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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA RPI SYSTEM
riceman003 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
riceman003
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#1
Posted: 4/30/2012 2:14:10 AM
This system is fully inspired by bettor2win and i finished it with the help of DegenGamble. So fully credits to both of them and i cant thank degen enough for help me with this

The system focuses on moneyline play and spread play, however i will post over and under tho that has not thing to do with the system

i do not know how well this works since i cant back test it as i dont have previous RPI data for previous dates. this is not the official release and i am still tracking some stuff and tweaking a few equations here and there for Spread play.

i will post my picks daily, but right now idk how well this system is going to work for the playoffs especially with this stupid memphis game tonight.

here is the excel

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwMUkyaDZsbk1HT0E

and once again TY DEGENGAMBLE AND BETTOR2WIN

NOTE: this system does not guarantee anything in gambling

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#2
Posted: 4/30/2012 2:25:01 AM
4/30/2012 picks

Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
OKC -6 1/2 
Money line Miami

not playing indiana or heats

These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
OKC vs Dallas under 200
NY vs Miami over 184
Orlando vs Indiana Over 187

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#3
Posted: 4/30/2012 2:44:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by riceman003:

4/30/2012 picks

Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
OKC -6 1/2 
Money line Miami

not playing indiana or heats

These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
OKC vs Dallas under 200
NY vs Miami over 184
Orlando vs Indiana Over 187


if following caution filter
if following caution filter
Knicks +9 1/2
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#4
Posted: 4/30/2012 2:49:19 PM
Thanks for the props Riceman!!! BOL :)
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riceman003 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 5/1/2012 12:40:04 AM
Regular Filter

1-1

Caution Filter

1-2

Looks like theres alot of tweaking needed for the over unders so i wont post them anymore till probably next season

also i have updated the spread play calculations for a better spread plays if following the new calculations could of have been

Regular Filter 2-1
Caution filter 2-2

Tomorrows play will be:

Regular Filter:
Chicago -6.5

Caution Filter
Chicago -6.5
Atlanta -4

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#6
Posted: 5/9/2012 9:23:05 AM
This looks very impressive riceman, how is your record looking from this formula since your last post?
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#7
Posted: 5/9/2012 9:52:30 AM
Not sure how this work since they are totally different. In baseball: chase and money line. baseketball: single game and spread. 
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#8
Posted: 5/11/2012 2:39:15 AM
sorry i have been really busy with exams so i havent been betting. but for the sake of the system i was keeping up with the plays

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0Mwa2lEMzI1b05PQ0U

the link is the spread with out the update after the 5/10 game

the system would of went 1-1 today

Denver - Win
Celtics- Loss

ALSO i forgot to keep a file of the stats from everyday cause of exams but the second link is from 5/1 and if u used it to follow the play for 5/2 you would of went

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwZW9USXg1SWlfcDQ

1-0 following regular filter
Spurs - win
2-0 following caution filter
spurs - win
indiana - win


also the RPI isnt really working since RPI on espn isnt being updated anymore cause of play offs. so for now its just the spread play.

I will post the plays for 5/11 5/12 and 5/13 game tomorrow once my lines update
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#9
Posted: 5/11/2012 2:51:06 AM
Forgot to add

YTD

Regular Filter

2-2

Caution Filter

2-4

also ive realized the spread play becomes more accurate as more games are played so i think its good to skip maybe game 1 and 2 of every new round
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#10
Posted: 5/11/2012 2:13:48 PM
No plays today my thing says clippers will be giving point but the book says otherwise

Unofficial play:
ML Clippers +113

5/12 plays

Skipping the first few games of a new round

Unofficial: 
Nuggets + 7.5
Celtics -4

5/13

Skipping the first few games of a new round

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#11
Posted: 5/12/2012 1:44:35 AM
Official Play:
Regular Filter: 2-2
Caution Filter: 2-4

Unofficial Play
Parlay: 0-0
Straight bet: 0-1

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#12
Posted: 5/13/2012 12:30:47 PM
5/13 MOTHERS DAY

