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Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: 2012 Masters
AgainstDaConsen send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
AgainstDaConsen
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#1
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:40:04 AM
(38-48 -1.95u) Overall 2012

Gonna try to figure out Augusta this year... I rainy and wet... Europeans, putting, shortgame I think are key... This course is longer with the rain.. but rolling the rock is more important IMO

Tourney Matchups:
5u
Wagner Over Couples -126
2u
Yang Over Bjorn -116
Yang Over Couples -135
Donald Over Mickelson +141
W. Simpson Over Kaymer -117

- Fading freddy here... back bad, cooler conditions, ust dont think he will find a groove here and should miss the cut
- Yang is a stat pick... Bjorn should struggle with length here
- Donald is my guy and I dont see Phil having a great tourney if the mudballs start making an apperence
- Kaymer is a perennial weekend watcher at Augusta


Will They Make the Cut?
1u
Rory NO +697
Kaymer NO +130
Mahan YES -350

- Rory is a stab, Kaymer is just a smart bet IMO, and Mahan is for action... would like to have something invested in watching him...

Top 10 Ties Included:
1u
Tiger YES -198
Donald YES +122
Garcia YES +382

To Win Futures:
1u
Tiger +500
Donald +1480
.5u
Garcia +6330
Laird +13810

First Round:
2u
Ohair Over Fernandez-Castano -126
Moon-Bae Over Ohair +105

- Funny I know but I dont like Castano with his low ball flight and the only line I found for bae was against Ohair... Fingers crossed it works out...



that took a while but its all on paper.. 

GL ALL




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snake2710
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#2
Posted: 4/5/2012 1:44:29 AM

Love your work mate.

I love Tiger to win the comp and dropped on him large. Have 10 guys to be leading after first round as well. Took a few long shots just for fun.

BOL

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#3
Posted: 4/5/2012 11:23:22 PM
geez that wagner play is looking like a straight loser but crazierr things have happened...

1-1 EVEN so far on 1st Round

2nd Round
3u
O'Hair Over Fernandez- Castano -124
Ishikawa Over Couples +124
Mcdowell Over Oosthuizen +108
Donald Over Watney -133


- they say stupidity is doing the same thing over and over again and hoping for a different result... Well here is to stupidity...
- I think Oosthuizen got away with playing to many fades and it wont work tom...
- PLease donald shoot a good score...

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#4
Posted: 4/5/2012 11:54:33 PM
Donald not looking too hot either 
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#5
Posted: 4/5/2012 11:55:46 PM
Not sure why but I think Oostie shoots about Even or -1 tomorrow

gl man
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#6
Posted: 4/6/2012 8:58:58 PM
right about oosty... her birdies the last two and Grame bogeys the last two and I push... just kind of how golf betting goes for me...

Clean Up:

Tourney Matchups:
5u
Wagner Over Couples -126 (L)
Will They Make the Cut?
1u
Rory NO +697 (L)
Kaymer NO +130 (L)
Mahan YES -350 (W)
2nd Round
3u
O'Hair Over Fernandez- Castano -124 (W)
Ishikawa Over Couples +124 (L)
Mcdowell Over Oosthuizen +108 (P)
Donald Over Watney -133 (L)

2-5-1 -11.26u Today
3-6 -11.26u Overall for the tourney


Still Pending:

Tourney Matchups:
2u
Yang Over Bjorn -116 (6up)
Yang Over Couples -135 (4dn)
Donald Over Mickelson +141 (6dn)
W. Simpson Over Kaymer -117 (1up)
Top 10 Ties Included:
1u
Tiger YES -198
Donald YES +122
Garcia YES +382
To Win Futures:
1u
Tiger +500
Donald +1480
.5u
Garcia +6330 
Laird +13810


Really the only thing interesting left is Garcia to win... May not make any plays tomorrow, may make a ton of plays tomorrow... but I am gonna tkae my time really look at stats and choose wisely tomorrow... This course simply did not play like Augusta the last few days... I dont know if it will tomorrow...




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#7
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:15:52 AM
decided to clean it up a little... I know Tiger, Donald and Laird are not gonna win the Maasters so I added those unit losses to the total... As always I tracks futures differently and all futures count as one win or loss... 

I added to Sergio to win at an average of +1360, I added a unit on Dufner too... Now my  futures pending are

2u
Sergio to Win Masters +2600
1u
Dufner to Win Masters +1580


(3-6 -13.76u) Tourney

3rd Round
4u
Schwartzel Over Tiger +140
Stallings Over Kaymer +156
P. Hanson Over Badds +104
Westwood Over Oosthuizen -150
Dufner Over Couples -128
Watson Over Lawrie -160

- You cant ignore how poor ly Tiger played Friday and how poorly he is putting... Statistically his is at the bottom of the field in one of my key stats... Putts of 5-15ft... 
- Kaymer has gotten away with two rounds where he has had alot of bogeys... Its actually quite impressive that he made the cut but the back side is gonna be tougher tomorrow... I dont see him surving to shoot below a 74...
- This is a matchup of a guy who has all the shot against a guy who has very few... Badds doesnt have the shot making ability to score on the Par 4's tomorrow.... Hopefully that will make the difference
- Oosthuisen is surving by killing the final 3 holes... If he does it again, kudos, you got me I lose money... Despite his titleist commercial Westwood loves the high draw... he has been hitting it beautifully all week
- Dufner is playing golf right now... I expect him to be leading going into Sunday, but then probably wilt... I am not simply fading couples this time...
- I like Bubba on Saturdays... Cant find much statistically here to help my case.. Lawrie has been driving the ball extremely well and has been hitting tons of greens... I will just refer to Bubba's 3rd round scoring average, which is very good... 

