The NFL is back and i'm extremely excited to try and recreate last seasons success. Opinions and input are always welcomed because i think they help all of make the right decision.
Week 1 Picks:
Falcons +3 vs Saints- Taking a home dog right off the bat. Both of these teams have poor defenses and it's questionable if either shows up. Roddy and Jones are healthy and i look for Matt Ryan to get back to his finding a way to win at home ways after the complette mess of last season. Look at the past games between these division rivals, the saints tend to find ways to win but the games are always VERY close. I'll take the home dog in a division game especially when the public is overrated the hell out of the saints who are very vulrnerable on the road.
Rams -3 vs Vikings- I think everyone needs to relax about Bradford being out the whole season, i never was a big supporter of him. This rams defense is their strong point. They have a scary front 4 that will be the first line of defense at stopping peterson and i believe they do a solid job. Shaun hill is really not the worst qb so i wouldnt let that scare me out of betting against the god awful vikings who basically have one threat in AP. Rams went 5-3 last season at home with losses to the 49ers, seahawks, and titans. Those 3 teams are in other worlds on defense comared to the vikings (maybe not titans). Thhis defense gets the job done on sunday.
Giants +7 vs Lions- The giants ended last season very strong on the defensive side of the ball and this offseason they ppicked up some very key players. The lions on the other hand dont have uch of a defense. Eli looked crapy in preseason but its preseason, they werent going to unveil all their tricks with new offensive coordinator. Giants dfense keeps them in this, it was last season the giants beat the lions by 3 on the road. Theyll do it again here with a revamped defense.
Now i have 4 live bets or second half bets i will make if the line is right:
Titans +6.5- The titans under jake locker are a solid team whose defense is able to give the offense a chance to win. I think the chiefs are prime for a let down here. Titans lost by 8 last season under ryan fitzpatrick who i think actually tried to lose games. Titans might even win this straight up but i'd like to get a little extra to feel safe.
Browns +10- I have faith in brian hoyer despite his iffy preseason and the manziel drama. The browns also have a very good defense that is going to keep them in games this year. What worries me is the steelers dominance over the browns in years past. Ill take double digits when i get them.
Computer is dying on me so quickly- Cowboys +10 , Dolphins +7.5,
The NFL is back and i'm extremely excited to try and recreate last seasons success. Opinions and input are always welcomed because i think they help all of make the right decision.
Week 1 Picks:
Falcons +3 vs Saints- Taking a home dog right off the bat. Both of these teams have poor defenses and it's questionable if either shows up. Roddy and Jones are healthy and i look for Matt Ryan to get back to his finding a way to win at home ways after the complette mess of last season. Look at the past games between these division rivals, the saints tend to find ways to win but the games are always VERY close. I'll take the home dog in a division game especially when the public is overrated the hell out of the saints who are very vulrnerable on the road.
Rams -3 vs Vikings- I think everyone needs to relax about Bradford being out the whole season, i never was a big supporter of him. This rams defense is their strong point. They have a scary front 4 that will be the first line of defense at stopping peterson and i believe they do a solid job. Shaun hill is really not the worst qb so i wouldnt let that scare me out of betting against the god awful vikings who basically have one threat in AP. Rams went 5-3 last season at home with losses to the 49ers, seahawks, and titans. Those 3 teams are in other worlds on defense comared to the vikings (maybe not titans). Thhis defense gets the job done on sunday.
Giants +7 vs Lions- The giants ended last season very strong on the defensive side of the ball and this offseason they ppicked up some very key players. The lions on the other hand dont have uch of a defense. Eli looked crapy in preseason but its preseason, they werent going to unveil all their tricks with new offensive coordinator. Giants dfense keeps them in this, it was last season the giants beat the lions by 3 on the road. Theyll do it again here with a revamped defense.
Now i have 4 live bets or second half bets i will make if the line is right:
Titans +6.5- The titans under jake locker are a solid team whose defense is able to give the offense a chance to win. I think the chiefs are prime for a let down here. Titans lost by 8 last season under ryan fitzpatrick who i think actually tried to lose games. Titans might even win this straight up but i'd like to get a little extra to feel safe.
Browns +10- I have faith in brian hoyer despite his iffy preseason and the manziel drama. The browns also have a very good defense that is going to keep them in games this year. What worries me is the steelers dominance over the browns in years past. Ill take double digits when i get them.
Computer is dying on me so quickly- Cowboys +10 , Dolphins +7.5,
We are on different pages this week(check my thread to see my thoughts on a few similar games we bet) on a few games.
Couple quick things.....
- Great grab on Tenn +6.5. I regret not pouncing earlier in the preseason(minn as well).
- I believe the Saint defense is a lot better than you give them credit for. They are aggressive and have an underrated CB that could give Jones fits. Haha, fits. I sound like my gramma now. "Your grandfather is throwing a fit."
We are on different pages this week(check my thread to see my thoughts on a few similar games we bet) on a few games.
Couple quick things.....
- Great grab on Tenn +6.5. I regret not pouncing earlier in the preseason(minn as well).
