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[Streak Survivor] Topic: True Odds for Przes |
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ovrundr |
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#1 Posted: 6/15/2012 2:36:36 AM Odds of hitting...
25 Straight: 33,554,432 to 1
21 Straight: 2,097,152 to 1
17 Straight: 131,072 to 1
13 Straight: 8,192 to 1
9 Straight: 512 to 1 |
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Unstoppable Force |
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#2 Posted: 6/15/2012 12:46:07 PM |
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ovrundr |
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#3 Posted: 6/15/2012 3:38:36 PM |
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RF1 |
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#4 Posted: 6/15/2012 10:22:19 PM |
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MRJLX |
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#5 Posted: 6/15/2012 10:31:00 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Unstoppable Force:
How were these calculated?
all it is the odds of flipping a coin so many times. 2 to 25th power... there was a thread like this earlier. still comes down to luck.  |
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Unstoppable Force |
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#6 Posted: 6/16/2012 10:32:01 AM  |
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crushalot22 |
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#7 Posted: 6/17/2012 4:08:51 PM What are the odds of 1 of 4 at 17 hitting 21 in a row?
And the way I look at it, the leaders are starting now. 4 winners in a row is all that is needed to get that money. A streak of 4. What are the odds of 1 out of 4 hitting 4 in a row?
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ovrundr |
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#8 Posted: 6/19/2012 11:40:44 PM What are the odds of 1 of 4 at 17 hitting 21 in a row?
And the way I look at it, the leaders are starting now. 4 winners in a row is all that is needed to get that money. A streak of 4. What are the odds of 1 out of 4 hitting 4 in a row?
The odds of hitting 4 in a row would be 16 to 1. The formulas for these are simple. For 4 in a row, it's 2 to the 4th power, or 2x2x2x2=16. 5 in a row would be 2 to the 5th power, and so on and so on. |
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crushalot22 |
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#9 Posted: 6/20/2012 12:00:49 AM |
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crushalot22 |
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#10 Posted: 6/20/2012 12:01:52 AM |
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thewhitesmith |
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#11 Posted: 6/20/2012 10:23:40 AM
if you're picking a -130 favorite every time your numbers go right out the window... |
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ovrundr |
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#12 Posted: 6/20/2012 10:03:21 PM
if you're picking a -130 favorite every time your numbers go right out the window...
The 50/50 prop you're talking about is based on a STRAIGHT UP win/lose outcome. It's just an understanding of basic odds and probability. That's why I don't bet football parlay cards. On a 5 team parlay, the card pay out 20 to 1, when the true odds of hitting is actually 32 to 1. That means that the house has a 37.5% ADVANTAGE over the player. The football analogy was just an example of what the concept of "true odds" really are. There are so many different variables when picking a side, both positive and negative, that they'll virtually cancel each other out, so this is pretty much the standard way that the odds are figured out. |
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