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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: fading hot losers |
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sergio1994 |
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#26 Posted: 1/3/2012 9:34:01 PM 10-10
phean is in tonight with AL -4.5 If she gets this, you can continue to fade her at your own risk but she'll be at .500 with this win. no others on the board have a losing record. |
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sergio1994 |
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#27 Posted: 1/4/2012 9:16:39 PM 10-11
Phean's streak ended tonight with her selection of Duke -7.5 losing outright. oto was another streaker on the fade watch that went down with his pick of Ill/NW over 133.5
12-11 fading these picks after tonight.
We'll have to see how many new streakers there are tomorrow. |
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sergio1994 |
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#28 Posted: 1/5/2012 8:02:56 PM how sweet, fresh meat 
anikil: byu/loyola marymount over 153 |
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sergio1994 |
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#29 Posted: 1/8/2012 7:34:39 PM 13-11
Eugene likes chicago -127 |
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sergio1994 |
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#30 Posted: 1/10/2012 2:47:18 PM 14-11
no one worth fading from the big board today. Guess we can start watching the monthly leaderboard with those that have logged-in 9 straight winners. There, we have:
tjhous: lasalle/penn over 136.5 |
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sergio1994 |
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#31 Posted: 1/10/2012 2:58:18 PM had one more from last night that i forgot to post:
toyowar: LSU+2 
15-11 ytd fading these picks |
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sergio1994 |
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#32 Posted: 1/12/2012 7:54:59 PM 16-11
Didn't get around to checking out yesterdays fades.
For tonight, Trance, who is one of the monthly leaders so far likes:
VA/Duke over 129 |
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sergio1994 |
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#33 Posted: 1/14/2012 2:48:19 PM 17-11
one so far today:
junction likes: Den/NE over 50 |
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sergio1994 |
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#34 Posted: 1/15/2012 12:26:36 PM 17-12
fuzzyface: DEN over 203.5
monthly leaders
trance: NYG+7.5 Junction: Georgia Tech +2 |
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sergio1994 |
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#35 Posted: 1/16/2012 6:49:47 PM 18-14
trance: Baylor/Kansas over 139 |
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sergio1994 |
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#36 Posted: 1/18/2012 2:30:18 PM 19-15
trance got the win with kansas but lost with yesterday's OK -13 pick
No updates so far. More streakers need to check in... |
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BigChris51 |
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#37 Posted: 1/18/2012 11:49:58 PM  |
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sergio1994 |
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#38 Posted: 1/19/2012 8:03:18 PM m33: Dallas +2.5 |
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sergio1994 |
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#39 Posted: 1/19/2012 10:31:59 PM ewdent: N.O. +9.5 |
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#40 Posted: 1/20/2012 8:03:52 PM 19-17
streakers staying alive...
m33: Wash -116 ooal: Phx +7
monthly streaker:
clepto: Carolina +107 |
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wdtemacg |
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#41 Posted: 1/20/2012 11:42:54 PM Question: if you have two losers who have picked opposite sides of a game, what happens? No play? |
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#42 Posted: 1/26/2012 8:15:13 PM wdt - dunno, I'm just tracking these picks. off-setting picks = no play.
Good group of streakers right now. not many worth fading. there are 3 tonight:
gdawg: AP/SE Missouri St under 148 venisse: WM/JMU over 131 ooal: Gonzaga -15 |
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wdtemacg |
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#43 Posted: 1/27/2012 10:53:05 AM I have been doing a variation of this system that begins tracking the player at "level 6" but with some filters
* the current streak has to be their longest ever
* the player has to has less than 500 wins all-time
* the player must have less wins than losses
3-0 last night but admittedly I have been hovering around .500 myself with this. |
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sergio1994 |
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#44 Posted: 1/27/2012 3:05:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by wdtemacg: I have been doing a variation of this system that begins tracking the player at "level 6" but with some filters
* the current streak has to be their longest ever
* the player has to has less than 500 wins all-time
* the player must have less wins than losses
3-0 last night but admittedly I have been hovering around .500 myself with this.
20-20 right here with these fades. If I took out one hot loser "phean" this would be a better record. not sure if there are more tweaks to do. still under observation.
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sergio1994 |
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#45 Posted: 1/29/2012 9:30:12 PM Randy1183: OR/OR St Under 151.5
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sergio1994 |
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#46 Posted: 2/1/2012 2:54:26 PM 20-21
tazman: Massachusetts -4
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sergio1994 |
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#47 Posted: 2/2/2012 7:57:47 PM 21-21
dominike: Den/LAC over 206.5 |
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