2012 Opening Game Favorite

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 9 of 16 «  7 8 9 10 11   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 Opening Game Favorite
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#201
Posted: 4/29/2012 11:14:21 PM

Plays for 4/30

SEASON RECORD: 26-1                                +10.7U
AL: 11-1 (G1:7, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 15-0 (G1:10, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

*Ser #28 (G1) 7:00  bal @ NYY -165      9          95/3.16U

Ser #29 (G1) 7:00  kc @ DET -145       8.5        95/3.16U

*Ser #30 (G1) 7:00  oak @ BOS -165       9        95/3.16U 

Ser #31 (G1) 10:00  min @ LAA -236    7.5       95/3.16U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-50-75-80                                               15-25  
x-80-x                                                       15-15    
15-86-75                                                   15-19

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
SpOrTzFaN1 PM SpOrTzFaN1
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 353
 
SpOrTzFaN1
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#202
Posted: 4/30/2012 1:13:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Cincy didnt qualify...I played HOU last night instead.

Today

  • PHI (B)
  • TOR (B)



rizz i dont get how come cincy dident qualify when you posted it it was -150 i dont understatd please help do we do the ending line or opening line?
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 818
 
BigTenWatto
Participation Meter
Rookie
quote#203
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:01:20 AM
What about Phi today?
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2525
 
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#204
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:25:25 AM

Cincy actually went to 130 by game time...   thats why I thought they didnt qualify.

 

Rizz....    I have MIA (-160); PHI (-170); NYY(-170); DET (-150); ATL (-170); BOS (-165); LAA (-230) today???

Please confirm.

alekomtz PM alekomtz
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 1243
 
alekomtz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#205
Posted: 4/30/2012 10:00:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Cincy actually went to 130 by game time...   thats why I thought they didnt qualify.

 

Rizz....    I have MIA (-160); PHI (-170); NYY(-170); DET (-150); ATL (-170); BOS (-165); LAA (-230) today???

Please confirm.

 

Marlins series finishes today, so it is not a play.

Phillies finish their series today against the cubs.

Bos, NYY, LAA confirmed, and Det as well, but we have to look at the line.

BOL everyone

SoCal311 PM SoCal311
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 381
 
SoCal311
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#206
Posted: 4/30/2012 12:59:23 PM
I like BOS NYY LAA but Im not playing DET there playing like crap... Until they turn it around Im not playing them at all... If they win one of the games though good for the peeps that are playing them.... GL to all...
alekomtz PM alekomtz
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 1243
 
alekomtz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#207
Posted: 4/30/2012 5:35:30 PM
is tampa a playy??? it is -145 in my book now
Cool_Money PM Cool_Money
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 140
 
Cool_Money
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#208
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:45:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by alekomtz:

is tampa a playy??? it is -145 in my book now


I think the system is based on the opening line being -145 or more according to Covers.com line moves.
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#209
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:48:38 PM
TB is not a play.  opened at -117.  DET is borderline so play with caution.  I already pulled the trigger on it last night....
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#210
Posted: 4/30/2012 6:52:43 PM
Guys, I backtested this against a closing line of -150 or higher or an opening line at pinnacle of -145 or higher.  Due to my work schedule, I try to make my plays the night before because I can't watch the closing lines.  Covers only lists pinnacle odds the day of the game under My odds tab, so I can't always confirm them the night before.  DET today and Cincy in the last set were borderline plays but since I already played them I am keeping track of them.  If you have more of a regular schedule and can confirm the day of the game feel free to play it as I originally tested it, but just be cognizant that your lines will differ from mine.

therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#211
Posted: 4/30/2012 10:08:33 PM
Played -1 for LAA game.
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#212
Posted: 4/30/2012 10:28:37 PM
STL, CIN, SF will be G1 plays tomorrow to win 40/1.33U

If Bos or LAA go to B bets they will be to win 95/3.16U
SpOrTzFaN1 PM SpOrTzFaN1
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 353
 
SpOrTzFaN1
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#213
Posted: 5/1/2012 1:24:23 AM
what about DET rizz?
Air1 PM Air1
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 909
 
Air1
Participation Meter
Rookie
quote#214
Posted: 5/1/2012 1:57:55 AM
Det is only playing a 2 game series. So no play
robbypark PM robbypark
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 2128
 
robbypark
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#215
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:56:09 AM
Another money day for this season 
SoCal311 PM SoCal311
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 381
 
SoCal311
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#216
Posted: 5/1/2012 9:14:49 AM

Just to help out Rizz which seems he has a crazy work sched...

Plays for today which opened above -145 at home 3 series/more

SF-155     6o/u

StL-185    8o/u

Cin-155    7o/u

Your book might be different but this is what my local opened up at.... GL all lets get that

hehrsy PM hehrsy
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 24
 
hehrsy
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#217
Posted: 5/1/2012 4:21:07 PM
It is looking like CWS will be a play as well if their line stays the same.
cytdemasi08 PM cytdemasi08
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 105
 
cytdemasi08
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#218
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:14:28 PM
Was looks like a play too
Posted using a mobile device.
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#219
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:21:53 PM

Plays for 4/30

SEASON RECORD: 29-1                                +17.02U
AL: 14-1 (G1:10, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 15-0 (G1:10, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

*Ser #28 (G1) 7:00  bal @ NYY -165      9          95/3.16U

Ser #29 (G1) 7:00  kc @ DET -145       8.5        95/3.16U -PPD

*Ser #30 (G1) 7:00  oak @ BOS -165       9        95/3.16U 

Ser #31 (G1) 10:00  min @ LAA -236    7.5       95/3.16U /

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-30-x   +190                                       15-25  
x-80-x                                                       15-15    
15-86-75                                                   15-19

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#220
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:25:53 PM

Plays for 5/1

SEASON RECORD: 29-1                                +17.02U
AL: 14-1 (G1:10, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 15-0 (G1:10, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #31 (G1) 7:00  chc @ CIN -160   8        40/1.33U

Ser #32 (G1) 8:00  pit @ STL -170    7        40/1.33U

Ser #33 (G1) 10:00 mia @ SF -148   6         40/1.33U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-30-x   +190                                       15-25  
x-80-x                                                       15-15    
15-86-75                                                   15-19

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
SpOrTzFaN1 PM SpOrTzFaN1
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 353
 
SpOrTzFaN1
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#221
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:49:33 PM
since we puahed on laa do we chase them
still
Posted using a mobile device.
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#222
Posted: 5/1/2012 6:00:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SpOrTzFaN1:

since we puahed on laa do we chase them
still


I am just going to call it a push and not chase.  Good luck if you do.

Air1 PM Air1
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 909
 
Air1
Participation Meter
Rookie
quote#223
Posted: 5/1/2012 6:00:51 PM
hey rizz I see you have not bet to win more than 3.16 units yet. Would you bet to win more than that in the future?
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#224
Posted: 5/1/2012 6:14:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:

hey rizz I see you have not bet to win more than 3.16 units yet. Would you bet to win more than that in the future?


I think I had one play around 4U last week.  I am being a little less aggressive with the lines since it is early in the season.  I generally like to keep it under 5U or so per play because with the juice on a lot of these they can quite large wagers.

Just FYI if anyone is wondering about CHW or WAS as possible plays:  I skipped them due to the low opening line.  CWS would have qualified the way I used to play the system.


SpOrTzFaN1 PM SpOrTzFaN1
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 353
 
SpOrTzFaN1
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#225
Posted: 5/2/2012 2:19:32 AM
thanks rizz how many units on cincy tomorrow?
Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 9 of 16 «  7 8 9 10 11   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.