since i can finally get the day off from work and watch the Super Bowl in it's entirety for once i am going to do a little bit more of some prop bets to get the full-fledged Super Bowl gambling action!
the last time i saw a Super Bowl from beginning to end was when the Patriots beat the Rams in 2002.. i was not a bettor back then. the next closest would be the 49ers vs Ravens but i missed the national anthem, coin toss, kick-offs and parts of the 1st quarter for that one. so yes, my last complete Super Bowl experience was Brady's first... and i will get to witness it again, much to my dismay, Brady on the verge of cementing his legacy as the winningest Super Bowl QB of all-time and might be his last who knows.
last year my heart and mind was on the Broncos. this year my heart and mind are divisive. my heart says i don't want Brady to win and that Matt Ryan deserves a trophy. my mind says Patriots are the better team all-around and will win. all i know is these Pat's Super Bowls have been exciting and i expect nothing less in this one which could possibly come down to a final drive type game. i had to admit last year's Super Bowl was boring but this one has the feel of a high scoring shootout in the upper 50's to 60's. i don't care who wins, i just want to see a good Super Bowl.
since i can finally get the day off from work and watch the Super Bowl in it's entirety for once i am going to do a little bit more of some prop bets to get the full-fledged Super Bowl gambling action!
the last time i saw a Super Bowl from beginning to end was when the Patriots beat the Rams in 2002.. i was not a bettor back then. the next closest would be the 49ers vs Ravens but i missed the national anthem, coin toss, kick-offs and parts of the 1st quarter for that one. so yes, my last complete Super Bowl experience was Brady's first... and i will get to witness it again, much to my dismay, Brady on the verge of cementing his legacy as the winningest Super Bowl QB of all-time and might be his last who knows.
last year my heart and mind was on the Broncos. this year my heart and mind are divisive. my heart says i don't want Brady to win and that Matt Ryan deserves a trophy. my mind says Patriots are the better team all-around and will win. all i know is these Pat's Super Bowls have been exciting and i expect nothing less in this one which could possibly come down to a final drive type game. i had to admit last year's Super Bowl was boring but this one has the feel of a high scoring shootout in the upper 50's to 60's. i don't care who wins, i just want to see a good Super Bowl.
i have never betted on the coin toss before and never really cared for betting on it as i don't get to see it much anyway. this time thought i'd try it once just for fun even though it is a quick waste of money. of course i had to do a little research on it even if it's just pure dumb luck
some interesting things. the Pats always seem to call Heads on the coin flip. they will be the visiting team in the Super Bowl and will get the call.
some smart bettors have taken notice and bet that Pats will call heads in the Super Bowl. my book only offers on which side the coin will land on and not which side of the coin the team will call.
In the Super Bowl the Pats are 2-6 in the coin toss. Pats are 1-5 in the Brady era. the Patriots have bad luck calling the coin toss.
they won the coin toss calling Heads in SB31 vs the Packers and vs the Giants in SB46 when the Giants incorrectly called Tails and it landed on Heads. Patriots are 1-1 when making the call. Patriots are 1-5 when the other team makes the call. of the 4 championships that they won, they lost the coin toss in all of them.
Tails has landed in 5 of the Pats Super Bowl appearances, 3 of which they ended up winning them for a Super Bowl of 3-2. the two losses were against the '85 Bears and '07 Giants. Heads has landed 3 times for the Patriots in which they ended up winning 1 Super Bowl for a record of 1-2.
Tails has been called in 1 of the Falcon's only Super Bowl appearance in which they won the toss but lost to the Denver Broncos.
This season the Patriots luck in the coin toss isn't all that great either. They are 7-11 in the eighteen games they've played this year. they are 3-5 when calling the toss as the visiting team.
other random factoids: Tails has landed in the last 3 Super Bowls. Prior to that Heads landed in 5 straight Super Bowls. in the last 10 Super Bowls Heads has a 6-4 advantage. NFC teams have correctly called the coin toss in 17 out of the last 20 Super Bowl's for a record of 17-3 (85%), 6 of which they proceed to win the Super Bowl for a record of 6-11 (35%).
Overall, Tails has a 26-24 lead in the Super Bowl.
My pick: Tails for $5
Prediction: Patriots will call Heads. Coin lands on Tails. Falcons win the toss and elect to defer. Patriots recieve the opening kickoff. Atlanta has deferred 9 out of 9 times this season when winning the coin toss.
i have never betted on the coin toss before and never really cared for betting on it as i don't get to see it much anyway. this time thought i'd try it once just for fun even though it is a quick waste of money. of course i had to do a little research on it even if it's just pure dumb luck
some interesting things. the Pats always seem to call Heads on the coin flip. they will be the visiting team in the Super Bowl and will get the call.
some smart bettors have taken notice and bet that Pats will call heads in the Super Bowl. my book only offers on which side the coin will land on and not which side of the coin the team will call.