- I believe the Saint defense is a lot better than you give them credit for. They are aggressive and have an underrated CB that could give Jones fits. Haha, fits. I sound like my gramma now. "Your grandfather is throwing a fit."
Browns +7 WIN 1 Unit- What a second half comeback, defense i expected finally showed up.
Falcons +3 WIN 1 Unit- Saints defense folds just as bad as falcons but the turnover late in the game and Bryants leg get the job done.
Dolphins +7 WIN 1.1 Unit- Always liked the dolphins in this game but decided to wait for the better spread, didnt need it but got even money which is always nice.
Rams -3.5 LOSS -1.1 - Ugly ugly ugly game, uncle told me bet dogs week 1 if you bet and my one favorite gets embarassed.
Potential Live Bet on Cowboys, if they go down 10-0 i might pull the trigger.
Browns +7 WIN 1 Unit- What a second half comeback, defense i expected finally showed up.
Falcons +3 WIN 1 Unit- Saints defense folds just as bad as falcons but the turnover late in the game and Bryants leg get the job done.
Dolphins +7 WIN 1.1 Unit- Always liked the dolphins in this game but decided to wait for the better spread, didnt need it but got even money which is always nice.
Rams -3.5 LOSS -1.1 - Ugly ugly ugly game, uncle told me bet dogs week 1 if you bet and my one favorite gets embarassed.
Potential Live Bet on Cowboys, if they go down 10-0 i might pull the trigger.
As a Giants fan i'm in for a long season. They really are something else.
Giants +6.5 LOSS -1.1 Units
Season: 3-2 +.9 Units
I like the cardinals to continue their home dominance and will try to avoid an 0-2 monday night. Despite liking the chargers this season, i think they start off poorly here and bounce back big against seahawks next week.
Need to cutback on my bets after this week, Last season i was around 50% in the first half and finished over 60% the second half of the season.
As a Giants fan i'm in for a long season. They really are something else.
Giants +6.5 LOSS -1.1 Units
Season: 3-2 +.9 Units
I like the cardinals to continue their home dominance and will try to avoid an 0-2 monday night. Despite liking the chargers this season, i think they start off poorly here and bounce back big against seahawks next week.
Need to cutback on my bets after this week, Last season i was around 50% in the first half and finished over 60% the second half of the season.
Cardinals fail not one but two, two point conversions and then chargers defense folds to ruin possible late fg to cover. Very unlucky Monday night and my profits from Sunday disappear. Regroup for next week.
Cardinals fail not one but two, two point conversions and then chargers defense folds to ruin possible late fg to cover. Very unlucky Monday night and my profits from Sunday disappear. Regroup for next week.
Didn't get a chance to post but had Steelers +6.5 live bet in for 1.1 units. Strategy worked great last year live betting whoever became + a couple extra points in this series as games were always so close. This year, not so well
Didn't get a chance to post but had Steelers +6.5 live bet in for 1.1 units. Strategy worked great last year live betting whoever became + a couple extra points in this series as games were always so close. This year, not so well
Titans -3 (1.2 to win 1)- Titans are underrated to me and personally i think with a healthy jake locker they have a chance to take the division. Their defense is solid and they have a young offense that is very versatile. Cowboys on the other hand come in with the leagues worst defense and an offense i'm not too confident in. Romo murray and dez can keep this game close but i personally think the offense needs another game to get it together. Wait til november to bet tony romo
Giants +2.5 (1.1 to win 1) - Teams are never as good or as bad as they played the week before. I am still very high on what the giants did to their defense and if eli could just start this game off with a touchdown pass to get his confidence up, theyll be fine. Cardinals are a very different team on the road.
Chargers +5.5- I'll take the home dog against the overrated on the road seahawks any day. Seahawks are a different animal on the road and the chargers are a solid team. They have the weapons on offense to score and the ability to slow down the seahawks offense on defense. Wilson isnt the same qb on the road. Also happy i got this line early, i see it dropped to 3.5 despite over 60% of the public on the seahawks.
Browns +6.5- Once again, saints are not the same team on the road. Browns seemed to have found their footing in the second half last game and showed they wouldnt quit. Teams dont just learn heart, they either have it or they dont and i will trust my money with a team i know wont give up. Saints defense also isnt anything special. I liked the browns alot this season, defense sneakily made its way toward the top last year and the offense is finding its groove. Browns might pull the upset here.
Titans -3 (1.2 to win 1)- Titans are underrated to me and personally i think with a healthy jake locker they have a chance to take the division. Their defense is solid and they have a young offense that is very versatile. Cowboys on the other hand come in with the leagues worst defense and an offense i'm not too confident in. Romo murray and dez can keep this game close but i personally think the offense needs another game to get it together. Wait til november to bet tony romo
Giants +2.5 (1.1 to win 1) - Teams are never as good or as bad as they played the week before. I am still very high on what the giants did to their defense and if eli could just start this game off with a touchdown pass to get his confidence up, theyll be fine. Cardinals are a very different team on the road.
Chargers +5.5- I'll take the home dog against the overrated on the road seahawks any day. Seahawks are a different animal on the road and the chargers are a solid team. They have the weapons on offense to score and the ability to slow down the seahawks offense on defense. Wilson isnt the same qb on the road. Also happy i got this line early, i see it dropped to 3.5 despite over 60% of the public on the seahawks.
