Super 15 Week 9

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Author: [Rugby] Topic: Super 15 Week 9
snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/19/2012 6:12:30 PM

Super 15 YTD 34-37 +1.30 units

Have been having a hard time of it lately but should be time turn that around and start making the money,

Picks:

Stormers -1.5 1 unit @ $.190

Like the Stormers to get the win tonight over the Reds. The Stormers have been the bench mark in this years comp and i dont expect them to lose to the Reds who have been very up and down all season. The Reds are 0-2 Su and ATS in games with teams outside their confrence. The Stormers are 3-1 Su and 1-3-0 ATS but really 1 point is not a lot to lay.

Stormers/Reds over 43.5 2 units @ $1.90

Well this game should be a good overs game tonight going on the stats for both teams. The Stormers are 3-1 on totals with teams outside their confrence and the Reds are 2-0 on totals. So the over looks very good to me tonight.

Cant really get a feel for the Blues Highlanders game tonight. Blues looked a lot better team last week and they make take a lot from that game. Although the highlanders have had a week off to get ready and being a confrence match should come out with the big guns. Lean Blues +4.5 at the moment.

BOL

 

rod_steel PM rod_steel
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Posted: 4/19/2012 10:12:13 PM
Stormers for me as well
snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/19/2012 10:30:16 PM

ROD

Yea even though they are on the road trip they will just be to good for the Reds who have been very up and down

phatmaori PM phatmaori
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Posted: 4/19/2012 11:01:24 PM
If the Highlanders line was still -1.5 I'd hit it but it aint. Still got a weird feeling Blues will get up which probably mean they won't haha

Really like the Reds/Stormers Over. Going to play that myself. BOL! Will see what you play for the league, hopefully on the same page
snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/19/2012 11:17:23 PM

Yea im just waiting for a few MLB games to finish then will have my plays for the Kiwis games tonight. Leaning Aussie -8.5 at the moment but yea never know may just get a gut feeling go with the Kiwis, really think SJ and BM have big games tonight in the halves together.

You can tell that SJ has modelled his game around Benji and this will be his dream come true playing with him in the halves in an  ANZAC Test

phatmaori PM phatmaori
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Posted: 4/19/2012 11:22:29 PM
Except we never win these one off games. We win Four Nations and world cup finals haha basically when Billy the kid chokes
snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/20/2012 12:56:34 AM

Haha yea mate. Just got back from the Car shop. My drift car is all tuned and man does it hall arse. I have just been out for a thrash and was sliding side to side without dumping the clutch. So much fun nothing can ruin my night.

snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/20/2012 1:03:08 AM

Have been thinking the Highlanders/Blues game over and cant come up on a side for the game but do like the total,

Pick:

Blues/Highlanders over 45.5 1 unit @ $1.90

This game shouls sail over tonight. Indoors game and the Blues have gone for in my opinion a strong line up with plenty of attacking power all over the field and same for the landers as well. The Blues are 6-1 on totals and 2-1 in confrence. They are an over machine at the moment. The Landers are however 1-2 on totals in confrecne but still like this total to go over tonight.

BOL

snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/20/2012 4:50:56 AM

Super 15 YTD 35-37 +2.20 units

Blues/Highlanders over

Well good start to the night now just need the Stormers to get over the line in a high scoring game and will be a very good night.

snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/20/2012 7:24:39 AM

Super 15 YTD 36-38 +1.10 units

Stormers

Over

Well an ok night and didnt miss the over by much but just so many times both teams with a chance to score and just couldnt get the points on the board.

Jive_Turkey PM Jive_Turkey
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Posted: 4/20/2012 7:34:31 AM
do the friggin Bulls ever play away from home ??
phatmaori PM phatmaori
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Posted: 4/20/2012 3:49:13 PM
snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/20/2012 7:27:44 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

do the friggin Bulls ever play away from home ??

Yeap they will have 8 games away from home Jive

snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/20/2012 8:47:01 PM

Have had a look over the games for tonights action and have come up with a few plays,

Picks:

Hurricanes +6.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Like the Canes at home tonight. They have been a very good side this year and are playing very good footy. They are 4-3 Su and 5-2-0 ATS overall. In confernce they are 1-1 Su and ATS, so not a lot to go on there. The Saders looked very good last week but that is one game that they got up for big time and this could be a small let down spot this week for them. They are 4-3 Su and 3-4-0 ATS overall. In confrence they are 1-2 Su and 1-2-0 ATS. So small advantage to the canes there but ioverall at home the canes should be good enough to challange for the win tonight.

Chiefs +2.5 2 units @ $1.90

Not sure how the mighty Mooloo men start this game underdogs but i will take the value and enjoy it. They have been one of 2 teams seeting the form in the comp and dont see them losing this game tonight. They are on a role at the moment and should have to much for the sharks who didnt really deserve to beat the Blues and have just got home from a 3 game road trip. They maybe a little tired and the chiefs throwing the ball around will be a bonus. The Chiefs are 6-1 Su and 5-2-0 ATS overall and 4-0 Su and 3-1-0 ATS in games outside the confrence. The Sharks are 4-4 Su and 5-3-0 ATS overall and 3-2 Su ATS in games outside their confrence so on the stats give the advantage to the Chiefs and they are the better team in this one.

Sharks/Chiefs over 46.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Really like the over a lot for this game. Both teams have the ability to attack from all over the park and score plenty of points. The Sharks are 6-2 on totals overall and 5-0 in games outside the confrence. The Chiefs are 3-4 on totals and 2-1 in games outside their confrence. So the stats point towards a high scoring game and i would tend to agree.

Bulls/Brumbies over 53.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Well the Bulls should really put up 40 points on the Brumbies. The brumbies started out the comp well with some easy games but since then have began to look worse and worse in my opinion. The Bulls are 4-2 on totals and 2-0 on games outside thier confrence, The Brumbies are 3-4 on totals and 3-1 in games outside thier confrence. Again the stats would suggest the over is the play and plenty of points and im going to go with that play.

Thats all for now may have a Parlay later on tonight for the 2 SA games.

BOL

phatmaori PM phatmaori
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Posted: 4/20/2012 9:27:17 PM
Like those  Chiefs were +2 earlier this morning.. wonder if I can wait and sneak an extra .5
snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/20/2012 11:58:53 PM

Phatty

Going to add this little play for some fun tonight,

Pick:

Saders -4.5/Saders Canes over 51.5 2 units @ $3.00

BOL

snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/21/2012 5:07:16 AM

Super 15 YTD 37-39 +4.10 units

Hurricanes

Parlay

Come on the Chiefs in the SA game. If they can get a win they will be back on top of the table and will be good coming home off a 3 game road trip and 3 wins to show for it.

snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/22/2012 12:25:20 AM

Super 15 YTD 39-40 +5.80 units

Chiefs

OVer

Over

My Chiefs win another game and stay top of the table where they belong and now they come back to NZ for some confrence games. Go the mighty Mooloos

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