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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Neilsy's MLB 33 System |
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neilsy25 |
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#51 Posted: 4/22/2012 10:44:26 PM Sunday results +13.51 units
YTD : +8.42 units
Monday Plays
Philly (Arizona lose) +106 3.79u to win 4.02u
Atlanta/Dodgers - offsetting, no play
Toronto (KC lose) -101 1.34u to win 1.33u
Toronto -101 1.34u to win 1.33u
White Sox -106 5.98u to win 5.64u
Twins (R. Sox lose) +138 1u to win 1.38u
San Fran to win 4.97 - waiting for line gm 1
San Fran (Mets lose) to win 4.59 - waiting for line gm1
Yankees to win 2.71 - waiting for line
* If the Mets win game 1, there will be a play on San fran game 2

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Snappa |
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#52 Posted: 4/22/2012 10:46:45 PM Good job, Neilsy!

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neilsy25 |
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#53 Posted: 4/23/2012 10:51:13 AM upated lines
San Fran -153 7.6u to win 4.97u
San Fran (Mets lose) -153 6.98u to win 4.59u
Yankees +101 2.68u to win 2.71u

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neilsy25 |
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#54 Posted: 4/23/2012 2:21:40 PM just got tickets to the SENATORS game tonite, so if the Mets should win game 1.. the play for game 2 will be TO WIN the same amounts as game 1 ..the extra losses from game 1 i will spread over other teams lines...hopefully it wont come to that..
GO SENS GO !!!!!! |
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neilsy25 |
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#55 Posted: 4/24/2012 5:55:27 AM Monday results +15.78 units
YTD : +24.20 units
Tuesday Plays
Philly (Zona lose) -113 6.57u to win 5.81u
Minnesota (Bos lose) +145 1u to win 1.45u
Cleveland -130 3.46u to win 2.66u
Cleveland (KC lose) -130 1.73u to win 1.33u
Miami -110 4.4u to win 4u
Washington (SD lose) -115 9.07u to win 7.89u
Detroit (Sea lose) -181 2.41u to win 1.33u
Toronto -113 1.5u to win 1.33u
Yankees +132 1.01u to win 1.33u
Atlanta -114 6.84u to win 6u
W. Sox -102 1.36u to win 1.33u

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jayray2324 |
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#56 Posted: 4/24/2012 10:41:24 AM Minnesota has lost 3 in a row, so boost souls be a play also, both teams struggling, gonna hold off tonight and just pick up play tomorrow |
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neilsy25 |
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#57 Posted: 4/24/2012 11:05:18 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by jayray2324:
Minnesota has lost 3 in a row, so boost souls be a play also, both teams struggling, gonna hold off tonight and just pick up play tomorrow
yup, but Minny Lose is to win 1.33u, Boston lose is to win 2.33u . hence the actual bet is on boston to L for 1u ..but my lines for each team will be updated as if both were bet independently..
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neilsy25 |
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#58 Posted: 4/25/2012 6:08:26 AM Tuesday results +9.35 units
YTD : +36.21 units
wednesday Plays
Minny (Bos lose) +112 2.97u to win 3.33u
Mets (Miami lose) +106 6.04u to win 6.4u
Arizona (Philly lose) -105 2.1u to win 2u
Detroit (Sea lose) -105 3.93u to win 3.74u
Tampa Bay -101 1.34u to win 1.33u
Jays +101 2.8u to win 2.83u
Washington -130 3.03u to win 2.33u
W. Sox -125 3.36u to win 2.69u
Yankees +118 1.98u to win 2.34u
Cleveland (KC lose) tw 2.33u - waiting for line

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neilsy25 |
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#59 Posted: 4/25/2012 12:21:22 PM Line update
Cleveland -141 3.29u to win 2.33u

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neilsy25 |
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#60 Posted: 4/25/2012 11:51:45 PM Wednesday results -8.4 units
YTD : +27.81 units
Thursday Plays
Tampa Bay -161 2.14u to win 1.33u
Tampa Bay (Angels lose) -161 3.82u to win 2.37u
Baltimore +101 1.33u to win 1.34u
Cincy -130 3.03u to win 2.33u
Detroit (sea lose) -187 5.54u to win 2.96u
Cleveland (KC lose) -142 7.98u to win 5.62u
Washington -102 2.38u to win 2.33u

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neilsy25 |
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#61 Posted: 4/27/2012 6:01:07 AM Thursday results -13.89 units
YTD : +13.92 units
Friday Plays
Cleveland (Angels lose) +122 1.09u to win 1.33u
Baltimore -121 1.61u to win 1.33u
Boston -110 3.66u to win 3.33 u
Boston (W.Sox lose) -110 6.62u to win 6.02u
Cincy -146 7.83u to win 5.36u
Yankees +117 2.83u to win 3.31u
Yankees (Det lose) +117 1.14u to win 1.33u
Minny (KC lose) 11.14u to win 8.98u
Mets +153 1u to win 1.53u
Zona (Miami lose) +124 1.61u to win 2u
Cubs (philly lose) +242 1.69u to win 4.10u
Seattle +194 3.54u to win 6.87u
Seattle (Jays lose) +194 2.8u to win 5.43u
Tampa Bay +123 1.08u to win 1.33u
Washington +189 2.49u to win 4.71u
 
