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Author: [League Contests] Topic: KScapping write ups and plays archived #2
ILPRATO
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#976
Posted: 1/17/2012 12:04:25 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by whitesnake1983:

I have 2 of my bets already placed for this week:
I took the Texans on +300 - nice odd I think, they have great defense, nice running offense. Of course, Baltimore have the best running defense in the league, but I think that Houston will at least stay near the Ravens the whole game - there goes the HC is a gift, but I want to go a little further, so I took the Texans - maybe it is a longshot, but I liked what I saw against the Bengals and Joe Flacco has been awful all season, and probably he will be the one to darn the Ravens up. The so called Matty Ice (the 2 of them - the most overrated players ever!) fucked the Falcons with his inability to throw the ball fast, now I think that Flacco will be murdered time and time again. And if they give Yates a chance to throw the ball, we saw what he can do, so I don't think that Houston is so predictable.
The other big bet is on New England - no chance in hell that they don't cover - this Tebow kid had his moment(s) of glory against the Steelers in that insane game, but I say no more. Probably a good bet the over in this game, but I think New England will kill them - with that offense Brady will score no less than 40 points.
For the other 2 games - I lean New Orleans HC and ML and the over in GB/NY game, but I am still thinking about those. Don't see New ORleans losing to anybody in the NFC - maybe only against Brady in the Superbowl, but even this is highly doubtful. And the Giants will be facing a lot better team than the dead chickens they faced last week  and there will be lots of scoring in this game - yes, I agree that the Giants passing rush has been excellent the last 3 games, but they faced the box Sanchez, the injured Romo and the so called Matty Ice that melted like a snowman left on the sun, so against Rogers it will be a lot harder. I give edge for the Packers in this game, but I think that the Giants will not lose by more than a TD. Nevertheless the over there seems a smart bet.

nice calls -

what do you see this weekend.

At first glance hard to lay 7.5 with the pats due to their defense yet they are an offensive machine and extremely well coached.Its probably going to be ravens for me to keep it close or a pass.



 
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#977
Posted: 1/17/2012 12:41:12 AM

Hey Mr Il Prato..Did ya'll hear that boom that shook windows and rattled glassware up  there in New York City ??  That was my knees hitting the flooor r... I not only had your selection (Game) but also loaded up on a half time Par, Kansas -1½ and over 75, and another strianght bet on the second halfl at -1½, to go alone with pressing the front end. I had "Wins" coming out of my behind...Thanks a lot for sharing. 

BamaBud

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ILPRATO
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#978
Posted: 1/18/2012 11:33:12 PM
RAVENS+7.5
Grabbing the points pats giving up over 400 yards a game.Ravens have the ingredients to pull the upset.Brady as great as he is has a glass jaw.Hit the guy a couple of times and he starts to force the issue.In the playoff losses of recent memory the jets were able to knock him around as were the Giants in their upset in the Super Bowl.Ravens capable of doing the same thing ill grab the points.


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21-9-1
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#979
Posted: 1/19/2012 12:52:44 AM
 Gl
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whitesnake1983
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#980
Posted: 1/19/2012 2:41:52 AM
I agree with ILPRATO about the points +7.5 seems like a reasonable bet, but I won't go against Brady, not at Foxborough, not in such a game. I think that the over 50.5 is a gift and we should all take it - everyone talks how shitty NE defense is and how atomic their offense is, hence goes the over. I think that the Patriots will win this game, maybe with a TD, maybe with more than a TD, really can't say, I really expect a huge lead for the Pats and a backdoor cover for the Ravens, but we'll see. The over is a sure thing for me. 
The other game is a real teaser and I don't see the totals anyway - I am a man who prefers to play the over and to lay off a game if I don't see it that way, but I think that New York will win this game. Manning has been excellent lately, his protection has been excellent, his receivers were outstanding the last 2 games and their defense is really holding up against mighty teams like the Packers, so I think it all leans Giants way. I don't know how bookies put these odds - San Francisco had devil luck last time and I am truly sorry that Drew Brees and that offense possess such an awful defense that can't hold their rivals for 1 minute...darn that, I was really looking forward to Brady-Brees encounter not to mention that I won nothing on that game, since the over won a huge amount and I lost it on New Orleans, so that game was really nothing. I still think that after that glorious win against Green Bay, the Giants will prevail in this game, but I think it won't be very highscoring one.
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ILPRATO
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#981
Posted: 1/19/2012 12:45:49 PM
whitesnake- good points 

ill take a look at that over 50.5 I see you are a pat follower and know your team.

As far as the giants go they are starting to hit their stride but will they be able to run the ball? 

Averaging 3.5 while niners giving up 3.6-

It will be up to manning here. can he win it for them ?
personally still on the fence i lean to low scoring as you do but not sure if ill touch it.
Good luck

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#982
Posted: 1/20/2012 3:13:37 PM
ILPRATO ... do you gonna make your own thread for all your betting? very impress
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#983
Posted: 1/20/2012 5:36:01 PM
Both games staying under this week.

Like the Ravens +7 - +8
Leaning on the 49'ers -1 - -2.5 
Way TOO MUCH line movement here!!!!!

Pats WIN with a no cover: Most of if not all the RAVENS/PATS games have been decided by less than 7 points. Ravens should be able to come out and lay some heavy wood on their TE combo attack and slow down their offense enough to keep everyone glued to their seats.

