25-16-1 YTD
TNF:
6 pt teaser: Chargers +14/U57.5
Blue - No I don't.
Denver totals so far to date are 4-2 in favor of the over. The two games that went under, Seattle and KC, had one thing in common - time of possession. The Chiefs possessed the ball for 36:14 for their matchup while Seattle was at 38:04. As many times as you have heard it that's how you're going to beat Denver - keep Manning on the sidelines. The KC game was a 1 possession game and Seattle won outright.
The 4 games that have went over with their opponents possession time: Indianapolis (27:36), Arizona (24:43), Jets (26:26), and 49ers (32:00)
Sure the 49ers had the ball for a big chunk in the game, but Kaep had an interception and the 49ers were just 3-13 that game on 3rd down.
This is where San Diego excels - They are 5th in the league in time of possession - and they have a nearly identical stat in this category in both home/away games unlike San Fran - and they are 2nd in the league on 3rd down conversions. This, along with keeping their turnovers down like they have been all season, is the perfect recipe to keep this game under.
I expect long and extended drives from SD to keep that Denver D on the field while eating up some clock. I am more that likely be looking at Denver TT under (right now im getting 30.5 which I like) and an alternate game total - I am currently getting 41.5 +325 and 47.5 +170. I think 41.5 is a little low but may be worth the gamble but I do like that 47.5 currently but will probably wait until closer to kick off if I decide to make any plays there.
GL Blue
Blue - No I don't.
Denver totals so far to date are 4-2 in favor of the over. The two games that went under, Seattle and KC, had one thing in common - time of possession. The Chiefs possessed the ball for 36:14 for their matchup while Seattle was at 38:04. As many times as you have heard it that's how you're going to beat Denver - keep Manning on the sidelines. The KC game was a 1 possession game and Seattle won outright.
The 4 games that have went over with their opponents possession time: Indianapolis (27:36), Arizona (24:43), Jets (26:26), and 49ers (32:00)
Sure the 49ers had the ball for a big chunk in the game, but Kaep had an interception and the 49ers were just 3-13 that game on 3rd down.
This is where San Diego excels - They are 5th in the league in time of possession - and they have a nearly identical stat in this category in both home/away games unlike San Fran - and they are 2nd in the league on 3rd down conversions. This, along with keeping their turnovers down like they have been all season, is the perfect recipe to keep this game under.
I expect long and extended drives from SD to keep that Denver D on the field while eating up some clock. I am more that likely be looking at Denver TT under (right now im getting 30.5 which I like) and an alternate game total - I am currently getting 41.5 +325 and 47.5 +170. I think 41.5 is a little low but may be worth the gamble but I do like that 47.5 currently but will probably wait until closer to kick off if I decide to make any plays there.
GL Blue
Denver TT U30.5
SD/Denver U52
Card is final for tonight - between these 3 plays and college I have enough going for tonight. Still like the alternate total at 47.5 +170 but going to lay off.
Good luck all
Denver TT U30.5
SD/Denver U52
Card is final for tonight - between these 3 plays and college I have enough going for tonight. Still like the alternate total at 47.5 +170 but going to lay off.
Good luck all
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