Browns +6.5- Once again, saints are not the same team on the road. Browns seemed to have found their footing in the second half last game and showed they wouldnt quit. Teams dont just learn heart, they either have it or they dont and i will trust my money with a team i know wont give up. Saints defense also isnt anything special. I liked the browns alot this season, defense sneakily made its way toward the top last year and the offense is finding its groove. Browns might pull the upset here.
Unreal luck lately, Broncos supposedly new and improved defense allows a million 3rd and 10+ conversions, get the pick 6 but doesnt count cause of offsides (one of the million penalties by the defense). Ahh just had to vent.
On the other hand, chargers bet i called almost a week ago looked amazing. Very happy about that but unfortunately i still walk out of the 4oclock games a loser.
5-7, -2.7 Units
Thinking about a bet on the 49ers tonight. Cutler had 1 touchdown 6 intos against the 49ers, Bears defense is non existent, and kapernick/49ers offense looked good last week before they entered cruise control. 49ers would be a nice bet, im just worried about how terrible my luck is right now. Will think about it.
Unreal luck lately, Broncos supposedly new and improved defense allows a million 3rd and 10+ conversions, get the pick 6 but doesnt count cause of offsides (one of the million penalties by the defense). Ahh just had to vent.
On the other hand, chargers bet i called almost a week ago looked amazing. Very happy about that but unfortunately i still walk out of the 4oclock games a loser.
5-7, -2.7 Units
Thinking about a bet on the 49ers tonight. Cutler had 1 touchdown 6 intos against the 49ers, Bears defense is non existent, and kapernick/49ers offense looked good last week before they entered cruise control. 49ers would be a nice bet, im just worried about how terrible my luck is right now. Will think about it.
Potential fade material until the luck turns around but I'm confident in this pick. Culliver is playing for the 49ers and the bears biggest threats are hurting. The bears are not a good team and i think the public takes this bet tonight, then gives it back tomorrow when the eagles win straight up.
Potential fade material until the luck turns around but I'm confident in this pick. Culliver is playing for the 49ers and the bears biggest threats are hurting. The bears are not a good team and i think the public takes this bet tonight, then gives it back tomorrow when the eagles win straight up.
The beating continues. Had a feeling should've bet 49ers first half but thats history. No excuses i'm just getting my butt kicked. Making too many plays for the first 2 weeks of football, big mistake especially for someone who was a much better gambler the second half of last season.
Regroup for next week, nice pick for the couple of Bears backers. Taking off tomorrow, need a mental break. Come back on Thursday.
The beating continues. Had a feeling should've bet 49ers first half but thats history. No excuses i'm just getting my butt kicked. Making too many plays for the first 2 weeks of football, big mistake especially for someone who was a much better gambler the second half of last season.
Regroup for next week, nice pick for the couple of Bears backers. Taking off tomorrow, need a mental break. Come back on Thursday.
I know i said no more bets but i LOVE the eagles tonight.
Eagles +3, 1.1 to win 1.
Heres why:
Both teams have no defense however the colts struggle mightily against the run being toward the bottom of the barrel last year in run defense. Chip Kelly is going to have a field day with mccoy and sproles. If he has any brains hell take forever on the play clock and drain it.
I dont get all the Colts hype. They are an above average offense with no running back with a bad defense. Eagles can stop the run, so there goes establishing that. My high school team could stop trent richardson nowadays anyway.
Lastly, everyone is saying "Luck doesnt lose 2 in a row!!!" Yes this is 100% true. HOWEVER, you need to look at who he was playing in those games.2013: :49ers = respectable
Broncos = respectable
Titans with Fitzpatrick= NO
Titans with Ftiz= NO
Texans last year= NO
2012: Vikings with Pondeer= NO
Packers- respectable
Browns with Weeden= NO
Bills with Fitz= NO
Chiefs with Brady Quin= NO
Need i say more? Eagles cover or in my opinion break the streak tonight.
I know i said no more bets but i LOVE the eagles tonight.
Eagles +3, 1.1 to win 1.
Heres why:
Both teams have no defense however the colts struggle mightily against the run being toward the bottom of the barrel last year in run defense. Chip Kelly is going to have a field day with mccoy and sproles. If he has any brains hell take forever on the play clock and drain it.
I dont get all the Colts hype. They are an above average offense with no running back with a bad defense. Eagles can stop the run, so there goes establishing that. My high school team could stop trent richardson nowadays anyway.
Lastly, everyone is saying "Luck doesnt lose 2 in a row!!!" Yes this is 100% true. HOWEVER, you need to look at who he was playing in those games.2013: :49ers = respectable
Broncos = respectable
Titans with Fitzpatrick= NO
Titans with Ftiz= NO
Texans last year= NO
2012: Vikings with Pondeer= NO
Packers- respectable
Browns with Weeden= NO
Bills with Fitz= NO
Chiefs with Brady Quin= NO
Need i say more? Eagles cover or in my opinion break the streak tonight.
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