In the Super Bowl the Pats are 2-6 in the coin toss. Pats are 1-5 in the Brady era. the Patriots have bad luck calling the coin toss.
they won the coin toss calling Heads in SB31 vs the Packers and vs the Giants in SB46 when the Giants incorrectly called Tails and it landed on Heads. Patriots are 1-1 when making the call. Patriots are 1-5 when the other team makes the call. of the 4 championships that they won, they lost the coin toss in all of them.
Tails has landed in 5 of the Pats Super Bowl appearances, 3 of which they ended up winning them for a Super Bowl of 3-2. the two losses were against the '85 Bears and '07 Giants. Heads has landed 3 times for the Patriots in which they ended up winning 1 Super Bowl for a record of 1-2.
Tails has been called in 1 of the Falcon's only Super Bowl appearance in which they won the toss but lost to the Denver Broncos.
This season the Patriots luck in the coin toss isn't all that great either. They are 7-11 in the eighteen games they've played this year. they are 3-5 when calling the toss as the visiting team.
other random factoids: Tails has landed in the last 3 Super Bowls. Prior to that Heads landed in 5 straight Super Bowls. in the last 10 Super Bowls Heads has a 6-4 advantage. NFC teams have correctly called the coin toss in 17 out of the last 20 Super Bowl's for a record of 17-3 (85%), 6 of which they proceed to win the Super Bowl for a record of 6-11 (35%).
Overall, Tails has a 26-24 lead in the Super Bowl.
My pick: Tails for $5
Prediction: Patriots will call Heads. Coin lands on Tails. Falcons win the toss and elect to defer. Patriots recieve the opening kickoff. Atlanta has deferred 9 out of 9 times this season when winning the coin toss.
That's a helluva lot of break down for a $5 bet! Good luck! I like Heads actually since last 3 SB's were Tails.
yep its only a coin toss, dont want to splurge on it not even a $100! LOL
its just crazy that the NFC has won the toss 85% of the time the last 20 years. never expected that.
also did a coin-flip, 3 rounds of 10 flips. Heads won round 1(6-4). Tails won round 2 (7-3). Round 3 was a tie (5-5) and went to sudden death. Tails outlasted Heads in 4 flips. going with Tails.
That's a helluva lot of break down for a $5 bet! Good luck! I like Heads actually since last 3 SB's were Tails.
yep its only a coin toss, dont want to splurge on it not even a $100! LOL
its just crazy that the NFC has won the toss 85% of the time the last 20 years. never expected that.
also did a coin-flip, 3 rounds of 10 flips. Heads won round 1(6-4). Tails won round 2 (7-3). Round 3 was a tie (5-5) and went to sudden death. Tails outlasted Heads in 4 flips. going with Tails.
yes the Patriots have usually kicked the ball off more than they recieve, that is if they win the coin toss but assuming if they lose them the Falcons will elect to defer which they have done 9 out of 9 times this season and for the 2nd straight Super Bowl Tom Brady will go first. i think the Falcons would prefer Matt Ryan to start the 2nd half instead of the offense getting jittery on the opening drive. BUT if the Patriots win the coin toss, i'll most likely lose this bet and they'll elect to kick off the ball and let their defense get on the field first
yes the Patriots have usually kicked the ball off more than they recieve, that is if they win the coin toss but assuming if they lose them the Falcons will elect to defer which they have done 9 out of 9 times this season and for the 2nd straight Super Bowl Tom Brady will go first. i think the Falcons would prefer Matt Ryan to start the 2nd half instead of the offense getting jittery on the opening drive. BUT if the Patriots win the coin toss, i'll most likely lose this bet and they'll elect to kick off the ball and let their defense get on the field first
Prop #3: Will there be a score in the first 5:30 minutes of the 1st quarter?
YES +105
this one is a little risky. There have been no score in each of the last 6 Pat's Super Bowls in the first 5:30 of 1st quarter. the closest would be Brady's intentional grounding causing a Giant safety in the opening drive. i think this one is going to be different. there has been a score in Pats 12 of 18 games this season and 11 of 18 Falcons games. both of these offenses can strike quick but i think Patriots will be more likely to put up points first and less likely to go 3 and out. they can put up points on their 1st or 2nd drives and can do it in 3 or 4 minutes drives.
Prop #3: Will there be a score in the first 5:30 minutes of the 1st quarter?