49'ers WIN with a cover: Gonna be a muddy track with a lot of rain, which plays to the 9'ers strength (running the football). Manning has had a GREAT year thus far, but passing the ball is going to be even more difficult with the weather factor. (Even though I'm REALLY afraid, last weeks win against the SAINTS could have been their Superbowl Win. They may not have enough gas to get over the hump with a healthy Giants team)
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#984
Posted: 1/20/2012 7:52:22 PM
WATCH OUT FOR THEM GIANTS!  
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#985
Posted: 1/22/2012 8:57:05 AM
Giants ML

Ravens ML
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#986
Posted: 1/22/2012 11:48:16 AM
BOL ILPRATO love that you are still posting plays and love that you never force plays. Keep posting whether it be here or in another post.
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#987
Posted: 1/22/2012 12:14:15 PM
BOL ILPRATO love that you are still posting plays and love that you never force plays. Keep posting whether it be here or in another post.
                                 
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#988
Posted: 1/22/2012 1:35:38 PM

Mr Ilprato...

Thirty minutes til kick off, Baltimore Raven +8 ( I bet early before it dropped), but how about the Total?  and the Other Game,... I'm going under and then the New York Giants.  Should we'all wait for

your selection, or go ahead...I have your Post for the Ravens, you had a few days ago ... anymore to come.

I , we  all at  " Killing Time Bar", in Alabama want to say, Thank You and ROLL TIDE  !!!. 

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#989
Posted: 1/22/2012 2:41:10 PM
GOOD LUCK PRATO!  
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ILPRATO
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#990
Posted: 1/22/2012 3:15:03 PM
good luck guys
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ILPRATO
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#991
Posted: 1/22/2012 3:21:11 PM
Niners

Do u go with the better overall work which is the niners or do you go with a hot team that seems to be hitting their stride in the giants.Not an easy choice.My final decision comes on the basis on the last 5 teams or so to defeat the previous Super Bowl champ which would come in to play with giants win over the reigning champs the pack .Those teams fell flat on their faces the following week .With Rain expected that could slow down the giants deep threat in Cruz as well.So I lean the niners.
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ILPRATO
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#992
Posted: 1/22/2012 11:03:10 PM
2 wild games today rough on both teams that lost.

As for the Super Bowl I can't lay points with a  team that gave up over 400 yards a game in the regular season.




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whitesnake1983
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#993
Posted: 1/23/2012 11:55:52 AM
New England will win that game and it will be a wild, highscoring shootout. That's what my first impressions are, but a long 2 weeks to the Superbowl, so lots of time to think about this game.
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#994
Posted: 1/23/2012 2:53:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ddubb45:

Both games staying under this week.

Like the Ravens +7 - +8
Leaning on the 49'ers -1 - -2.5 
Way TOO MUCH line movement here!!!!!

Pats WIN with a no cover: Most of if not all the RAVENS/PATS games have been decided by less than 7 points. Ravens should be able to come out and lay some heavy wood on their TE combo attack and slow down their offense enough to keep everyone glued to their seats.

49'ers WIN with a cover: Gonna be a muddy track with a lot of rain, which plays to the 9'ers strength (running the football). Manning has had a GREAT year thus far, but passing the ball is going to be even more difficult with the weather factor. (Even though I'm REALLY afraid, last weeks win against the SAINTS could have been their Superbowl Win. They may not have enough gas to get over the hump with a healthy Giants team)

3 out of 4 isn't bad. My fear on the 49'ers proved to be true. Manning with 55+ pass attempts was wild!!! Both were great games yesterday!!! Pats already opened up -3.5 favorites just like i thought after watching both games.
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#995
Posted: 1/24/2012 5:28:00 PM

I will commit to New England and the OVER unless the lines move with some steam but a gradual movement will not scare me off....

Also, I will hedge my bet with a teaser including NYG and the OVER to offset my parlay on New England and the OVER.

I do NOT feel that Vegas has made a mistake by opening up with NYG +4 and much of the public taking the bait with that crucial # above the field goal.

I have read and understand the statistics and trends are mostly in favor of NYG so ask all of you why are they not favored then?

4 plays at 5 units ea. 

FUPM

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ILPRATO
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#996
Posted: 1/25/2012 6:46:03 PM
Drake +5.5

college hoops
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whitesnake1983
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#997
Posted: 1/28/2012 8:38:08 AM
Last night went on +10 with the Knicks - it got cancelled :) Anything for tonight? Big bets tomorrow on the over of the Probowl - it is a gift at 72.5
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#998
Posted: 1/28/2012 11:44:00 AM

Mr Ilprato and Whitesnake, how about you two take a look at Rotation

717, Ga Sou +7½ and plus $280 Money Line.  ..  Not so much that they will Cover, .....  But,  I think Ga Southern will win out right.  UT Chatt hasn't won in last five, check them out.  

 Even a blind squirrel can find an acorn if he looks long enough.

 

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ILPRATO
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#999
Posted: 1/28/2012 12:28:21 PM
Personally my final play for the season .

Under first half Giants-Pats

In my opinion its a bit of a lofty total.Both teams with two weeks off may show a bit of rust early.Floodgates could open in the second half but I think the teams might be cautious early feeling each other out.

Good luck on who ever you guys take.

As far as the side goes I truly feel its too close to call for me.I can see this one coming down to the final drives of the game .So hopefully i can hit my first half under and enjoy the rest of the game.

opinions welcome.


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#1000
Posted: 1/28/2012 10:39:14 PM

ILPRATO do you cap for the nba and how are you doing.

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