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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: Nate diaz +252 is insane
gsprush send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
gsprush
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#1
Posted: 11/18/2011 7:39:51 PM
His biggest weakness is against a good top position grappler, which Cerrone isn't (even if his wrestling is much improved). He's had close decision losses to Maynard and Guida (I thought he beat Maynard, but would have to watch it again). You could argue - and I am right now - that Cerrone hasn't beaten anybody as good as Diaz.

Anybody else jump on this? I know it opened higher, but I wasn't able to get it.
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#2
Posted: 11/18/2011 7:48:57 PM

rush, you da man, and I've been a sack o hammers lately, but the new cerrone is better than the old cerrone, who was still pretty good.

I didn't think I'd see Siver get dropped like he did. I like The Cowboy to win this one.

I'm hopin Bendo gets the belt so we can see Bendo/Cowboy 3 next year

however, I do agree the +250 is pretty tasty

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#3
Posted: 11/18/2011 7:49:48 PM
Agreed.  Nate at that price is insane. 
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#4
Posted: 11/18/2011 7:52:38 PM
The only reason I'm not putting more than a unit down is that Diaz +3.5 points will be approximately -110 when that prop comes out during fight week. So he could lose 29-28 x3 and the bet would still win. I see either guy winning a close fight.
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biggiantkiller
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#5
Posted: 11/18/2011 8:14:38 PM
all over nate diaz in this fight odds are to good
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twodeuce send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#6
Posted: 11/18/2011 8:57:06 PM
yep the right bet is nate diaz, 1 reason, the value vegas is offering...

even if your a cerrone fan, if you bet cerrone your a sqaure.

nate has A REAL JAW .. he will play the boxing game with cerrone..


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LONG-TU send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#7
Posted: 11/19/2011 10:48:55 AM
Save me a seat boys I agree this line is ridiculous .
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JD232
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#8
Posted: 11/19/2011 12:55:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by twodeuce:

 

even if your a cerrone fan, if you bet cerrone your a sqaure.


Not if the line drops significantly 
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sharpstick send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: M Resort |
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#9
Posted: 11/19/2011 1:09:47 PM
How exactly is Nate going to win this fight?

I think you are misunderstanding value by just associating a high price on Nate because he is a good fighter, therefore thinking it is value.

Is there a worse matchup in the UFC LW division for Nate?
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MoneyShot send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#10
Posted: 11/19/2011 1:17:59 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by gsprush:

His biggest weakness is against a good top position grappler, which Cerrone isn't (even if his wrestling is much improved). He's had close decision losses to Maynard and Guida (I thought he beat Maynard, but would have to watch it again). You could argue - and I am right now - that Cerrone hasn't beaten anybody as good as Diaz.

Anybody else jump on this? I know it opened higher, but I wasn't able to get it.

i agree with you.. diaz can for sure win this fight..

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#11
Posted: 11/19/2011 1:19:04 PM
im not betting it though cause i have enough $ on this ufc and because i like cerrone and hate diaz lol.
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#12
Posted: 11/19/2011 2:05:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sharpstick:

How exactly is Nate going to win this fight?

I think you are misunderstanding value by just associating a high price on Nate because he is a good fighter, therefore thinking it is value.

Is there a worse matchup in the UFC LW division for Nate?


Paul Kelly was landing on Cerrone. That dude is half the size of Diaz. Diaz can box.
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#13
Posted: 11/19/2011 2:18:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gsprush:



Paul Kelly was landing on Cerrone. That dude is half the size of Diaz. Diaz can box.

Are you suggesting Diaz is going to win by T/KO?

I don't recall the fight with Kelly blow for blow.... but I do remember Cerrone winning the first round, creating a nasty cut on Kelly, and submitting Kelly in the 2nd.

Hopefully that isn't the basis of how he is going to lose to Diaz.

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#14
Posted: 11/19/2011 2:56:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sharpstick:

How exactly is Nate going to win this fight?

I think you are misunderstanding value by just associating a high price on Nate because he is a good fighter, therefore thinking it is value.

Is there a worse matchup in the UFC LW division for Nate?

uh by pounding his fists in Cerrone face lol

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