MLB picks using Monte Carlo simulation

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: MLB picks using Monte Carlo simulation
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#351
Posted: 5/30/2012 10:46:11 AM
A's 104 (3x)
Orioles 124 (3x)
Cubs -130 (2x)
Reds -126 (5x)
Cardinals 107 (3x)
Nationals 147 (3x)
Phillies -142 (2x)
Diamondbacks 106 (1x)
Brewers 149 (1x)
StGermain808 PM StGermain808
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quote#352
Posted: 5/30/2012 12:36:43 PM
You'll bounce back
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#353
Posted: 5/31/2012 12:25:32 PM
4-5 -11.75, +9.51 overall, big swing but they happen.

Astros -101 (3x)
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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quote#354
Posted: 5/31/2012 12:49:15 PM
Thanks Pramsey!
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#355
Posted: 6/1/2012 8:32:11 AM
0-1 -3.03 units, +6.48 overall

Dodgers 106 (6x)
Diamondbacks -119 (5x)
Rangers -116 (4x)
White Sox -136 (2x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#356
Posted: 6/2/2012 1:16:26 AM
1-3 -14.39, -8.09 overall.  I blame no one for opting out.  Again, I am positive of 100 unit return by season end.  Even if you decide to stop making plays, follow this post so that you will be on the right side of it next season.
alangrrbs PM alangrrbs
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quote#357
Posted: 6/2/2012 10:07:47 AM
I'll stick with you.  Just a run of bad luck...really really really bad luck, but you were on a good run before this...hopefully it comes back around.
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#358
Posted: 6/2/2012 10:15:39 AM
Red Sox -105 (3x)
A's 118 (3x)
Yankees -106 (2x)
Rangers 101 (1x)
Nationals -125 (7x)
Cardinals -109 (5x)
Dodgers 130 (4x)
Diamondbacks 103 (4x)

alangrrbs PM alangrrbs
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quote#359
Posted: 6/2/2012 12:47:30 PM
I've had a bit of good luck today ramsey...I think today is gonna be good.
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#360
Posted: 6/3/2012 10:51:05 AM
5-3 +14.29, +8.20 overall

Red Sox 112 (2x)
A's 111 (1x)
Rangers -104 (2x)
Marlins -107 (2x)
Pirates -102 (1x)
Dodgers 111 (2x)
Padres 112 (1x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#361
Posted: 6/4/2012 12:01:47 PM
3-4 -1 unit, +7.2 overall

Twins 133 (1x)
Angels -137 (1x)
Rangers -121 (4x)
Cubs 122 (1x)
Dodgers -116 (3x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#362
Posted: 6/5/2012 12:06:30 AM
looking like a small loser.

Here are plays for tomorrow

Giants -107 (4x)
Pirates 133 (2x)
Dodgers 162 (3x)
Mets 138 (2x)
Rays 116 (3x)
Blue Jays -105 (2x)
Twins 125 (3x)



CappyMcCappersn PM CappyMcCappersn
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quote#363
Posted: 6/5/2012 1:54:24 AM
Would you mind maybe posting your running YTD record?  I have no idea if your system is winning or not. It would just be nice to know how well you have done since the beginning using this system. Thanks 
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#364
Posted: 6/5/2012 11:02:30 AM
2-3 -2.88, +4.32 overall

Giants -107 (4x)
Pirates 133 (2x)
Dodgers 162 (3x)
Mets 138 (2x)
Rays 116 (3x)
Blue Jays -105 (2x)
Twins 125 (3x)

Todays picks from last night
alangrrbs PM alangrrbs
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quote#365
Posted: 6/5/2012 11:18:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CappyMcCappersn:

Would you mind maybe posting your running YTD record?  I have no idea if your system is winning or not. It would just be nice to know how well you have done since the beginning using this system. Thanks 


This is from an outsider's perspective...his units are correct.  A week ago his system was up 27 units...hit a rough spot with some bad luck, and the units dropped down.  However, the system has already started to come back around.  One thing about his system I've noticed is that it's essential you have smart money management.  His system is open to big losses at once, but also big wins all at once.  Just follow basic money management (1 unit = 1% of your bank roll).  I'll continue following the picks the rest of the year...through the bad and the good streaks.
StGermain808 PM StGermain808
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quote#366
Posted: 6/5/2012 5:51:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CappyMcCappersn:

Would you mind maybe posting your running YTD record?  I have no idea if your system is winning or not. It would just be nice to know how well you have done since the beginning using this system. Thanks 

Go back through the thread
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#367
Posted: 6/6/2012 1:28:52 AM
3-4 -2.76 units, +1.56 units overall

Rays 136 (4x)
Blue Jays -118 (3x)
Rangers -149 (2x)
Giants -122 (3x)
Dodgers 106 (2x)
Cardinals -139 (3x)

Inevitably, I hate when this many favorites are on the list because some idiot will tell me to many favorites.  I don't make the pics a computer program does.  
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#368
Posted: 6/7/2012 10:50:21 AM
4-2 +4.08, +5.64 units overasll

Rangers -150 (3x)
Rays 133 (2x)
Dodgers 173 (2x)
Giants -137 (3x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#369
Posted: 6/8/2012 10:52:35 AM
3-1 +4.62, +10.26 overall

Mets 135 (2x)
Phillies 122 (2x)
Nationals 100 (3x)
Rays 106 (3x)
Giants 135 (1x)
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#370
Posted: 6/9/2012 12:30:33 AM
Gonna call the giants dead

3-2 +5.62 units, +15.88 units overall

There are a couple of picks that may be added tomorrow but here is tomorrows card so far.

Cubs 108 (2x)
Blue Jays 136 (2x)
Tigers -143 (2x)
Dodgers -133 (5x)
Rays 118 (2x)
A's 132 (1x)
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#371
Posted: 6/9/2012 12:27:55 PM
Adding Phillies -107 (3x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#372
Posted: 6/10/2012 12:19:05 AM
I know its to late to play but took bradley +325 today for 2 units for fun
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#373
Posted: 6/10/2012 1:25:44 AM
3-4 +1.15, +17.03 overall

Blue Jays -105 (3x)
Phillies -134 (3x)
Dodgers -105 (2x)
Tigers 122 (2x)
Nationals 130 (2x)
Rays 114 (2x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#374
Posted: 6/11/2012 11:07:14 AM
5-1 +8.29, +25.32 overall

Nationals 149 (2x)
Red Sox 100 (4x)
Yankees -109 (2x)
Dodgers -107 (1x)
JDubs800 PM JDubs800
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quote#375
Posted: 6/11/2012 11:20:46 AM
Awesome thread, this is pretty cool. What/how does the computer decide what teams to play and for how many units? Is it a baseball simulation like a video game that plays the game and gives an outcome with the starting pitchers playing? Just wondering.
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