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neilsy25 |
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#62 Posted: 4/28/2012 9:43:02 AM Friday results +10.99 units
YTD : +24.91 units
Saturday Plays
Cleveland (Angels lose) +124 1.88u to win 2.33u
Atlanta -141 4.43u to win 3.14u
Oakland +124 2.11u to win 2.62u
Boston +100 2.33u to win 2.33u
Boston (W.sox lose) +100 4.72u to win 4.72u
Cincy -185 15.10u to win 8.16u
Yankees (Det lose) -119 3.96u to win 3.33u
Kansas City -119 11.88u to win 9.98u
KC (Minny lose) -119 1.58u to win 1.33u
Mets to win 2.33u - waiting for line
Arizona (Miami lose) +110 2.12u to win 2.33u
Seattle +162 3.91u to win 6.34u
Seattle (Tor lose) +162 2.65u to win 4.3u
Tampa Bay +149 1.56u to win 2.33u
Washington -115 5.54u to win 4.82u
 
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neilsy25 |
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#63 Posted: 4/28/2012 11:48:35 AM line update Mets + 128 1.82u to win 2.33u

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neilsy25 |
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#64 Posted: 4/29/2012 1:51:49 AM Friday results -10.62 units
YTD : +14.29 units
Sunday Plays
Cleveland (Angels lose) -110 4.63u to win 4.21u
Atlanta -170 12.87u to win 7.57u
Boston -123 1.64u to win 1.33u
Boston (W.sox lose) -123 1.64u to win 1.33u
Yankees (Det lose) -176 12.83u to win 7.29u
Arizona (Mia loae) +162 2.75u to win 4.45u
St. Louis -116 1.54u to win 1.33u
St. Louis (Mil lose) -116 6.5u to win 5.6u
Oakland +103 11.05u to win 11.38u
Seattle +135 4.68u to win 6.32u
Seattle (Tor lose) +135 5.83u to win 7.87u
Tampa +116 3.33u to win 3.89u
Dodgers (Wash lose) +102 7.72u to win 7.87u
KC -114 11.38u to win 9.98u
KC (Min lose) 1.52u to win 1.33u

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neilsy25 |
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#65 Posted: 4/29/2012 11:27:49 PM Sunday results -10.5 units
YTD : +3.79 units 
Monday Plays
Oakland +150 7.93u to won 11.9u
Dodgers +130 1.28u to win 1.67u
KC +136 9.82u to win 13.36u
San Diego (Mil lose) -113 10.59u to win 9.37u
Angels (Minny lose) -236 6.73u to win 2.85u
Seattle +114 6.22u to win 7.09u
Texas (Tor lose) -145 10.63u to win 7.33u

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neilsy25 |
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#66 Posted: 5/1/2012 6:08:08 AM Monday results -15.84 units
YTD : -12.05 units
not sure if this system is crashing and burning .will stick to it a bit longer and find out...
Tuesday Plays
Boston -1.66 6.09u to won 3.67u
Boston (Oak lose) -166 18.04u to win 10.83u
Dodgers +106 4.67u to win 4.95u
Tampa Bay (Sea lose) -200 18.62u to win 9.31u
St.Louis -180 6.97u to win 3.87u
Zona (wash lose) +130 4.52u to win 5.87u
Cleveland (w.sox lose) +119 4.18u to win 4.97u
San Diego (Mil lose) +105 9.87u towin 10.36u
KC to win 13.36u ..waiting for line

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jayray2324 |
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#67 Posted: 5/1/2012 1:52:33 PM Boston lost on the 29th, they should only be a play for oak to lose. As far as the system goes, I have been having some success with it, but I haven't been playing every game, I an using it in conjunction with other systems (Cisco 5 run and dog chase, and now with the rpi system) to come up with plays, I think we should have some filters, especially a bad team filter, for example kc vs. Detroit, I have a hard time taking kc against anyone. I have also been holding off on games where both teams are plays and wait until one of the lines clear, just some thoughts |
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jayray2324 |
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#68 Posted: 5/1/2012 2:00:28 PM Another example, tonight you have Washington as a play to lose, but if you go back, they are technically a 5th game bet to win in this system, and they are a second game to win in Cisco's 5 run system and a 3rd game to win in his dog chase system. Obviously, in gambling, anything can happen in that game tonight, but according to what some good systems say, Washington is a good bet. Just some things to mull over. |
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neilsy25 |
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#69 Posted: 5/2/2012 11:50:51 AM Monday results +3.35 units
YTD : -8.70 units
Wednesday Plays
Kansas City +255 5.45u to win 13.9u
Boston (Oak lose) -160 21.31u to win 13.32u
Milwuakee (SD lose) -145 7.11u to win 4.9u
Tampa (Sea lose) -208 23.8u to win 11.84u
Tampa -208 9.63u to win 4.79u
Zona +114 4.2u to win 4.79u
Zona (Wash lose) +114 3.22u to win 3.67u
Cleveland (W.sox lose) +114 9.32u to win 10.51u

