| Author: |
[Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012 |
|
PLAYAAAA1969 |
 View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 4308
Location: New York |
#1076 Posted: 5/2/2012 3:04:07 PM 
1) System is proven. 
2) If you are complaining already,,You are not managing your bankroll properly. 
3) If you cant handle the system parameters, then this system is not for you...I suggest you move on...
4) B2W, Irage and all contributors ,,keep up the good dedicated work..
|
|
quote |
|
glefkb01 |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2019
Location: Michigan |
#1077 Posted: 5/2/2012 3:06:17 PM
Let's leave the filters to B2W and Irage
Mets already down 5-0 in the 3rd. I have seen some crazy comebacks but the METs aren't looking good....need to get that pitcher outta there. |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
Air1 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 874
Location: United States |
#1078 Posted: 5/2/2012 3:15:42 PM
|
|
quote |
|
bettor2win |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 2141
Location: California |
#1079 Posted: 5/2/2012 3:18:51 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
neilsy25 |
RSI |
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 706
Location: |
#1080 Posted: 5/2/2012 3:26:57 PM
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
cytdemasi08 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 88
Location: |
#1081 Posted: 5/2/2012 3:45:04 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
DegenGamble |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 833
Location: New Jersey |
#1082 Posted: 5/2/2012 4:11:22 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by cytdemasi08:
Not complanning. Correct me if im wrong b2w just saying that the teams we are trying to bet on (good teams beating bad teams) would not be teams that do not fit the Rpi filter after two losses in the series. Right? I think in the First two months we would need to watch out for that.
That's a good point - I wonder what 1 or 2 losses does to a teams RPI. I think someone mentioned they have the formula to calculate RPI - does someone mind sharing that?
The reason being maybe one of the filters could incorporate a cushion of 1 or 2 losses in the RPI difference.
Here is an example - and i'm just making up numbers
NYM (RPI .550) at HOU (RPI .490) - so an RPI difference of 60. This would be a play per the RPI filter. but let's say if the NYM lose the first game - their RPI would drop to ,530 and HOU would go up to .500 - now the difference is only 30.
Maybe it's a filter we can use in the first month of baseball - or throughout the season if it makes sense.
All we would need is how RPI is calculated to figure out how it impacts teams current RPI.
Just a thought.....
|
|
quote |
|
Fevernova |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 41
Location: |
#1083 Posted: 5/2/2012 4:15:25 PM
Its ok the system should be able to recover from a few losses. And it couldve been worse, at least the lines werent super juiced, imagine if it was the DET v SEA series last week, we wouldve lost 2-3 times more.
|
|
quote |
|
The__Man |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Banned
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 386
Location: |
#1084 Posted: 5/2/2012 4:38:00 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Fevernova:
First year following this system, its just bad luck the Mets will likely lose this chase series. Astros were projected to have 60 wins and they will get 1/20th of it off our bets :D I highly doubt anyone would've thought the Astros would take all 3, but its just the randomness that comes in betting on sports.
Its ok the system should be able to recover from a few losses. And it couldve been worse, at least the lines werent super juiced, imagine if it was the DET v SEA series last week, we wouldve lost 2-3 times more.
You don't have to remind me. 
|
|
quote |
|
bennysparky13 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 104
Location: New York |
#1085 Posted: 5/2/2012 5:23:02 PM |
|
quote |
|
glefkb01 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2019
Location: Michigan |
#1086 Posted: 5/2/2012 5:26:08 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
irage |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 3762
Location: Utah |
#1087 Posted: 5/2/2012 5:54:55 PM B2W and I had an offline conversation about the currect state of MLB teams in relation to the RPI. We was concerned that bad teams were beating good teams and we discussed the decision to postpone another week. We ultimate decided to move forward because looked like they were lining up.
While this system isn't perfect its still pretty damn good. I fully expect next week to be the complete opposite. This is gambling and there are no sure things.
We are betting these games too, so don't think we for a second we aren't eating our own dog food.
Feel free to vent your frustration, you have every right, but I caution you to from jumping on the HATE train because of one bad series. Lest we forget that Texas and Dodgers both won and I fully expect San Fran to pull through tonight.
