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Author: [Tennis] Topic: tennis_thursday
Anent send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Anent
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#1
Posted: 3/15/2012 6:15:50 AM
As Lippsman from the NHL forum used to say,

"Here we go" (in the voice of____)

"Here we go," in the voice of Mickey Mouse...

For what its worth,

I'm listing my units this time also.  I know the way I do things, since I don't always keep a record here anymore, or post units, can leave some wanting more info since it can be hard to tell how I'm doing.  I just don't take the time to go into that sort of depth on a regular basis anymore and I'm more than fine with just posting in my own thread.   Hopefully the unity info here tonight will give people the general idea of how small my plays are right now.  That's by choice, not necessity, and it's working, so I figure why tinker with a good thing?  I'm up, overall, everyday for the last 10 days, except for two push days.  Most of this is tennis, sprinkled with NBA,NHL and NCAAB.

GL everyone! 

Yen-Hsun Lu -195* vs Frank Dancevic  1 unit
Lamine Ouahab +310* vs Andrey Kuznetsov  .5 unit
Jan Hernych -440* vs Aldin Setkic  1 unit
Marin Cilic -420* vs Lukas Rosol  .5 unit
Nikola Cacic -105* vs Fabrice Martin  .25 unit
Martin Klizan -300* vs Guillermo Olaso  1 unit
Simon Greul +180* vs Pere Riba  .25 unit
Tommy Haas -150* vs Nicolas Mahut .25 unit
Dudi Sela -210* vs Bjorn Phau  1 unit
Benjamin Becker +160* vs Lukas Lacko .25 unit
Gilles Simon +158* vs John Isner  .5 unit
Maria Kirilenko +333* vs Maria Sharapova  1 unit
M.Bartoli Games Won/A.Ivanovic  Over 21½ +100*  1 unit
Marion Bartoli -125* vs Ana Ivanovic .1 unit (now -115)
Igor Andreev -170* vs Flavio Cipolla  (Andreev -170) .25 unit
Marius Copil +100* vs Ilija Bozoljac  .25 unit
Fabrice Martin -165* vs Nikola Cacic  (FB now -155) .25unit
Dustin Brown -235* vs Philipp Oswald  (DB now -295) 1 unit

Simon Greul +180*/Martin Klizan -300* Parlay .25 unit

S.Mirza/E.Vesnina doubles .25 unit





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#2
Posted: 3/15/2012 2:31:48 PM
BOL Anent. I've been following the Kuznetsov/Ouahab match and Ouahab keeps on blowing service games up 40-0 and 40-15. It's actually kind of surreal that he doesn't win another point after getting to 40. I don't think Volandri will be quite as nice in the next round.
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#3
Posted: 3/16/2012 4:42:20 AM
Yen-Hsun Lu = loss
Lamine Ouahab = loss
Jan Hernych = win
Marin Cilic = win
Nikola Cacic = win
Martin Klizan = win
Simon Greul = win
Tommy Haas = win
Dudi Sela = loss
Benjamin Becker
Gilles Simon = loss
Maria Kirilenko = loss
M.Bartoli/Ivanovic  Over 21½ = Loss
Marion Bartoli = Loss
Igor Andreev = win
Marius Copil = loss (one game separated the winner, very close)
Fabrice Martin = loss (guess I hedged the right match!)
Dustin Brown = win

Simon Greul/Martin Klizan = win

S.Mirza/E.Vesnina = win

10-9 including parlays.

Not a good day, losing too many close matchups on Simon, Copil, amd Kirilenko.  Had I just won one of those, things would have been on the positive side.


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#4
Posted: 3/16/2012 4:43:22 AM
scitommy

your prediction was correct. 
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#5
Posted: 3/16/2012 11:00:11 AM
I've been reading your posts for a while now. I just feel you play far too many matches and specifically the challengers. Please don't think I write this with any malcontent. If you rethink your betting strategy you'll see a huge change towards profitability. You have the right course of thought on a lot of matches but currently will never win betting in such volume 
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#6
Posted: 3/16/2012 11:33:55 AM
packersbackers

Thanks for the feedback.  I completely agree  No offense taken.  Ironically, I am winning, but only slightly, a price which comes with playing heavy favorites.  Definitely not enough to make it worth my time.  I'd love to be more successful, but for now, I'm taking a more aggressive approach in terms of number of matches.  I was losing by playing a betting strategy which had worked fairly well for about four or five years.  I decided to change the way I was doing things and pick a lot more matches.  The other thing is this, and this is something I've learned from experience.  I'm pretty good with names (bad with faces) and I remember my losses.  These challenger bets are very small and I'm learning a lot about how these guys play.  Most of them I'm at least a little familiar with.  Some not at all.  It's the beginning of a long season and a lot of betting is recognizing patterns.  So right now I'm sort of in school mode, learning from my losses.  I'll probably slip back into doing it more the way you recommend, if only because of time constraints.  I'll burn out.
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#7
Posted: 3/16/2012 11:41:32 AM
 Best of luck bud
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