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Author: [League Contests] Topic: KScapping write ups and plays archived #2
buju8 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sports Interaction |
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#126
Posted: 12/22/2011 10:10:44 AM
both teams have mediocre offensive talent... hence the under!
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#127
Posted: 12/22/2011 10:44:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DannySatan:

Damn, the more I look at it, the more I like Indy tonight.  SO MUCH action coming in on Houston... like I said before, nothing about this game is a "must-win" for them, as they're not gonna catch the Ravens (who would have to lose to Cleveland this week)...

VegasInsider right now has a shocking 92% of the consensus layin the points with Houston... another red flag right there, as home dogs getting 20% of the action or less cover more than half the time.

This aint Curtis Painter we're talkin about, either.  Orlovsky proved last week that this Indy offense can at least be average when the QB doesn't give away the game.  This is basically Indy's Superbowl, as next week, nobody's gonna watch or care about their meaningless game at Jacksonville...

I'm thinkin about waiting til around noon to see if I can get this at +7, and if it doesn't move I'll buy the 0.5...

thoughts?


So you dont think the Ravens can lose to Cincy next week?
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#128
Posted: 12/22/2011 11:53:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KScapping:

PLAY:  6pt Teaser:  Houston Texans (Teased from -6 to Pick Em) with Texans/Colts Under (teased from 40.5 to Under 46.5)  

Not bein a homer but i think its prob a good thing to have em teased,,,,

the under looks tasty, and the under 46 even looks better...

Number 2 defense against a crippled indi O along with yates who hasn't found his complete rhythm so they will most likely run the ball a lot, all these things spells out a 30 point game.

the only thing that worries me is that with us having titans next week, if we get up at least 2 touchdowns, kubiak will either use this game to help yates find his rhythm and pass a lot, or put delhomme in for a little bit to see what he can do so its not too late too find out when the playoffs start
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#129
Posted: 12/22/2011 12:00:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DannySatan:

The Texans are somehow too risky for me this week, as this is the first time really in franchise history that they can afford to take a late-season breather.  No playoff spot hanging in the balance, no coach desperate for a W to save his job... nobody would really care if they lost this game, and I think the real value in this one lies in the Indy ML.




Wow,,,,what the hell is wrong with you,,,,,,,,do you not watch football,,,,first,,,,the the texans would never lay down for the colts,,,,,second, we are 4-0 division play,,,they would love to sweep the division for a franchise record.....3rd,,,,,indi is in the AFC, and we do have an 8-2 afc record, with baltimore and pitt having a game or 2 worse than that in the afc...if we win the last 2 and new england loses just one game,,,we get the 1 seed compared to the 3 seed. if baltimore loses a game than well get the 2 seed

I don't get people saying teams  don't have nothing to play for,,,every team in the nfl, that is still in the run for the playoffs or has made the playoffs still have something to play for,,,no team has secured home field yet!!!!!
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#130
Posted: 12/22/2011 12:05:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DannySatan:

Damn, the more I look at it, the more I like Indy tonight.  SO MUCH action coming in on Houston... like I said before, nothing about this game is a "must-win" for them, as they're not gonna catch the Ravens (who would have to lose to Cleveland this week)...

VegasInsider right now has a shocking 92% of the consensus layin the points with Houston... another red flag right there, as home dogs getting 20% of the action or less cover more than half the time.

This aint Curtis Painter we're talkin about, either.  Orlovsky proved last week that this Indy offense can at least be average when the QB doesn't give away the game.  This is basically Indy's Superbowl, as next week, nobody's gonna watch or care about their meaningless game at Jacksonville...

I'm thinkin about waiting til around noon to see if I can get this at +7, and if it doesn't move I'll buy the 0.5...

thoughts?


Baltimore has TWO division games left as New England does too...

Kansas City proved, any given sunday anything can happen

Miami will cover the spread this week in NE, i think that will be a lot closer than people are thinking..

