Some love them, some hate them, I post them. Here is the sdql explanation for each system I am playing this week:
One and only system this week:
In first 7 weeks of the season, favorites of 9 points or more are 0-5 straight up (obviously, against the spread too), if they lost previous two games as favorites, without a bye week between those two losses or between last and this game. The last time this happened was 2 years ago, and the Saints were the victim of this situation as they lost first two games of the season as favorites, then hosted KC as 9 points favorites and lost the game outright. Guess what, the Saints are in that situation again. The play is Minnesota +10.5 Check the college football forum for NCAAF systems, and I will tease Minnesota +17.5 (NFL) with Georgia Tech +15 as my 2nd NFL and 6th (and last) overall play this week.
Some love them, some hate them, I post them. Here is the sdql explanation for each system I am playing this week:
One and only system this week:
In first 7 weeks of the season, favorites of 9 points or more are 0-5 straight up (obviously, against the spread too), if they lost previous two games as favorites, without a bye week between those two losses or between last and this game. The last time this happened was 2 years ago, and the Saints were the victim of this situation as they lost first two games of the season as favorites, then hosted KC as 9 points favorites and lost the game outright. Guess what, the Saints are in that situation again. The play is Minnesota +10.5 Check the college football forum for NCAAF systems, and I will tease Minnesota +17.5 (NFL) with Georgia Tech +15 as my 2nd NFL and 6th (and last) overall play this week.
Two years ago Sean Payton was sitting at home and the team was dealing with the bountygate fallout. This is a totally different situation (imo) and team. Meanwhile, the Vikes were dealing with distractions for at least half the practice week. 10.5 is a big number but I still like NO. Having lost two close ones in a row, I doubt they'll want to play another heart-stopper.
Two years ago Sean Payton was sitting at home and the team was dealing with the bountygate fallout. This is a totally different situation (imo) and team. Meanwhile, the Vikes were dealing with distractions for at least half the practice week. 10.5 is a big number but I still like NO. Having lost two close ones in a row, I doubt they'll want to play another heart-stopper.
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