Just prayin for a good day...

GL ALL
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#8
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:41:04 AM
Love the action ... best on moving day!


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#9
Posted: 4/7/2012 9:02:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ClassyAnski:

Love the action ... best on moving day!



just hopin for the best... Gonna be on the golf course till 3pm, then its gettin drunk in the clubhouse watchin the masters...


ADDED:

2u
Donald 3rd round Score Under 71.5 -120

- just hoping to get some money back from Luke
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Hoyasaxa send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#10
Posted: 4/7/2012 10:07:02 AM
Must be having a pretty warm spring up there in the Territitories like down here for golfin-GL Bro...
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#11
Posted: 4/7/2012 7:29:00 PM
of course dufner goes bogey-bogey to finish and give me a push... just cant get a win...  Garcia implodes too... Calling one tourney matchup a loser cause Donald is 15DN... Also Donald has no chance to make the top 10... Not ready to call Garcia and Dufner out of the tourney but it is close... Might call em by 3-4 pm tomorrow...

4u
Schwartzel Over Tiger +140 (L)
Stallings Over Kaymer +156 (W)
P. Hanson Over Badds +104 (W)
Westwood Over Oosthuizen -150 (L)
Dufner Over Couples -128 (P)
Watson Over Lawrie -160 (W)
2u
Donald 3rd round Score Under 71.5 -120 (L)
Tourney Matchups:
2u
Donald Over Mickelson +141 (15dn) (L)
Top 10 Ties Included:
1u
Donald YES +122 (L)

3-5 -1u Today
(6-11 -14.76u) Tourney

- I really needed Dufner to make that putt on 18... just for some confidence... 

Still Pending:

Tourney Matchups:
2u
Yang Over Bjorn -116 (5up)
Yang Over Couples -135 (4dn)
W. Simpson Over Kaymer -117 (6up)
Top 10 Ties Included:
1u
Tiger YES -198
Garcia YES +382
To Win Futures:
2u
Sergio to Win Masters +2600
1u
Dufner to Win Masters +1580

I am probably taking Peter Hanson for alot tomorrow... 


gl all

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#12
Posted: 4/7/2012 11:35:25 PM
Its been a disappointing weekend betting for me... Me and my buddies went for it on this Sunday round and I am just hoping for the best... PLays arent fully in yet, wont be time tomorrow morning just posting with lines I have hit already...

SUNDAY:
6u
Crane Over Watney +113
Dufner Over Couples -131
Snedeker Over Moon-Bae -150
McIlroy Over McDowell -175
Fowler Over K. Bradley +114
Schwartzel Over Kaymer -115
Laird Over Toms -125
V. Singh Over Tiger +190
Oosthuizen Over Bubba +115

- Crane is a stat play.. High on the field in putting and in putting overall for the year
- Dufner played well yesterday from tee to green, just had a terrible short game day... I think Freddy is done mentally... think there is value here with a 50% chance Freddy puts up a big number
- Snedaeker has been here before... has had the lead here and has faced it all on Sunday... I see him exorcising some demons tomorrow as he is playing well and mistly importantly putting well
-  It will be a few years before Rory gets his green jacket but it doesnt mean he hant mastered this course at an early age... perfect spot for him to play agressive and go very low... similar to Phil today.. it wont win but it will remind us of how good he is...
- Bradley has played admirably to get to this point in his first masters but he is at a huge disadvantage with this being his first Sunday round... He doesnt know where to miss and when to go for it...
- Kaymer is just realieved he has made the cut... If you have seen him play he is absolutely grinding away... I see him hitting the wall on Sunday... Schwartzel birdies the last 4 holes last year and the pins will be similar for sure..
- Laird is a stat pick... finally started getting it together and has more upside than toms... who is looking every bit of 45
- Tiger's Game = Garbage right now... I would have taken Billy Casper over him tomorrow..
- Louis Oosthuizen runaway Britsh Open victory is in my top 10 most impressive things I have seen in golf history... He has the same look and same swagger right now... I dont think he wins but he is very even keeled at the moment... Bubba is my favorite golfer but he reminds me of Tin Cup on Sunday... He needs someone to let him know he is throwing away tournaments.... 


ADDED Futures:

6u
P. Hanson to Win +420
2u
Oosthuizen to Win +576

- Please Phil, dont do it to me...



Pray for MOJO... 


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