itd
tj/evan via dec
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#75
Posted: 9/20/2012 9:37:05 PM
Nice plays
Real good chance on fotn
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