Baltimore plays Cinci in cinci, the last week'

Learn the NFL dude,,,

Your bet should still be good but tread easy,,,,i would like it a lot more sitting at 7.5

i would not play this at all,,,texans can easily win this game by 10+
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#131
Posted: 12/22/2011 1:06:10 PM
27-13 F Houston wins...Colts played thier superbowl last week...
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#132
Posted: 12/22/2011 1:09:45 PM
I take the teaser winner
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#133
Posted: 12/22/2011 1:16:31 PM
New odds:

KS: -270
IL: +240

KS: -2.5 -130
IL: +2.5 +110

My take: some early morning value shoppers have driven the line back up to KS-260.  IlPrato's torrid start out of the gate these shopper's feel is unsustainable and as we say in the cow milking business, the cream always rises to the top.  They also feel that ilprato is not used to being the favorite and might not be able to handle the pressure.  With some delays in negotiating the terms of the contest settled, KS can focus on picking winners and let the results speak for themselves. 
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#134
Posted: 12/22/2011 1:45:16 PM
Everyone get on board the KS Express train.  All aboard!!!
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#135
Posted: 12/22/2011 2:04:05 PM
Nicely said edward..... Go KS
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#136
Posted: 12/22/2011 2:14:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cutebrute:

Everyone get on board the KS Express train.  All aboard!!!
me too
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#137
Posted: 12/22/2011 2:23:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oahutopia:

Yah, I went with Louie Tech also.  So far u is money.  BTW what does ilprato mean?

cheee buleeh..
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#138
Posted: 12/22/2011 2:49:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:

If I was one of you why not just play teasers every play, since juice does not count in your wager, right?

7 point teasers every pick, LOL.
 each play has to be a -110, -105, +100, or better line ..... 
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#139
Posted: 12/22/2011 3:28:15 PM

@ bikemcr  GL my man 

@oahutopia 

@ DannySatan  A somewhat valid argument with Indy ML, but you just can’t get past the fact that statistically last week—though they won—they got their asse     8 of 12 Indy possessions gained less than 15 yrds total vs Tennessee (far cry from Houston’s D).  Indy’s game last week is not an example of an improving Indy team at all, they had a stellar 205 rushing, but Brown got 136 of those yards on 3 carries and one of those (80 yds was a broken play)…those 3 of Browns 16 runs not counted would mean that brown ran for 13 times for 25 yds, and Addai ran 11 for 20, for a combined less than 2 yards a carry….take those 3 runs out of the equation and you have indy with average of 3.15 yrds per play for the game….. Houston is running for seed position and still in the running for HF throughout the POs….. Indy ML?  not this guy’s money….GL

Whitesnake1983…..safer on the Over?  I just don’t think Indy can score on this D, not very often…point 2….an incredible amount of Squares are on the Over….that makes it an Under, or no play for me…. And I like the Under….Peace 

@ buju8… I would not go so far as to say Houston has mediocre talent, they have a great running attack (7th in NFL on yards per carry over the last 3 games), and Yates is better than he played last week.  That said, I do like the Under given Houstons desire to get the lead and grind out the clock till the gun.  

@ edwardglennx3… word to the wise…NEVER bet on the team you are loyal to… I was a Steeler fan my whole life and since going pro I have no conscience loyalties, though I tried betting them this season, and cannot win a ticket on Pitt….. Never betting a Pitt game again lol……… you cannot be completely unbiased if you have emotional loyalties…and you are WAY TOO MUCH OF A HOUSTON FAN to ever believe you can be unbiased in betting them…….jus sayin  

@winner005…. 

@ RJthegreat…thanks buddy… 

LILAC77477  I appreciate the support my friend… PROTO is doing impressively though, …nothing but respect from me  

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#140
Posted: 12/22/2011 3:29:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cutebrute:

New odds:

KS: -270
IL: +240

KS: -2.5 -130
IL: +2.5 +110

My take: some early morning value shoppers have driven the line back up to KS-260.  IlPrato's torrid start out of the gate these shopper's feel is unsustainable and as we say in the cow milking business, the cream always rises to the top.  They also feel that ilprato is not used to being the favorite and might not be able to handle the pressure.  With some delays in negotiating the terms of the contest settled, KS can focus on picking winners and let the results speak for themselves. 
 was really happy to see that we have an official color commentator for the challenge    thanks CB! 
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#141
Posted: 12/22/2011 3:59:31 PM
Like the teaser too but will be playing Houston on the -6 line as well, this is a total over-reaction to last weeks Indy win and Houston's loss in my opinion - the gap between these two teams in offensive and defense efficiency is huge.