I hear ya Jayray, about betting bad teams.. i cringed betting KC against Verlander today... lol ..thing is, I have to play it the way i backtested it.. In the the end when I backtested, all the lines eventually clear, what I may have underestimated is the number of units required to make this happen, I thought 150 would be more then enough.. not so sure now, may be closer to 200 or 250.. any more thne 250 max, then to me, the system isnt feasible..we will see.
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neilsy25 |
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#70 Posted: 5/3/2012 6:28:22 AM Wednesday results +5.20 units
YTD : -3.50 units
Thursday Plays
Angels +121 2.21u to win 2.67u
Arizona -108 9.6u to win 8.89u
Arizona (Wash lose) 7.44u to win 6.89u
Tampa Bay -187 5.03u to win 2.69u
Tampa Bay (Sea lose) -187 5.03u to win 2.69u

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neilsy25 |
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#71 Posted: 5/4/2012 9:34:41 AM Thursday Results -13.87 units
YTD : -17.37 units
one step forward and two steps back....
Friday Plays
Arizona -108 15.43u to win 14.29u
Arizona (Mets lose) -108 2.67u to win 2.88u
Houston +132 2.02u to win 2.67u
Miami -118 3.15u to win 2.67u
Miami (SD lose) -118 14.54u to win 12.32u
Tampa (Oak lose) -185 24.73u to win 13.37u
Tampa -185 4.98u to win 2.69u
Milwuakee (SF lose) 2.52u to win 2.67u
Philly (wash lose) +167 6.59u to win 11.01u
Jays +113 2.17u to win 2.45u

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neilsy25 |
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#72 Posted: 5/5/2012 9:20:08 AM Thursday Results + 49.42 units 
YTD : +32.05 units
system starting to roll finally ! (hopefully)
Saturday Plays
Angels -162 12.51u to win 7.72u
Baltimore +107 2.5u to win 2.67u
Baltimore (Bos lose) +107 5.3u to win 5.67u
Houston +138 1.94u to win 2.67u
Houston +138 1.94u to win 2.67u
Zona (Mets lose ) +136 1.96u to win 2.67u
Miami (SD lose) -115 3.07u to win 2.67u
Seattle (Minny lose) -204 5.45u to win 2.67u
Milwuakee (SF lose) +146 1.83u to win 2.67u
Tampa Bay (Oak lose) -155 4.17u to win 2.69u
Cleveland (Tex lose) +136 1.98u to win 2.69u
Washington -126 12.93u to win 10.26u

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neilsy25 |
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#73 Posted: 5/6/2012 3:19:44 AM Friday Results + 28.56 units 
YTD : +60.61 units
Sunday Plays
Boston (oak lose) -144 3.87u tw 2.67u
Houston +138 1.93u towin 2.67u
Houston (SF lose) +138 1.93u to win 2.67u
Miami -121 3.23u to won 2.67u
Milwuake (sf lose) +132 3.39u to win 4.47u
Minny (Sea lose) 2.28u to win 2.69u
Cleveland (texas lose) +151 3.o9u towin 4.67u
Jays +121 3.59u to win 4.34u
Washington -114 13.29 to win 11.66

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BookieCrusher88 |
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#74 Posted: 5/6/2012 12:35:59 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by neilsy25: Friday Results + 28.56 units 
YTD : +60.61 units
Sunday Plays
Boston (oak lose) -144 3.87u tw 2.67u
Houston +138 1.93u towin 2.67u
Houston (SF lose) +138 1.93u to win 2.67u
Miami -121 3.23u to won 2.67u
Milwuake (sf lose) +132 3.39u to win 4.47u
Minny (Sea lose) 2.28u to win 2.69u
Cleveland (texas lose) +151 3.o9u towin 4.67u
Jays +121 3.59u to win 4.34u
Washington -114 13.29 to win 11.66

neilsy, just one quick question. Sorry for being lazy to back read the rules. When you say Houston +138 and Houston (SF lose) +138, what does that mean? Does that mean you placed a bet on Houston ML twice? I just don't understand the (lose) thing. Hope you can clear that up. Thanks
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neilsy25 |
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#75 Posted: 5/6/2012 8:28:36 PM Hi Bookie
Basically what it means is that i am playing Houston , because they have won 3 in row.. but i am also playing against San Fran, because they have lost 3 in a row.. so essentially, yes i am betting Houston twice..
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