Official Play

Regular Filter:
 none
Caution filter:
clippers +7.5 -107 1U

Unofficial None


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#13
Posted: 5/13/2012 3:56:13 PM
WOOT clippers won
also went through my post i realized i counted unofficial play as an official

Official YTD

Regular Filter: 0-1 -1.00U
Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

Unofficial Plays:
ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
Spread Play: 0-3 -3.00U

5/14 Plays

None skipping the first 2 games of the new round

FOR TRACKING PURPOSES ONLY NOT PLAYING

Lakers +8.5
boston -3.5


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#14
Posted: 5/13/2012 4:05:15 PM
Forgot to add no plays till 5/16
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bettor2win
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#15
Posted: 5/13/2012 4:22:48 PM
Hot Dam! Riceman! I love the fact you are creating this. I hope this turns out to be something great!!!! I just noticed the thread today. Good luck and start a thread when the new season starts so we can all follow along. Thanks for the props brotha!
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#16
Posted: 5/13/2012 4:54:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

Hot Dam! Riceman! I love the fact you are creating this. I hope this turns out to be something great!!!! I just noticed the thread today. Good luck and start a thread when the new season starts so we can all follow along. Thanks for the props brotha!

THX. i never intended for this to be used for playoffs but since its going on i thought it wouldnt hurt to track and tweak it for the next play offs, and i definitely will start a new thread during the new season. though it seems like urs the rpi and spread play gets more and more accurate as more games are played. so i prob wont post any official plays till each team has 10 games each. 
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bettor2win
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#17
Posted: 5/13/2012 4:59:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by riceman003:


THX. i never intended for this to be used for playoffs but since its going on i thought it wouldnt hurt to track and tweak it for the next play offs, and i definitely will start a new thread during the new season. though it seems like urs the rpi and spread play gets more and more accurate as more games are played. so i prob wont post any official plays till each team has 10 games each. 

Strong work. Tweak it till it breaks! And like a man, put some Duct tape on it. 

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#18
Posted: 5/17/2012 5:16:26 AM
sorry i didnt post the play for 5/16 was really busy and forgot.

Plays for 5/17 heats -1 1/2
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#19
Posted: 5/18/2012 2:40:01 PM
Official YTD

Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

Unofficial Plays:
ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
Spread Play: 0-3 -3.00U

5/18

Unofficial plays

OKC +2.5
Celtics +2
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#20
Posted: 5/29/2012 3:23:11 PM
Official YTD

Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

Unofficial Plays:
ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
Spread Play: 0-5 -5.00U

since my last post okc and celtics both lost. stupid on my part for not following my own filters in the game

anyways ive been on vacation and tracking the plays it seems the spread play is alot more strict during playoffs if following the system. Meaning if the system says the team will be giving 4 points it will generally only give 4 points or they will blow them out of the water.

So today we have spurs at -5.5 when it opened and now its down to 4.5. system says they will only win by 4 points.

For tracking purposes and i will be placing a bet on this i am going to buy points and take 

spurs at -3.5 for -135

why dont i just bet against the system and take okc at +4.5? like i said before they its likely that spurs will win the game by more than 4.5 and blow them out of the water
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#21
Posted: 5/30/2012 6:21:10 AM
Go Spurs!

Official YTD

Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

Unofficial Plays:
ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
Spread Play: 0-5 -4.26U

5/30/2012 Plays

Once again for tracking purposes

Unofficial:

Spread should be played at -7.5 but if factoring only the playoffs then the spread should be at -4.5

imma buy the points to -4.5 at -230 to test the system 

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#22
Posted: 5/30/2012 6:52:58 AM
Nice work I am following it. 
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#23
Posted: 5/31/2012 4:37:10 AM
Man such a close game if Wade just made that 2nd free throw at the end 

Official YTD

Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

Unofficial Plays:
ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
Spread Play: 0-6 -5.26U


No plays tomorrow
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#24
Posted: 6/2/2012 5:24:43 PM
Todays play is

OKC -3.5
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#25
Posted: 6/3/2012 1:41:06 PM
No plays today
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