MLB picks using Monte Carlo simulation

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: MLB picks using Monte Carlo simulation
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#476
Posted: 8/7/2012 10:33:56 AM
-2.31, -18.21

Rangers 105 (7x)
Angels -139 (7x)
Reds -107 (3x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#477
Posted: 8/8/2012 11:35:30 AM
-5.59, -23.80

Angels -133 (7x)
Braves -139 (3x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#478
Posted: 8/9/2012 11:48:24 AM
-6.31, -30.11

Giants 126 (5x)
Red Sox -126 (5x)
Reds -147 (7x)
Diamondbacks 119 (4x)
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#479
Posted: 8/10/2012 1:06:44 PM
-11.88, -41.99

Wow I would start fading me too.  System has never been down this far but I am trudging forward

Orioles -115 (5x)
Red Sox -154 (7x)
Yankees -140 (4x)
Rays -105 (7x)
Nationals -118 (7x)
Dodgers -154 (4x)
Pirates -137 (2x)

.
Top-Shelf PM Top-Shelf
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quote#480
Posted: 8/10/2012 2:01:39 PM
As a great degenerate once said, "Sometimes the system needs to reset itself"  BOL!!
ZonaCats PM ZonaCats
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quote#481
Posted: 8/11/2012 12:46:16 AM
looks like 30+ units tonight. got a big chunk back. 
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#482
Posted: 8/11/2012 12:47:36 AM
+31.26, -10.73 overall
big night there
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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quote#483
Posted: 8/11/2012 2:15:28 AM
Good going Pram!
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#484
Posted: 8/11/2012 12:12:28 PM
Red Sox -130 (2x)
Athletics 135 (2x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#485
Posted: 8/12/2012 10:53:13 AM
+0.1, -10.63 overall

Red Sox -148 (4x)
White Sox -150 (3x)
Braves -109 (3x)
Nationals 118 (3x)
Cardinals -114 (2x)
Dodgers -126 (2x)
TheBuddah PM TheBuddah
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quote#486
Posted: 8/12/2012 1:18:29 PM
I love the data and the analysis - thank you.   I'm with ya on the cardinals and white sox.  I agree with ya that on paper - redsox, dodgers, and  nationals should win.  Not so sure about the braves.  I'll ask and will understand if you don't want to answer - In your system - how much credit do you give hitters?
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#487
Posted: 8/13/2012 10:45:20 AM
+.45, -10.18

Rangers 100 (3x)
White Sox -121 (3x)
Tigers -138 (5x)
Rays -136 (3x)
Nationals 106 (2x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#488
Posted: 8/14/2012 10:21:36 AM
-8.39, -18.57

Red Sox 100 (3x)
White Sox -121 (3x)
Tigers -159 (7x)
A's -113 (3x)
Angels -187 (5x)
Rays -160 (4x)
Braves -163 (3x)
Diamondbacks 101 (3x)
Breweres -117 (2x)

PHIphillies PM PHIphillies
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quote#489
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:31:45 PM
Like it all...but dont like Red Sox play
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#490
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:08:39 AM
-0.13, -18.7

Tigers -151 (3x)
Rays 114 (3x)
A's -120 (3x)
Mets -115 (2x)
Dodgers -137 (4x)
Nationals -120 (5x)
Phillies -130 (2x)
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#491
Posted: 8/16/2012 11:28:03 AM
+6.92, -11.78

Rays -116 (3x)
Phillies -118 (5x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#492
Posted: 8/17/2012 11:30:06 AM
-2.42, -14.20 

White Sox -150 (7x)
Phillies 142 (3x)


cashcow__360 PM cashcow__360
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quote#493
Posted: 8/17/2012 2:43:42 PM
so im guessing you love the whitesox here with Sale on the mound. the only thing that sort of scares me is KC's play as of late particularly the month of August. They been playing some really tough games and coming put with some W's in unforeseen fashion. they are batting .287 of sale in about a 100ABs....3 hrs 22ks 7rbis 6 bb 31 hits 
cashcow__360 PM cashcow__360
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quote#494
Posted: 8/17/2012 3:11:17 PM
nothing to scary considering sale is a friggin BEAST !!! 
hope this is not one of those games where vegas is going to steal our cash.... 
i read somewhere that during august in mlb over the past season, the high juice favs are hitting at a pretty good rate, 60% or so (cant remember the exact stat tho)

im liking det chw zona and laa 
what are your thoughts on those bro !!!
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#495
Posted: 8/18/2012 11:18:00 AM
-13.50, -27.70

Giants -105 (7x)
Rangers -130 (7x)
White Sox -145 (7x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#496
Posted: 8/19/2012 11:51:30 AM
+3.85, -23.85

White Sox -105 (7x)
Giants -125 (7x)
Marlins -136 (7x)

pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#497
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:48:00 AM
-25.62, -49.47

We are approaching a stop.  I have gained 100 units on average per year.  I will not lose more than 50 in one year.  This is to prevent a new trend from fully bankrupting the process.  A losing day today of a little over 0.5 units triggers a stop for the year.

Rangers -167 (7x)
Reds 135 (5x)
Pirates -101 (5x)
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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quote#498
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:56:08 AM
Wait for football, only couple weeks away now.  Just biding my time playing for fun now just to entertain myself.  
pramsey1843 PM pramsey1843
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quote#499
Posted: 8/21/2012 9:12:58 AM
-3.03, -52.50

Something changed the trends this season.  I will do offseason analysis and see what we can do.
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