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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: UFC 147 Plays
MR219 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#1
Posted: 6/23/2012 6:52:13 PM
YTD Record:
Overall: 82-97-1, -56.65 Units ,,
UFC: 63-69-1, -48.55 Units ,,
Strikeforce: 7-7, -1.80 Units ,
Bellator: 12-21, -6.30 Units ,
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units
 
My catastrophic fall as an elite MMA capper has been down-right scary ,
 
I was planning to take the night off, but the degen in me won't allow it!!!
 
I am going to scale back dramatically tonight.  My starting bankroll for this card is 3.05 units.  If I win some fights early, I might add some more plays.  However, the way I am going right now, absolutely no one should tail.  IMO, these plays are for "entertainment purposes only" 
 
1.  Felipe Arantes (-155) over Milton Vieira.  Risking 1.55 units to win 1 unit.
 
2.  Thiago Perpetuo (-134) over Leonardo Mafra.  Risking 1 unit to win 0.75 units.
 
3.  John Teixeira (+170) over Hugo Viana.  Risking 0.5 units to win 0.85 units.
 
BOL to everyone with your plays!  I sure has need some luck of my own...
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#2
Posted: 6/23/2012 6:56:48 PM
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#3
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:10:54 PM

Hey, man:

 

Good luck tonight...I'm feeling Franklin and Russow...thoughts?

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#4
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:29:33 PM
arantes got screwed
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#5
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:32:15 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by nbpayton:

arantes got screwed

No kidding...!!!

How the f*ck did one of the judges score that 28-28?!? 

There was no 10-8 round in that fight, but I guess one of the judges thought Vieira did enough in the first to get a 10-8.

Arantes clearly won the 2nd and 3rd rounds...

Man, when things go bad, they really go bad....

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#6
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:32:42 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sharpstick:

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#7
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:33:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esprague:

Hey, man:

 

Good luck tonight...I'm feeling Franklin and Russow...thoughts?

I like Franklin, but Russow has zero chance.  He won't be able to take Werdum down, and will get lit up in the standup.  This is Werdum vs Nelson all over again IMO...

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#8
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:34:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MR219:

No kidding...!!!

How the f*ck did one of the judges score that 28-28?!? 

There was no 10-8 round in that fight, but I guess one of the judges thought Vieira did enough in the first to get a 10-8.

Arantes clearly won the 2nd and 3rd rounds...

Man, when things go bad, they really go bad....

On the bright side, at least I did not lose another bet...

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#9
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:35:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MR219:

No kidding...!!!

How the f*ck did one of the judges score that 28-28?!? 

There was no 10-8 round in that fight, but I guess one of the judges thought Vieira did enough in the first to get a 10-8.

Arantes clearly won the 2nd and 3rd rounds...

Man, when things go bad, they really go bad....


Yeah rounds 2 & 3 were his unless someone gave 2 a draw because of the ONE kick. At least we didn't lose it.
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#10
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:47:31 PM
GL With the fights tonight..  Hope things turn around for ya.
 
     only fight i like tonight is Franklin, went 2 for 3 last night but broke even due to Hioki costing me $600, i was impressed with Lamas's sub skills, Hioki is a very technical grappler but why the hell did he keep sticking his neck in that guillotine, over and over again in the 2nd and 3rd he kept doing it
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#11
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:49:21 PM

Mr,

Yeah, I couldn't find anyone on the entire internet taking russow, haha...I'm tailling you on Tex and Perpetuo.  Tex seems like great value against a guy with little experience.  Thanks.


Erik

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#12
Posted: 6/23/2012 7:53:57 PM

Hey, Mr:

 

Have you thought of just doing some big parlays for cheap money, just until you clear your head.  There are cheap ways to get action, but I'm sure you already know that:

06/23 07:44 PM 1424042358- 1 Money Line $9.69 $300.13 U.F.C. U.F.C. - Rich Franklin -165 for Fight LinesU.F.C. U.F.C. - Cezar Ferreira -300 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Rony Mariano Bezerra -280 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Fabricio Werdum -500 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Yuri Alcantara -220 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Rodrigo Damm -220 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - John Teixeira +160 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Thiago Perpetuo -150 for Fight Lines

 

 

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#13
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:03:53 PM
I am topping up on plays #2 and #3.
 
