I am not a football fan. Neither do i have in-depth analysis of how the game strategically goes but here is what I would choose for the game: PACKER +4.5. Why?
First, it is Monday football night. ONE game. I believe that football is not a pure sport event anymore. It is a moneymaking machine which NFL is in bed with God knows who. As I have read thru some threads by very well bettors here, all of them goes for Eagles. It makes sense why Eagle is chosen over Packers. But look at the Broncos game last night? Those bettors had did a great job on early plays but last play? Denver and under 40 went bad. It's live betting. One game on Monday. too many vieweds and bettors. If Cash flow is big on Eagles, I definitely believe Packers is more likely to cover the spread. Why? Because when everything goes smooth, it goes wrong.
Second, for those who favored Broncos, Oakland and Patriots, this will be the chance to win back by the help of Eagle. Right. That thought will have you killed by the bookie because this odd is created not only by statistics but also by psychologists who know for sure which way bettors go.
Third, this time of the season is sensitive. It's a do or die game. So favorites seems to be even more favored. More likely, Eagle will win but whether they can cover 4.5 is unpredictable. Oakland is one of them game. Everything can happen in football game. With this kinda odds, i strongly believe one FG differential between both teams. Enough for Eagle to win and throw the game.
Forth, it is not sport when you gamble on it. If the bet could be won by strategy analysis, team performance, etc, a lot of you would have won big so far. But i am not saying that strategy is not effective. There are several ways to choose a bet. Some use odds movement database to find similar odds back in the past and make decisions. Some just go against the public consensus when it comes to a big game with big views. I am the latter. Would you be?
I am not a football fan. Neither do i have in-depth analysis of how the game strategically goes but here is what I would choose for the game: PACKER +4.5. Why?
First, it is Monday football night. ONE game. I believe that football is not a pure sport event anymore. It is a moneymaking machine which NFL is in bed with God knows who. As I have read thru some threads by very well bettors here, all of them goes for Eagles. It makes sense why Eagle is chosen over Packers. But look at the Broncos game last night? Those bettors had did a great job on early plays but last play? Denver and under 40 went bad. It's live betting. One game on Monday. too many vieweds and bettors. If Cash flow is big on Eagles, I definitely believe Packers is more likely to cover the spread. Why? Because when everything goes smooth, it goes wrong.
Second, for those who favored Broncos, Oakland and Patriots, this will be the chance to win back by the help of Eagle. Right. That thought will have you killed by the bookie because this odd is created not only by statistics but also by psychologists who know for sure which way bettors go.
Third, this time of the season is sensitive. It's a do or die game. So favorites seems to be even more favored. More likely, Eagle will win but whether they can cover 4.5 is unpredictable. Oakland is one of them game. Everything can happen in football game. With this kinda odds, i strongly believe one FG differential between both teams. Enough for Eagle to win and throw the game.
Forth, it is not sport when you gamble on it. If the bet could be won by strategy analysis, team performance, etc, a lot of you would have won big so far. But i am not saying that strategy is not effective. There are several ways to choose a bet. Some use odds movement database to find similar odds back in the past and make decisions. Some just go against the public consensus when it comes to a big game with big views. I am the latter. Would you be?
I know what you are trying to say. I see great value in GB tonight. Can't see AR loosing to a rook , with there backs up against the wall right now. The NFC north is wide open. Minny stinks, and Detroit is very beatable . I'm taking the points .
I know what you are trying to say. I see great value in GB tonight. Can't see AR loosing to a rook , with there backs up against the wall right now. The NFC north is wide open. Minny stinks, and Detroit is very beatable . I'm taking the points .
I just don't see the confident vibe choosing Eagles over Packers. Makes more sense but something holds me back. This post explains how I feel. Ans just my sharing. None of the strategy, performance, figures has made sense these days in NFL.
I just don't see the confident vibe choosing Eagles over Packers. Makes more sense but something holds me back. This post explains how I feel. Ans just my sharing. None of the strategy, performance, figures has made sense these days in NFL.
You have a very good way of looking at the NFL. My thought are GB got a lot of love and viewers.They sucks the last couple games but people don't think that way for GB, they always look at GB as a good team so a win should be right around the corner. The line movement doesn't always mean heavy bet on that side. IMO GB will lose tonight and will win the rest of the way and be at 9-7 and make the playoff. GB cover or not is to be seen but I think Phili cover .
You have a very good way of looking at the NFL. My thought are GB got a lot of love and viewers.They sucks the last couple games but people don't think that way for GB, they always look at GB as a good team so a win should be right around the corner. The line movement doesn't always mean heavy bet on that side. IMO GB will lose tonight and will win the rest of the way and be at 9-7 and make the playoff. GB cover or not is to be seen but I think Phili cover .
We will see how it goes. Going against big movement and public consensus in the big game has always been my method. For some games which are not quite popular, I follow some bettors here. I set the rules myself. No need to overthink. This way i dont really need to know in depth analysis.
We will see how it goes. Going against big movement and public consensus in the big game has always been my method. For some games which are not quite popular, I follow some bettors here. I set the rules myself. No need to overthink. This way i dont really need to know in depth analysis.
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