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Author: [Politics] Topic: Vitriol Free political odds discussion
dl36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetJamaica.com |
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#126
Posted: 12/15/2012 6:11:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:

Here are some current prices that seem to have a lot of value.

Romney to win the presidency +400
(That's akin to getting him at E to win the nomination and then +150 to defeat obama) That is tremendous value.

Newt to win +650 (That's down from 33/1 last week)

If you stagger Newt and Mitt appropriately, that computes to +200 on the pair, which sounds amazing.

Alternately obama is available at constructed +150 odds on the electoral count at one of my books.

Taking obama +150 & Mitt/Newt +200 is a pretty nice hedge.

THE QUESTION IS: What is the chance that neither M/N get the nomination? The most obvious way is that RS or RP win the nomination.......but that isn't happening. Secondarily and probably more likely is that it gets so heated between M/N that neither has enough delegates and they nominate someone else.

I know the likelihood of that is low, but how exactly does that work?

explain your swiss cheese roulette/partial hedge for -274 odda
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#127
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:21:50 AM
This clown continues to get all knotted up over an easy winner.
Where in this entire thread do I state what bet I made? Do I need a restraining order against this tool? He's a stalker and displays ghey impulse repeatedly plus he acknowledges 'circle jerk' behavior with his imaginary friends at the mental hospital and man love for someone he adoringly calls Slim.


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#128
Posted: 12/15/2012 4:50:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:



+150 my friend, I wouldn't touch -150.
That isn't to win outright, that's to win with less than 329 delegates and integrates three distinct pricing levels (+400, +700, +1400) which is +155.

so what was the final count?

the fact that you have to be so insulting to  me on your own vitriol free thread says it all...

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#129
Posted: 12/15/2012 5:30:10 PM
No. The thread was initially vitriol free until you became a hemorrhoid. Your highlighted text is a real comment on your dogged stupidity but fails to confirm the bet I made.

Point
Game
Set
Match

The California Kid
On the DL                          
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dl36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetJamaica.com |
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#130
Posted: 12/15/2012 7:31:08 PM
QUOTE
Originally Posted by Renton:

Well the vitriol free part didn't last long.  


[Quote: Originally Posted by Renton]


Yeah I was pointing to post # 27 when I made that comment.

Hats off though... you guys kept it clean for a full page, that's unprecedented.


he lost his marbles on his own vitriol free thread



anything to detract from the bet he lost and is now trying claim he won

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#131
Posted: 11/28/2013 5:14:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:

Title of the thread : Vitriol Free political odds discussion
 





any more bets which sound amazing?
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#132
Posted: 11/28/2013 9:39:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:



any more bets which sound amazing?


If you could have only waited 17 more days to bump this thread, to attack the op .. it would be exactly one year old ..
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