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[Tennis] Topic: Tips on betting tennis |
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TennisOZ |
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#26 Posted: 6/3/2012 1:08:59 AM Look for stuff that most people won't know, use player twitter pages, google etc. The market is usually fairly accurate,the only way to beat it is to have information that most punters do not have.
Assume you know less than everyone else and go from there.
Keep notes on players and tournaments. Anyone can look at results. Know what really happened behind the results. For example recent Madrid clay court tournament suited big hitting stand and deliver players. Simply knowing this helps you vet results better. |
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Mad_Skillz123 |
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#27 Posted: 6/11/2012 6:32:56 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Professional1:
Sick volley by Mahut to save bp.
great tip!!! 
j/k buddy 
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tips4bet |
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#28 Posted: 6/19/2012 9:40:41 AM
the Tips4bet team wants to offer to all of you an opportunity to win money while betting.
You might be interested in predictions at http://www.tips4bet.eu/en.
The goal of our site is to help those, who are making the betting stakes and are willing not only to keep their money, but also, using one of our strategies and forecasts gain profit from the sport events.
There you will find the history of sport events' predictions, statistics, you can order a newsletter with a FREE prediction.
You're welcome to join !!! ;) |
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omalleys |
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#29 Posted: 6/27/2012 10:36:06 PM |
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slamspurs |
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#30 Posted: 7/8/2012 10:28:01 AM I guarantee I make your article with my comment.
"Know the rules of your book"
Most books grade tennis wagers as "No Action" if a player retires during the match.
5 Dimes in particular, will grade tennis wagers if a set has been completed.
Some books say that all wagers have action. So be aware of the rules in case you are wagering on a match with someone who has been hampered by an injury or troubled with the flu.
As any casual fan can tell, the top 4 players own the ATP, so don't bet against Joker, Nadal, Fed, or even Murray prior to the semi's.
Non-Majors are a different story. Although you expect the same players to make the finals, it is more likely they will lose against a nobody due to the tour's ridiculous tournament requirements.
Don't panic when you bet on female tennis when your player gets broken. Break points are not as critical as in the males game due to varying factors. Your female player can easily get it back, compared to the men where there may be 1 break in 2 sets. |
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Invictus |
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#31 Posted: 7/11/2012 10:47:54 AM
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Hoyasaxa |
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#32 Posted: 8/4/2012 7:27:10 AM |
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TennisOZ |
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#33 Posted: 8/6/2012 7:53:35 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by TennisOZ:
Look for stuff that most people won't know, use player twitter pages, google etc. The market is usually fairly accurate,the only way to beat it is to have information that most punters do not have.
Assume you know less than everyone else and go from there.
Keep notes on players and tournaments. Anyone can look at results. Know what really happened behind the results. For example recent Madrid clay court tournament suited big hitting stand and deliver players. Simply knowing this helps you vet results better.
List of plyer twitter pages, some aren't particularly useful but some give some good insight. Even basic things like how lon ga player has been in the country can help you estimate a players motivation. This is something players tend to post about.
EG :"Just got to London and........"
If that is the say before they play you are thinking they don't care too much. If it a week before they play they are more likely to be taking the tourny there seriously. |
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TennisOZ |
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#34 Posted: 8/6/2012 7:55:45 PM List here:
http://advantagetennistips.com/home/node/47
Anderson and Tipsy are two active players for a start.
As an example, last year tipsy posted about his food poisoning before losing as favourite to Lopez. |
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sammy_ny |
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#35 Posted: 8/11/2012 10:50:29 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by TennisOZ: Look for stuff that most people won't know, use player twitter pages, google etc. The market is usually fairly accurate,the only way to beat it is to have information that most punters do not have.
Assume you know less than everyone else and go from there.
Keep notes on players and tournaments. Anyone can look at results. Know what really happened behind the results. For example recent Madrid clay court tournament suited big hitting stand and deliver players. Simply knowing this helps you vet results better.
You mean like night club spotting?  |
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Impalerwins |
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#36 Posted: 8/30/2012 9:19:33 AM
http://www.docsports.com/wimbledon-betting.html
Good luck!
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Impalerwins |
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#37 Posted: 8/30/2012 9:22:58 AM
http://www.matchstat.com/Compare/ |
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OwenSixteen |
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#38 Posted: 9/2/2012 1:27:11 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by packersbackers: Know who is a lefty, especially in the women's game,,,they are more often than not live dogs
Try and follow as many tennis players personal websites, blogs, and twitter accounts,,,these can be pure gold when you least expect it to be,,,especially if they tweet they are not feeling well from last nights sashimi
Can you please provide one instance in which this was applicable? |
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packersbackers |
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#39 Posted: 9/2/2012 1:34:45 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by OwenSixteen:
Can you please provide one instance in which this was applicable? |
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packersbackers |
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#40 Posted: 9/2/2012 1:35:36 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by OwenSixteen:
Can you please provide one instance in which this was applicable?
