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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Atlanta at New Orleans (12/26/2011)
cre9779 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 12/26/2011 2:12:02 PM

I see some posts stating that this game has little relevance for one team or the other. Thats so far from the truth because if Atlanta wins out at worst they are the #5 seed, they could also get the #3 seed if they win out and New Orleans loses out, unlikely but possible. Some might say there isn't much difference between the #5 and #6 seeds but this year most likely the #3 seed will be New Orleans and the #4 seed Dallas/Giants winner this upcoming Sunday. I think thats an easy choice which of those teams is much tougher. With all that being said I'm teasing New Orleans tonight to -.5 with something else. If I had to pick one side without a tease I'd probably go with Atl. cause these teams tend to play each other closely and Atl. has a lot of the line, as well as New Orleans, but the way New Orleans has played this year at home I can't bet against them.

GL to all.

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#27
Posted: 12/26/2011 2:53:59 PM
Leaning Under, may do a play on Atl also if line gets bet back up to 7.5, which it may since the public is hammering NO as expected.
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#28
Posted: 12/26/2011 2:54:15 PM

The points seem about right on this one considering what New Orleans has done at home and the way Atl has played this year.  I recommend getting drunk before trying to watch Atl cover this one.  Take the under and go to the new Sherlock Holmes.

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#29
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:14:58 PM

really its all going to come down to Atlanta.  I think we can all at least agree that New Orleans is going to come out and play with a level of intensity at least as high as they have played all year.

If you think good Atlanta shows up and matches their intensity then +7 is a good bet.  If you think bad Atlanta shows up then +7 isn't going to do much good.  The Saints would win by about 14.  Really i just don't see putting my faith in a team that is so jekell and hyde.  I can't get over the fact that Atlanta completely laid an egg in that first half vs Carolina when they had EVERYTHING to play for.  They were lucky Newton turned the ball over two times in the second half.

I think there will be points so i already bet the over, but even though i think NO will cover i'm going to wait and see what Atlanta team shows up and just bet the second half.

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holtnt
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#30
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:19:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NoBetNoWin:

Saints look like they are prime for a SB push..  Brees is having a record breaking year.  Saints are 6-0 at Home ATS.  mostly covering large spreads...  I am gonna continue to ride the Saints ATS streak (6 in a row)....


Saints -6.5




NO 31 - Atl 20



NoBetNoWin,


YOU and I are almost on the same page here!  Matt Ryan has the weapons around him this year to compete with anybody and they are a dangerous team in a dome.  The only problem with that is the dome in which this game will be played is NOT in
Fulton County Georgia.  Division Title and a NFL passing record on the line in Mr. Brees backyard...  I capped this puppy at 20 - 30!

With that said, put me down for
New Orleans minus the chalk please.  Thanks! 


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808pickyboy send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Belmont.ag |
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#31
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:32:54 PM

NO fan here. I hate to sound like a homer but once again as I stated last week, to bet on NO is the first half. ATL may have a strong push but lookinh at their record on who they played, NO definitely will be twice as strong on both sides of the ball. NO has scored against very good "D"s in NY and Detroit.

I will agree that these two teams haave always played close but I do watch every game and this game is a statement game fo NO. Watching GB and other teams that has SB potential, NO is the healthiest ande complete on both sides of the ball and now they actually have a very gtood running game with SPROLES in the back, even w/ or w/out INGRAM, Brees has so many targets, ATL wint kn0ow from there head to their behind on "D".

As I said, this is a statement game, NO wins by 14+. They will have the lead and wont look back. The only concern I have is Peyton pulling Brees out in the 3rd after a big lead and a backdoor cover will sting you so NO in the first half is the bet. I'm leaning towards the under in this. WHY, I don't think ATL will score more than 17 and NO will be in the high 20's low 30"s.

 

First Half

 NO Saints 21-24

ATL 3-7

 

Final Score 

NO Saints 28-33

ATL 17- 20

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#32
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:39:26 PM

My thought process is a question you must ask yourself,

Is ATL as good as they were last year? Definitely Not

Are the Saints? Better for sure.

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#33
Posted: 12/26/2011 5:59:33 PM
I say throw all that "nothing to play for" nonsense out the window with division games.  See Philly Saturday which I pounded.  And Atl actually has some room to wiggle.

Atl +7

GLA
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#34
Posted: 12/26/2011 6:00:20 PM
Likely my last reg season play, glad I could help so many people cash units the last two  months.  Enjoy the last week all.
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#35
Posted: 12/26/2011 6:11:40 PM
 over is the play both teams give up tooo many points  imo! gl to all
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#36
Posted: 12/26/2011 6:53:09 PM
red flag 12-1 on saints.  must mean dirty birds are the pick plus 7
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mi109227
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#37
Posted: 12/26/2011 7:35:29 PM
WHO DAT
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#38
Posted: 12/26/2011 7:47:16 PM
brees and co. will be gunning for marinos record...i think he gets it no problem...theyve been on fire ...and in their house unstoppable this year..payton likes to cover over there....i like no and over..ryan will try but dont think he could keep up..glta pirate..
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QMICH
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#39
Posted: 12/26/2011 8:22:37 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by shark_apreza:



ohhh i forgot something u North-Americans have different stats on how much money is on certain team than here, at least here 85% of the people is on Atlanta-----bt any way 62% isnt that much

there still 38%  suckers on the US and 85% in mexico

MAYBE I SHOULD LOG ON TO LACOVERS.COM TO CHECK ON THE MEXICAN STEAM!

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#40
Posted: 12/26/2011 8:28:05 PM
Atlanta Falcons +7 LARGE
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#41
Posted: 12/26/2011 8:31:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 808pickyboy:

My thought process is a question you must ask yourself,

Is ATL as good as they were last year? Definitely Not

Are the Saints? Better for sure.

Are you being a homer? yes

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holtnt
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#42
Posted: 12/26/2011 11:27:56 PM

That defensive score should wrap this puppy up!  Nice job New Orleans and Over backers!


Who Dat Nation 

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#43
Posted: 12/26/2011 11:47:24 PM

yup.  congrats NO and OVER. 

 

man Saints for real in that dome.  Defense and running game looking good.  watch out NFC.

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#44
Posted: 12/27/2011 12:33:24 AM

 Bet Accepted Type Sport NSS Selection Date  20093155   12/26/11
07:05PM
Straight    Football 131  Atlanta vs. New Orleans - ESPN
Over
53   -115
12/26/11
07:40PM
575 500 Won   
500
 Bet Accepted Type Sport NSS Selection Date  20093156   12/26/11
07:05PM
Straight    Football 1131  Atlanta vs. New Orleans - ESPN
Over - 1 Half Total
27   -110
12/26/11
07:40PM
550 500 Won   
500
1000

All Bets Total:
1000
quote
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#45
Posted: 12/27/2011 12:35:45 AM

Graded Bets




 Bet Accepted Type Sport NSS Selection Date  20093155   12/26/11
07:05PM
Straight    Football 131  Atlanta vs. New Orleans - ESPN
Over
53   -115
12/26/11
07:40PM
575 500 Won   
500
 Bet Accepted Type Sport NSS Selection Date  20093156   12/26/11
07:05PM
Straight    Football 1131  Atlanta vs. New Orleans - ESPN
Over - 1 Half Total
27   -110
12/26/11
07:40PM
550 500 Won   
500
1000

All Bets Total:
1000
quote
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