Upcoming bouts, would love opinions on these!

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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: Upcoming bouts, would love opinions on these!
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Posted: 8/22/2012 5:07:38 PM
I see 3 fights coming up this year (with lines that are open) , that I think are wrong, give me your thoughts please ! 

Struve (+210) vs Mocic, 
Belcher(+155) vs Belfort
Silva(-105)vs Fitch

I understand Mocic is a golden glove boxer, but he has no gas tank, and Struve and looked fantastic in his last few, taking his time and sticking to the outside never letting opponents test his glass jaw.

I think Belcher is bigger stronger and more athletic, I think he can win this fight easy if he gets anywhere inside

Eric Silva vs Jon Fitch plays out simular to the Charlie B. fight a few cards ago, I don't see how Fitch wins

Just a normal guy who likes to line shop always looking for info! I think all 3 of these will lose value as time goes on, what do you guys think!
sawman PM sawman
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Posted: 8/22/2012 5:49:17 PM
I have belcher and Struve already
I like silva too. I think he can submit or KO Fitch. But I also think Fitch has a chance to lay on top for 3
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MR219 PM MR219
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Posted: 8/22/2012 6:08:41 PM
Silva is the only one I like at the moment, but my opinion could always change closer to fight time...
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Posted: 8/23/2012 1:57:50 AM
Gassing out in the latter rounds of your first fight in the UFC against a tough grinder does not necessarily mean he "has no gas tank". You don't become a NCAA DIV 1 wrestler by gassing out in your matches. I bet Miocic had an adrenaline dump in his first fight. Anyways I like your other picks. 
ctm1985 PM ctm1985
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Posted: 8/23/2012 2:13:10 AM
I like all three  

Miocic does have the skill to put Struve out in round 1 though.
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Posted: 8/23/2012 3:59:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

I have belcher and Struve already
I like silva too. I think he can submit or KO Fitch. But I also think Fitch has a chance to lay on top for 3

I think the fitch ear is over ( hopefully and ty god !) , we'll see here I guess lol
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Posted: 8/23/2012 4:01:08 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by crowat:

Gassing out in the latter rounds of your first fight in the UFC against a tough grinder does not necessarily mean he "has no gas tank". You don't become a NCAA DIV 1 wrestler by gassing out in your matches. I bet Miocic had an adrenaline dump in his first fight. Anyways I like your other picks. 

Moiocic dosn't look comfortable in the ring to me, I guess we'll see!
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Posted: 8/23/2012 4:02:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MR219:

Silva is the only one I like at the moment, but my opinion could always change closer to fight time...

get changin' it !
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Posted: 8/23/2012 4:03:25 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ctm1985:

I like all three  

Miocic does have the skill to put Struve out in round 1 though.

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Posted: 8/23/2012 4:43:05 AM
Also! If you like Eric Silva, I would lock it in sooner than later, I think he'll be -160 or grosser by fight time, it's already when from -103 to -120 at pinny!
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Posted: 8/23/2012 8:53:50 AM
Is hendo out of the bones fight?
That's the rumor
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sawman PM sawman
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Posted: 8/23/2012 11:27:13 AM
On that note. It perhaps appears as tho hendo will at least be fighting hurt if the fight goes on
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Posted: 8/23/2012 12:31:53 PM
I hope he does, i have Bones finishing up at least 6 different parlays.
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Slovak PM Slovak
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Posted: 8/23/2012 12:39:55 PM
Erik Silva should be -200
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Posted: 8/23/2012 1:09:14 PM
http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2012/8/23/3262949/dana-white-to-make-announcement-regarding-ufc-151-at-2-pm-et

Not looking good. Press conference in an hour for Dana to tell us something about UFC 151. /sigh I have Jones over Hendo to finish some parlays as well.
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Posted: 8/23/2012 1:09:19 PM
Guys I think Hendo is actually out.  Something big is going on anyways.  All of those rumours have been flying around, now Dana is holding a press conference in an hour from now with an announcement regarding UFC 151.

and FrontRowBrian (has been first with some big stories before) just tweeted this:

"I'll fill in the blanks later but Dana's announcement will make history. @KevinI was given story by UFC. He'll break it. Crazy story."
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Posted: 8/23/2012 1:10:14 PM
Yeah crowat I think there will be alot of early parlay payouts.  This is nuts.
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Posted: 8/23/2012 1:31:18 PM

guaranteed the fight's off. If Dana wanted to squash the rumors, he would have tweeted "theres nothing to worry about" hours ago.

I'd say theres a small chance that Machida or Evans would step in to try to salvage the card

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Posted: 8/23/2012 2:35:14 PM
UFC 151 is cancelled !
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Posted: 8/24/2012 4:34:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Slovak:

Erik Silva should be -200

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Posted: 9/1/2012 1:27:11 AM
well Belcher/Belfort is a wipe, Struve is down to +200 at pinny, what do you guys think of this damein /rick story line, I think Rick Story is a huge tomato can, and if Maia has any brains left or accidentally uses his Ju-Jitsu he should win this one ez at -115
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Posted: 9/2/2012 9:42:28 PM
I don't think story is a can at all. He has fought some if the best in the division

Big country vs carwin. The two best chins in The UFC. I like Nelson as a dog. Carwin has been very inactive. Nelson never takes fights to the ground but if it goes there I think he pulls off a sub. I like country's stand up better. I would say their gas tanks are both not great

Browne vs Bigfoot. I like Browne at the -225. Hell be way quicker

Cormier vs Mir. I have a Cormier texeira parlay already. Mir will be forced to stand and eventually Mir will catch a big shot and go down

Hendricks kampmann. Same as above. Kampmann forced to stand and eventually Hendrick catches him

Rua Gustafson. I love gust, but ruas tough to hurt. I think there's a chance rua wins even though he may take a beating in the process

JLau Maynard. I like JLau preliminarily

Cerrone pettis. Tough to call but will be a beauty. I think pettis opens as slight fav

Thoughts?
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ctm1985 PM ctm1985
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Posted: 9/4/2012 2:36:50 AM
Just bet 2u on this baby:

Benavidez
Bisping/Stann goes distance
Ellenberger
Teixera
Erick Silva
Franklin
Hendricks
Gustafsson
Jr Dos Santos

Pays 40 - 1
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Posted: 9/4/2012 2:44:51 AM
Sawman I agree with most of that, but I think Shogun is in for an absolute beatdown.  His head movement and gas tank just seem non-existent nowadays.. and that's not just based on the Vera fight, I think he's been in a steady decline.  Gustafsson is on a tear, I love that guy, I think -205 is a steal.

Country vs Carwin will be interesting, Nelson is a live dog, I think we'll see 2 guys breathing heavy halfway through the fight, it hits the ground eventually and Nelson has enough in him to lock in a submission.

I think Bigfoot is live as well actually, if he gets through the first round..

How come you're thinking Lauzon?  I was surprised at the -350 for Maynard but it's kinda making sense.  I can't wait for Pettis/Cerrone, that had better go down, it's such a sweet matchup.
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Posted: 9/4/2012 9:30:12 AM
I like jlau's full tool box better than Maynard's. But yr right, gray should be a heavy fav

Rua's in the twilight of career but I loOk at the trouble gust had finishing silva and rua may be tougher. Also right, rua has no foot movement. And he looks out of shape when he fights. It should b target practice but I can also see gust getting tired and catching a bomb

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