Laura Robson back to back wins vs clijsters and Li Na is a huge dog  |
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billyloco |
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#41 Posted: 9/6/2012 8:37:03 AM 
I watched her & Maria Wednesday and almost missed my dental appt!! |
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underdogs99 |
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#42 Posted: 9/19/2012 7:10:36 PM  |
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Anent |
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#43 Posted: 9/30/2012 5:30:27 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by AverageAllstar:
My one tip for you who think you can make money at tennis capping is this:
Learn to love the sport. People tend to do things well if they enjoy doing it . The more you like the sport, the more you'll get out of it, the more you'll understand it and the better your instincts will be in making your selections. There is a science and a statistics sheet to read but tennis isn't unlike capping any other sport. You make your picks with your head, but you bet on your gut.
Well said.
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italbeans88 |
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#44 Posted: 10/12/2012 12:01:31 AM |
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packersbackers |
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#45 Posted: 10/21/2012 12:34:02 PM |
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MSik |
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#46 Posted: 10/31/2012 8:11:27 PM For instance, I prefer online betting on tennis, mainly on games. It's not that difficult to predict the winner of each game, especially if players have a good serve's speed and accuracy. |
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joanna1979 |
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#47 Posted: 1/1/2013 9:37:27 PM |
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HermosaBch |
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#48 Posted: 1/8/2013 6:06:58 PM 
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Adastrauss |
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#49 Posted: 1/9/2013 9:04:09 AM
1. The lines in tournaments become sharper as the week progresses. Seems
obvious enough as linesmen will be able to gauge a player's form and
motivation as the week goes on and there are fewer players to focus on,
but I repeatedly see people upping their stakes in 'big' matches. If you
think about it logically, as the field shrinks, the weaker players are
usually gone which narrows the gap between two opponents. Why suddenly
up your stakes on a match when there's actually a better possibility of
either playing winning?
2. Line movement and beating the closing number doesn't carry the same
importance in tennis as it does in other sports. Lines are easily
manipulated by books to encourage steam and name chasers and because the
markets for smaller tournaments are considerably smaller than in a
Slam, it doesn't take a lot of money to move a line. Cap your match,
determine which player you think will win and assign a % chance of
winning and THEN check out the lines. If the price you can get implies a
higher chance of winning than your %, place the bet. It's a very simple
theory and it works yet people seem to get stuck on this time and time
again.
3. There are fixes in tennis and there probably always will be. There
are also reverse fixes where an individual or group is toying with the
lines in order to drive up the price on a dog as well as the market
manipulation by the books I mentioned earlier. This is just a fact of
tennis betting and the best advice I can give you is almost a repeat of
#2 - When you see lines start to plummet, DO NOT JUMP ON BOARD. If
you've placed your bet before the heavy movement started, you may want
to cash out if it's moved in your favour to guarantee yourself a profit
no matter how small and save yourself the grief. If the line has moved
against you quickly, I'd suggest just sticking with your original bet
and crossing your fingers that your player pulls it out. Many times
people have laid heavy chalk to jump off a bet that looks like a sure
loss only to see their original player win, costing them a lot of money
in the end.
4. Live betting is a great tool for tennis but it's also a dangerous
one. Tennis isn't like other sports where you can gradually see a
momentum shift to one team. There are times when a player tanks a set to
conserve energy for the next one. There are other times when a player
looks like they have the match won but goes on to lose because they've
used all of their energy to get that far and they start to commit
unforced errors or lose the ability to serve. Be very careful with live
betting, especially if you're trying to chase your losses on your
initial bet. And don't ever live bet if you're just looking at a
scoreboard. Stats and scorelines can be deceiving - they don't factor in
how a player is moving, if they look fatigued, if that medical timeout
was legit or was a stalling tactic or if a player is starting to become
unhinged mentally between points. You can't underestimate the value of
watching the match live.
5. You need to invest the time to learn about individual players and try
to determine their motivation for each tournament and even each match.
Go to the ATP website or even Wikipedia and learn about the point system
that's used to determine a player's ranking. Learn what a protected
ranking is and why it can be an important factor in a match. Google the
hell out of a player before you put money on them - you'll find the most
amazing things straight from a player's mouth on their own website, on
Twitter or Facebook, and in interviews that you need to Google Translate
from a foreign language (players seem to be more forthright when
talking to their home media). Are players double partners? Are they from
the same country? Do they need to protect points or is the tournament
somewhat meaningless other than possibly collecting a paycheck? These
are just a few of 100+ questions you could literally focus on if you
want to have your best shot at picking a winner. But even if you don't
find all the answers you need, you should still have a few more tools to
help you to determine how much, if any, you should consider risking on a
player in any given match.
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Vituperate |
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#50 Posted: 1/21/2013 11:01:22 PM
Thank you all for posting and providing valuable sites. Amazing thread...the best of the net.
I wish we would have these tips threads in all sports. |
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