Look at it this way, the C game loss is out of the way early and now we don't have to worry about it.
We have a great collection of guys in here, lets stay focused on finding the winners. |
|
quote |
|
wm69 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 3
Location: |
#1088 Posted: 5/2/2012 6:17:27 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
joelifer |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 47
Location: Texas |
#1089 Posted: 5/2/2012 6:31:57 PM
|
|
quote |
|
glefkb01 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2019
Location: Michigan |
#1090 Posted: 5/2/2012 6:40:58 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
glefkb01 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2019
Location: Michigan |
#1091 Posted: 5/2/2012 6:40:59 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
PLAYAAAA1969 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 4308
Location: New York |
#1092 Posted: 5/2/2012 6:50:27 PM
4/30 1-2
A dodgers +124 bet $100 loss -100
A rangers -145 bet $100 win +100
A mets -113 bet $100 loss -113
Total....- $113
5/1 1-2
B dodgers +124 bet $200 win +248
B mets -113 bet $213 loss -240
A giants -148 bet $100 loss -148
sub total....- $156
total..........- $269...
5/2
C mets +125 bet $453 loss - $453
B giants -120 bet $248 pending
If Giants pull it out our total is not bad considering we lost a C game..- $ 474.00
If Giants lose - $ 1,022.....
|
|
quote |
|
cytdemasi08 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 88
Location: |
#1093 Posted: 5/2/2012 7:19:01 PM |
|
quote |
|
bettor2win |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 2141
Location: California |
#1094 Posted: 5/2/2012 8:00:12 PM OK, Let's SLOW this thread down. And please listen to what I have to say!!!
First of al I screwed up and started the system too early COMPARED to previous seasons. The MLB season started a week later this year. I always just started it in May taking into no consideration of how many games/series were played. My bad! I'll still take the hit for the NYM loss. Oh well.
Second, I recieved an email back from ESPN this morning concerning the RPI. The will NOT give out information on how EXACTLY, PRECISELY the RPI is created. Only the basics. So in other words, YOU CAN'T FIGURE IT OUT. It's called a "Trade Secret". I had been emailing them off and on for the past couple months.
Third, Once we start a series, we don't stop (at least the system doesn't, but you can). That means even if a series falls OUT of the RPI number for a play, keep going. This happens quite frequently during the season.
Fourth and final, Last year was the best year for the RPI. Hell, we may have a bunch of losses this year...IDK.. I hope not. Because the last few years has been a LOCK. Hopefully, things start going as planned and not ruin all our BR.
Thanks for listening, and oh, Let's not clog this thread anymore, including me. If you have questions PM me. If you think I missed a play, post that to the thread. Otherwise, please just read, give a  or something completely relevant to the thread.
Thanks guys!!!
|
|
quote |
|
LSU2thBone |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 178
Location: Michigan |
#1095 Posted: 5/2/2012 8:30:58 PM |
|
quote |
|
LSU2thBone |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 178
Location: Michigan |
#1096 Posted: 5/2/2012 8:34:11 PM Atlanta H vs Phi White Sox H vs Cle
White Sox won yesterday Atlanta on B today along with C Mets (Loss) and B SF |
|
quote |
|
bettor2win |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 2141
Location: California |
#1097 Posted: 5/2/2012 8:43:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by LSU2thBone: From my calculations...two series started yesterday that were not posted:
Atlanta H vs Phi
White Sox H vs Cle
White Sox won yesterday
Atlanta on B today along with C Mets (Loss) and B SF
Yes, normally. But I was off this year and started it too early as I explained earlier so I put in filters. I don't think I will have to put in filters come this weekend.
As far as the ESPN RPI, they would not comment on anything whatsoever. Not even how or if ESPN power rankings come into play. Yes, I know the basic formula, but like it says, "basic". |
|
quote |
|
LSU2thBone |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 178
Location: Michigan |
#1098 Posted: 5/2/2012 8:52:29 PM |
|
quote |
|
LSU2thBone |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 178
Location: Michigan |
#1099 Posted: 5/2/2012 8:58:06 PM |
|
quote |
|
The__Man |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Banned
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 386
Location: |
#1100 Posted: 5/2/2012 10:10:01 PM
|
|
quote |