UPDATED CARD:
 
1. Felipe Arantes (-155) over Milton Vieira. Risking 1.55 units to win 1 unit.
2. Thiago Perpetuo over Leonardo Mafra. Total play is risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit.
3. John Teixeira over Hugo Viana. Total play is risking 1 unit to win 1.65 units.
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#14
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:05:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by --phillyfan--:

GL With the fights tonight..  Hope things turn around for ya.
 
     only fight i like tonight is Franklin, went 2 for 3 last night but broke even due to Hioki costing me $600, i was impressed with Lamas's sub skills, Hioki is a very technical grappler but why the hell did he keep sticking his neck in that guillotine, over and over again in the 2nd and 3rd he kept doing it

Thanks for the kind words...

Lamas is a stud!  I have always liked him, and hit a big play on him over Cub Swanson.  However, I thought Hioki would take that fight.  I really think Hioki simply gassed in the fight.  That is why he could not advance in Lamas' guard...

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#15
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:07:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esprague:

Hey, Mr:

 

Have you thought of just doing some big parlays for cheap money, just until you clear your head.  There are cheap ways to get action, but I'm sure you already know that:

06/23 07:44 PM 1424042358- 1 Money Line $9.69 $300.13 U.F.C. U.F.C. - Rich Franklin -165 for Fight LinesU.F.C. U.F.C. - Cezar Ferreira -300 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Rony Mariano Bezerra -280 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Fabricio Werdum -500 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Yuri Alcantara -220 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Rodrigo Damm -220 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - John Teixeira +160 for Fight Lines
U.F.C. U.F.C. - Thiago Perpetuo -150 for Fight Lines

 

 

Not a good strategy in the long run, but it is a cheap way to enjoy the evening...

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#16
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:08:42 PM
haha, true...unless, Perpetuo gets knocked out in the first 5 seconds here, haha...
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#17
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:21:37 PM
left you some thoughts in other thread......
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#18
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:22:55 PM
there ya go dude!  good job!...1 down...only 7 to go for me, haha
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#19
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:23:02 PM

good start....let's build some momentum off that win

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#20
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:23:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by refer:

left you some thoughts in other thread......

Thanks again for your advice!!!

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#21
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:24:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MR219:

YTD Record:
Overall: 82-97-1, -56.65 Units ,,
UFC: 63-69-1, -48.55 Units ,,
Strikeforce: 7-7, -1.80 Units ,
Bellator: 12-21, -6.30 Units ,
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units
 
My catastrophic fall as an elite MMA capper has been down-right scary ,
 
I was planning to take the night off, but the degen in me won't allow it!!!
 
I am going to scale back dramatically tonight.  My starting bankroll for this card is 3.05 units.  If I win some fights early, I might add some more plays.  However, the way I am going right now, absolutely no one should tail.  IMO, these plays are for "entertainment purposes only" 
 
1.  Felipe Arantes (-155) over Milton Vieira.  Risking 1.55 units to win 1 unit.
 
2.  Thiago Perpetuo (-134) over Leonardo Mafra.  Risking 1 unit to win 0.75 units.
 
3.  John Teixeira (+170) over Hugo Viana.  Risking 0.5 units to win 0.85 units.
 
BOL to everyone with your plays!  I sure has need some luck of my own...
well we can't lose PERPETUO-LOL !!!!
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#22
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:24:10 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by esprague:

haha, true...unless, Perpetuo gets knocked out in the first 5 seconds here, haha...

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#23
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:24:38 PM
Perpetuo
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#24
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:25:16 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MR219:

Perpetuo

Now I can add another play...

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#25
Posted: 6/23/2012 8:26:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MR219:

Thanks again for your advice!!!

No problem....look at your win % and see what you think....if you have a + win % but are losing units that is usually the case. Have to get back in mode of a -300 favorite has to be able to win the fight 8 out of 10 times to be a winning play....that is really tough to do in MMA

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