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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: Bellator 63 Plays
MR219 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
MR219
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#1
Posted: 3/30/2012 5:57:45 PM
YTD Record:
Overall: 47-42-1, +19.25 Units
UFC: 34-27-1, +15.95 Units
Strikeforce: 6-5, +2.85 Units
Bellator: 7-10, +0.45 Units
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units
 
Although I am slightly behind last year's winning pace, I just can't seem to string together consecutive good weeks at the moment.  My Bellator 61 plays got slaughtered, but I bounced back nicely last week.  Who knows what tonight will bring...
 
Once again, I am dog heavy, which is typically the way to go when betting Bellator.  Here are the plays:
 
1.  Karl Amoussou (+160) over Chris Lozano.  Risking 2.85 units to win 4.55 units.  I was about to lock in at +140 and it jumped up to +160 before I locked in.   Now I see it has jumped further to +175.   I am not sure why there has been so much Chris Lozano action on Pinny over the last 10 minutes.  Most of the other books still have Amoussou in the +140 range...
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#2
Posted: 3/30/2012 6:02:41 PM

2.  Karl Amoussou - Chris Lozano over 1.5 rounds (-115).  Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit.

3.  David Rickels (+153) over Jordan Smith.  Risking 2 units to win 3.05 units.  Two very even fighters, with Smith taking this fight on short notice.  I will take my chances with Rickels...

4.  David Rickels - Jordan Smith over 2.5 rounds (+115).  Risking 2 units to win 2.3 units. 

5.  Carlos Pereira (+285) over Bryan Baker.  Risking 1 unit to win 2.85 units.

6.  Carlos Pereira - Bryan Baker under 1.5 rounds (+120).  Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units.

No play on the Ben Saunders fight.  I think he wins, but will not lay that kind of juice on Ben Saunders under any circumstances, except maybe if he was fighting a one armed midget named Nicole...

BOL to everyone with your plays!!!

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#3
Posted: 3/30/2012 6:11:18 PM
Good luck bro.
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MR219 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#4
Posted: 3/30/2012 6:16:52 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sawman:

Good luck bro.

I really could use a winning night!!! 

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#5
Posted: 3/30/2012 6:29:43 PM
love the card
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#6
Posted: 3/30/2012 6:45:53 PM
i was toying with the idea of playing all dogs... my line on amoussou is suspended... something's up
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#7
Posted: 3/30/2012 7:31:08 PM
GL MR   , did you guys ever figure out why the amoussou line got suspended?
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#8
Posted: 3/30/2012 8:04:33 PM
I ended up getting amoussou at +170. Hope he's healthy!
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#9
Posted: 3/30/2012 8:50:56 PM
nice, +170 seems like good value 
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#10
Posted: 3/30/2012 9:14:19 PM
is this last match anywhere on tv
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#11
Posted: 3/30/2012 9:22:46 PM
ive never seen baker fight before..but man he looks like garbage..definatly not a 3-1 fave
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#12
Posted: 3/30/2012 9:52:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

i was toying with the idea of playing all dogs... my line on amoussou is suspended... something's up

Why was your line suspended?
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#13
Posted: 3/30/2012 10:19:07 PM
Amoussou cashes!  Congrats.
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#14
Posted: 3/30/2012 10:30:33 PM

Ugly from a win/loss record perspective, as the plays went 2-4 but still ended up ahead by +2.45 units, thanks to my two bigger dog plays both cashing.  My over/under props bets were beyond brutal, not even close on any of them...

Here is the recap:

1.  Karl Amoussou

2.  Amoussou - Lozano over 1.5 rounds

3.  David Rickels

4.  Rickels - Smith over 2.5 rounds I think this was the worst over/under prop bet ever, as the fight ended in 22 seconds...

5.  Carlos Pereira .  I agree with the 29-28 Baker scores.  I do not know why Pereira stopped throwing arm strikes after the first round.  I wonder if he broke one of his hands?

6.  Pereira - Baker under 1.5 rounds   Not even close...

Updated YTD Record:
Overall: 49-46-1, +21.70 Units
UFC: 34-27-1, +15.95 Units
Strikeforce: 6-5, +2.85 Units
Bellator: 9-14, +2.90 Units
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units
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#15
Posted: 3/30/2012 10:32:20 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by deserted:

ive never seen baker fight before..but man he looks like garbage..definatly not a 3-1 fave

I think the weight cut affected him big time.  I have seen him fight a few times in Bellator and he normally has a lot more energy.

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#16
Posted: 3/30/2012 10:33:28 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sirchadwick1:

Amoussou cashes!  Congrats.

I am still not sure why there was such a big drop in that line before fight time...

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#17
Posted: 3/30/2012 10:41:33 PM
Gj though, finished the night in the black! 
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#18
Posted: 3/30/2012 11:46:38 PM
Baker should have lost

Nice picks kid
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#19
Posted: 3/31/2012 12:24:21 AM
just wathed the replay,thought you won all 3 fights,crappy judges took one from us IMO.
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#20
Posted: 3/31/2012 12:24:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by waynechung:

just wathed the replay,thought you won all 3 fights,crappy judges took one from us IMO.
JUST WATCHED,TOO MANY MARTINIS-lol.
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#21
Posted: 3/31/2012 8:29:32 AM
Baker battles leukemia had Amoussou for 3 units what a joke on that line couldnt believe he was a dog like that freakin Pereira cost me a huge par only loser i had wish he woulda just struck more in the third to steal or win that round he coulda had it... ah well good fights good night keep up the decent plays MR219 ; )
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DowntwnChinatwn
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#22
Posted: 3/31/2012 11:25:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MR219:

I am still not sure why there was such a big drop in that line before fight time...



Off topic, but will we getting MR's WrestleMania pics??
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#23
Posted: 3/31/2012 5:51:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DowntwnChinatwn:



Off topic, but will we getting MR's WrestleMania pics??

Do they let you bet on stuff thats pre-determined?
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DowntwnChinatwn
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#24
Posted: 3/31/2012 10:58:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by deserted:


Do they let you bet on stuff thats pre-determined?


Bovada is the only site I'm seeing that has posted lines for WrestleMania...
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#25
Posted: 4/1/2012 12:47:13 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DowntwnChinatwn:



Off topic, but will we getting MR's WrestleMania pics??

Undertaker, Cena, Jericho, Sheamus, Kelly Kelly's team, Team Johny, Big Show, Randy Orton

...am I missing any other matches?

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