YES +105
this one is a little risky. There have been no score in each of the last 6 Pat's Super Bowls in the first 5:30 of 1st quarter. the closest would be Brady's intentional grounding causing a Giant safety in the opening drive. i think this one is going to be different. there has been a score in Pats 12 of 18 games this season and 11 of 18 Falcons games. both of these offenses can strike quick but i think Patriots will be more likely to put up points first and less likely to go 3 and out. they can put up points on their 1st or 2nd drives and can do it in 3 or 4 minutes drives.
What will a Super Bowl be without an exciting kick-off return to start the game? i know its much easier these days to kick the ball into the endzone but i think the kickers will give the kick returner a chance to decide to move it and see if they will challenge them to get more than 25 yards. we have two capable returners in Dion Lewis and Eric Weems who will take their chances running it back. and its funny to think that the only touchback we have had in the Super Bowl in the past 20 years and probably the only time from what i can remember is Justin Tucker's kickoff in SB47.. and im surprised the juice is that high, im sticking with the trend
What will a Super Bowl be without an exciting kick-off return to start the game? i know its much easier these days to kick the ball into the endzone but i think the kickers will give the kick returner a chance to decide to move it and see if they will challenge them to get more than 25 yards. we have two capable returners in Dion Lewis and Eric Weems who will take their chances running it back. and its funny to think that the only touchback we have had in the Super Bowl in the past 20 years and probably the only time from what i can remember is Justin Tucker's kickoff in SB47.. and im surprised the juice is that high, im sticking with the trend
like picking a number in roulette but here goes...
38 - 18/1
41 - 20/1
32 - 30/1
36 - 40/1 (jajknight's prediction)
personally i am calling a final score of 41-28. so 41 is my #1 pick. i'm seeing 3 pass TD's and 2 rush TD's for a total of 5. thats 35 pts right there and 2 FG's.
i also opened up a fortune cookie yesterday and one of the lucky numbers was 41 so i'll roll with it. $10 on 41, the rest $5.
like picking a number in roulette but here goes...
38 - 18/1
41 - 20/1
32 - 30/1
36 - 40/1 (jajknight's prediction)
personally i am calling a final score of 41-28. so 41 is my #1 pick. i'm seeing 3 pass TD's and 2 rush TD's for a total of 5. thats 35 pts right there and 2 FG's.
i also opened up a fortune cookie yesterday and one of the lucky numbers was 41 so i'll roll with it. $10 on 41, the rest $5.
from what i have gathered, i dont have the exact numbers on me right now but i looked. Blount and Freeman has scored the most TDs for their teams. i think Blount has scored NE's first TD in 6 of their 18 games all rushing, every other player a distant second with two TDs. Freeman has scored either 4 or 5 TDs compared to the next player with three TD's. both of these backs are scoring workhorses. when you look at defenses and how this applies. Blount should have more success getting into the endzone. Falcons rush defense is not as good as the Patriots. and the Pats have allowed fewer rush TD's and play better redzone defense.
for the Falcons, i think Sanu has a better shot to get in the endzone than Julio or Freeman. Belichick will probably gameplan to take Julio away and seems Pats can be a little susceptible to the slot reciever. all 3 will probably get a score but i think Sanu or Freeman will be the first to get it if Falcons score first.
Martellus Bennett is an x-factor here. the Falcons have given up more TD's from the opponent's first scores to running backs and tight ends. i see Blount or Bennett having the best chance when the Pats get into the redzone. Dion Lewis is a multi-threat on special teams/running/and passing game. i think he has a shot as well
from what i have gathered, i dont have the exact numbers on me right now but i looked. Blount and Freeman has scored the most TDs for their teams. i think Blount has scored NE's first TD in 6 of their 18 games all rushing, every other player a distant second with two TDs. Freeman has scored either 4 or 5 TDs compared to the next player with three TD's. both of these backs are scoring workhorses. when you look at defenses and how this applies. Blount should have more success getting into the endzone. Falcons rush defense is not as good as the Patriots. and the Pats have allowed fewer rush TD's and play better redzone defense.
for the Falcons, i think Sanu has a better shot to get in the endzone than Julio or Freeman. Belichick will probably gameplan to take Julio away and seems Pats can be a little susceptible to the slot reciever. all 3 will probably get a score but i think Sanu or Freeman will be the first to get it if Falcons score first.
Martellus Bennett is an x-factor here. the Falcons have given up more TD's from the opponent's first scores to running backs and tight ends. i see Blount or Bennett having the best chance when the Pats get into the redzone. Dion Lewis is a multi-threat on special teams/running/and passing game. i think he has a shot as well
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