Indy gets 10-13 points at most tonight and Houston gets to at least 20; my concern with the teaser would only be some garbage points in the 4th quarter. I'm playing the 1H under as well.

BTW, love the Christina Hendricks pic, redheads are the best women in the world in my opinion - fiery and with personality. I know - I'm married to one. 
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#142
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:35:25 PM
The peanut gallery anxiously await for tonight's plays to tail, critique and analyze the sharpness of the day's plays.  We had some disappointed tailors yesterday who could not jump on KS's easy NC pick because of the lagginess of the Covers server. 

Little is known of the 25 year veteran of sports betting IlPrato, the mysterious gambling sensation off to a 2-0 start.  Does anyone know what an IlPrato is?  I surely don't. One who had at one time based his picks on the number of fans who have rushed the floor, he has pulled out his crystal ball and brought team Prato two nice winners.  What does he have in store for us tonight? 


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#143
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:45:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by edwardglennx3:


Wow,,,,what the hell is wrong with you,,,,,,,,do you not watch football,,,,first,,,,the the texans would never lay down for the colts,,,,,second, we are 4-0 division play,,,they would love to sweep the division for a franchise record.....3rd,,,,,indi is in the AFC, and we do have an 8-2 afc record, with baltimore and pitt having a game or 2 worse than that in the afc...if we win the last 2 and new england loses just one game,,,we get the 1 seed compared to the 3 seed. if baltimore loses a game than well get the 2 seed


You play for the team? I thought NFL players aren't allowed to bet on football.
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KScapping send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#144
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:46:38 PM
for the private messages asking why I did not make the Houston Teaser a Challnge Play.... our lines have to be -110 or better... a 2 team @ -110 lines are not an overall -110 line,....hence, it is not a legal play....or I would play it on this game......
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#145
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:48:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cutebrute:

The peanut gallery anxiously await for tonight's plays to tail, critique and analyze the sharpness of the day's plays.  We had some disappointed tailors yesterday who could not jump on KS's easy NC pick because of the lagginess of the Covers server. 

Little is known of the 25 year veteran of sports betting IlPrato, the mysterious gambling sensation off to a 2-0 start.  Does anyone know what an IlPrato is?  I surely don't. One who had at one time based his picks on the number of fans who have rushed the floor, he has pulled out his crystal ball and brought team Prato two nice winners.  What does he have in store for us tonight? 


 LOL...you are cracking me up cutebrute....lol 
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#146
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:04:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cutebrute:

The peanut gallery anxiously await for tonight's plays to tail, critique and analyze the sharpness of the day's plays.  We had some disappointed tailors yesterday who could not jump on KS's easy NC pick because of the lagginess of the Covers server. 

Little is known of the 25 year veteran of sports betting IlPrato, the mysterious gambling sensation off to a 2-0 start.  Does anyone know what an IlPrato is?  I surely don't. One who had at one time based his picks on the number of fans who have rushed the floor, he has pulled out his crystal ball and brought team Prato two nice winners.  What does he have in store for us tonight? 




::applause::
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#147
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:07:02 PM
Any other plays tonight?On NCAA Hoops or the NHL? I Like the Redwings -1.5 play on +220
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#148
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:14:30 PM
I like the teaser, Anything on the boise state game ?
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#149
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:23:10 PM
HAWAII  +0.5 FIRST HALF (NCAABB)
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#150
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:36:53 PM

Not a problem with the teaser and taking Houston down to a pick. I may (if I tease) the other way on the total though

BOL!

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