We'd like to first reiterate that these are not our picks or opinions that are posted, but Odds that we find to be undervalued relative to the Market Odds. The fundamental of Value Betting is simple: consistently make bets where you find lines with value to give you a higher than average chance of winning. This is a betting strategy that materializes as the volume increases, where the 3 - 5 games that you would win instead of push, or push instead of lose over the course of 100 games will make a dramatic difference in your winrate.
Like a poker player who can lose money for making the right decisions, and win money for making the wrong decisions, we do not want to be result oriented when it comes to posting Value Lines. We believe in the fundamentals, and know that this is a winning betting strategy. Therefore, we have no desire to track or publish our results as it is insignificant to the process.
We wish anyone following the posted picks good luck!
We'd like to first reiterate that these are not our picks or opinions that are posted, but Odds that we find to be undervalued relative to the Market Odds. The fundamental of Value Betting is simple: consistently make bets where you find lines with value to give you a higher than average chance of winning. This is a betting strategy that materializes as the volume increases, where the 3 - 5 games that you would win instead of push, or push instead of lose over the course of 100 games will make a dramatic difference in your winrate.
Like a poker player who can lose money for making the right decisions, and win money for making the wrong decisions, we do not want to be result oriented when it comes to posting Value Lines. We believe in the fundamentals, and know that this is a winning betting strategy. Therefore, we have no desire to track or publish our results as it is insignificant to the process.
We wish anyone following the posted picks good luck!
I've been keeping track on the girls at the Olympia they get back on the 21st and play on the 26th there are 5 games scheduled that day thus be a lot of unders your thoughts?
I've been keeping track on the girls at the Olympia they get back on the 21st and play on the 26th there are 5 games scheduled that day thus be a lot of unders your thoughts?
I've been keeping track on the girls at the Olympia they get back on the 21st and play on the 26th there are 5 games scheduled that day thus be a lot of unders your thoughts?
We honestly have no thoughts or opinions regarding individual games. That's not the way we approach games. We only compare lines to market data, everything else is irrelevant as we think any like the stuff you mentioned above should be factored in by others running their models.
I've been keeping track on the girls at the Olympia they get back on the 21st and play on the 26th there are 5 games scheduled that day thus be a lot of unders your thoughts?
We honestly have no thoughts or opinions regarding individual games. That's not the way we approach games. We only compare lines to market data, everything else is irrelevant as we think any like the stuff you mentioned above should be factored in by others running their models.
I'm attempting to understand your reasoning behind your system I to look for the best lines available with I get not early but 8-10 15-20 min before game. I'm always looking for best value be it a point to a hook -120
KC -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
CHARGES +3 CLOSE +2.5 LOST
TAMPA BAY +3 CLOSE +4 LOST
CARDS -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
RAMS-3 CLOSE -6.5 LOST
49ERS TOTAL 36.5 CLOSE 39 BOTH WON GREAT MIDDLE
WHAT I DO LOOK FOR EARLY IS MONEYLINES WHICH BETTER VALUE.
I'm attempting to understand your reasoning behind your system I to look for the best lines available with I get not early but 8-10 15-20 min before game. I'm always looking for best value be it a point to a hook -120
KC -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
CHARGES +3 CLOSE +2.5 LOST
TAMPA BAY +3 CLOSE +4 LOST
CARDS -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
RAMS-3 CLOSE -6.5 LOST
49ERS TOTAL 36.5 CLOSE 39 BOTH WON GREAT MIDDLE
WHAT I DO LOOK FOR EARLY IS MONEYLINES WHICH BETTER VALUE.
I'm attempting to understand your reasoning behind your system I to look for the best lines available with I get not early but 8-10 15-20 min before game. I'm always looking for best value be it a point to a hook -120
KC -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
CHARGES +3 CLOSE +2.5 LOST
TAMPA BAY +3 CLOSE +4 LOST
CARDS -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
RAMS-3 CLOSE -6.5 LOST
49ERS TOTAL 36.5 CLOSE 39 BOTH WON GREAT MIDDLE
WHAT I DO LOOK FOR EARLY IS MONEYLINES WHICH BETTER VALUE.
You do help many people in the FOURMS thanks
Different people get different lines from various books. These days, there are a lot of pay-per-head accounts that also give out soft lines, and some of these are very slow moving and soft.
While the lines we post may not be available, it's the 'Target' line that you want. If you can't get that line, you should pass. This at least sets up a benchmark so that you're consistently only betting on good lines, or nothing at all.
Hope that helps. Please don't hesitate to ask more questions.
I'm attempting to understand your reasoning behind your system I to look for the best lines available with I get not early but 8-10 15-20 min before game. I'm always looking for best value be it a point to a hook -120
KC -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
CHARGES +3 CLOSE +2.5 LOST
TAMPA BAY +3 CLOSE +4 LOST
CARDS -3 CLOSE -2.5 LOST
RAMS-3 CLOSE -6.5 LOST
49ERS TOTAL 36.5 CLOSE 39 BOTH WON GREAT MIDDLE
WHAT I DO LOOK FOR EARLY IS MONEYLINES WHICH BETTER VALUE.
You do help many people in the FOURMS thanks
Different people get different lines from various books. These days, there are a lot of pay-per-head accounts that also give out soft lines, and some of these are very slow moving and soft.
While the lines we post may not be available, it's the 'Target' line that you want. If you can't get that line, you should pass. This at least sets up a benchmark so that you're consistently only betting on good lines, or nothing at all.
Hope that helps. Please don't hesitate to ask more questions.
This is actually a strong valuebet because at at +28 value points, it is a natural Arbitrage. However, this does not mean you go and bust your roll on a preseason game. It just means that if you have a Pinnacle account, you can probably place an arbitrage bet if you choose to, and guarantee yourself a profit.
This is actually a strong valuebet because at at +28 value points, it is a natural Arbitrage. However, this does not mean you go and bust your roll on a preseason game. It just means that if you have a Pinnacle account, you can probably place an arbitrage bet if you choose to, and guarantee yourself a profit.
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