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Author: [WNBA] Topic: GAME 3 my predictions spread and totals
schmeto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
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#1
Posted: 10/6/2011 5:09:17 PM
Hi everybody,

i read often your forum and i like it , i come from belgium and i use to go on french forum usually so i do my first step here

for me, bookies are  often wrong on the totals..

spread is(-2 , -3) ok but should be reverse on favor for MIN

my predict 76- 78 for MIN  so MIN H+4 could be good bet but i think the line will go down and if MIN is H+2 at this time it will be not a good bet too much risk if it is tight and team goes on free trow on the end of the game

 - 156 points for this game  and the UNDER  165 for the totals( just the risk of OT to consider..)
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schmeto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
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#2
Posted: 10/7/2011 4:34:13 PM
if you (people) asking you why the line for the spread is too much, it is simple... already in both first games more people bet with his heart on Atlanta so booking know that and they anticipated this game to cover them with this fact that people will bet again more on atlanta above all they play at home!!!

Atlanta could win but for me it is 50/50 and this handicap spread is totally disproportionate and IT IS THE TRAP ...
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TKDKID send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
TKDKID
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#3
Posted: 10/7/2011 4:39:43 PM
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schmeto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
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#4
Posted: 10/7/2011 7:33:48 PM
on 1 of my calculating ( not considering all) i have this score
 63 atl /77 Min  it is realy strange because last score h2h at atlanta was 64/77 i dont know if it is mean something!!

in add ,the % were really poor last meatings at atlanta for both teams,

the key of the game for me: the free throw: if atlanta arrive to have great % they could win otherwijse not!min is a "logical" team with really good % on free throw in the other side atlanta is "inconstant"
on this way min (h-2)@3.4 could be nice to play but i will not
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schmeto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
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#5
Posted: 10/8/2011 5:43:07 AM
i was not so far on the final score :-)
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