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Author: [Politics] Topic: Vitriol Free political odds discussion
dl36
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dl36
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#126
Posted: 12/15/2012 6:11:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:

Here are some current prices that seem to have a lot of value.

Romney to win the presidency +400
(That's akin to getting him at E to win the nomination and then +150 to defeat obama) That is tremendous value.

Newt to win +650 (That's down from 33/1 last week)

If you stagger Newt and Mitt appropriately, that computes to +200 on the pair, which sounds amazing.

Alternately obama is available at constructed +150 odds on the electoral count at one of my books.

Taking obama +150 & Mitt/Newt +200 is a pretty nice hedge.

THE QUESTION IS: What is the chance that neither M/N get the nomination? The most obvious way is that RS or RP win the nomination.......but that isn't happening. Secondarily and probably more likely is that it gets so heated between M/N that neither has enough delegates and they nominate someone else.

I know the likelihood of that is low, but how exactly does that work?

explain your swiss cheese roulette/partial hedge for -274 odda
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#127
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:21:50 AM
This clown continues to get all knotted up over an easy winner.
Where in this entire thread do I state what bet I made? Do I need a restraining order against this tool? He's a stalker and displays ghey impulse repeatedly plus he acknowledges 'circle jerk' behavior with his imaginary friends at the mental hospital and man love for someone he adoringly calls Slim.


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dl36
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#128
Posted: 12/15/2012 4:50:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:



+150 my friend, I wouldn't touch -150. That isn't to win outright, that's to win with less than 329 delegates and integrates three distinct pricing levels (+400, +700, +1400) which is +155.

so what was the final count?

the fact that you have to be so insulting to  me on your own vitriol free thread says it all...
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#129
Posted: 12/15/2012 5:30:10 PM
No. The thread was initially vitriol free until you became a hemorrhoid. Your highlighted text is a real comment on your dogged stupidity but fails to confirm the bet I made.

Point
Game
Set
Match

The California Kid
On the DL                          
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dl36
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dl36
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#130
Posted: 12/15/2012 7:31:08 PM
QUOTE
Originally Posted by Renton:

Well the vitriol free part didn't last long.  


[Quote: Originally Posted by Renton]


Yeah I was pointing to post # 27 when I made that comment.

Hats off though... you guys kept it clean for a full page, that's unprecedented.


he lost his marbles on his own vitriol free thread



anything to detract from the bet he lost and is now trying claim he won
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