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[CFL] Topic: CFL Week 9 |
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andarmac99 |
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#1 Posted: 8/22/2011 8:20:51 PM
Calgary pk
Strange line, I'm not sure why Calgary isn't even favored and why they aren't -3 which is what they probably should be. This line is saying on a neutral field that Montreal is the better team. I don't agree with that and I certainly don't agree that these teams are even here in Calgary.
The Stamps offense has looked like it's struggled this season but these guys are piling up the yards and have looked a whole lot better in recent weeks. Over their last 4 games the Stamps offense has put up 479, 395, 429, and 390 yards. It's only been in the last two that moving the ball so proficiently has resulted in points as the Stamps put up 32 and 45 points. Burris looks like he has his timing back as well as over those 4 games he has averaged 317 pass yards per game and has a 6-1 TD-INT ratio. Calgary's defense has been a surprise. I thought they would drop off without Browner and Anderson but they have been superb. They gave up over 500 yards and 35 points in their last game but as I said fading Saskatchewan last week I think you can throw that out the window because Calgary was up big and accumulated a ton of garbage yards/points (just look at the Riders pathetic 1 point through 3 quarters last week before garbage time again).
Montreal has the same record as Calgary but I don't think they are as good. This is just my observation but the defense looks pretty old. I think this unit will be vulnerable on the road all year and through 3 games they have surrendered an average of 372 yards and 27.3 points per game on the road, although to be fair Toronto did pile up some garbage stats. Let's also not forget Montreal's struggles anywhere West of Ontario. Over the last 4 years they are 8-14 ATS in the West and that includes 4-2 ATS as dogs of 6 points of more, so they are 6-12 ATS in the range they find themselves in for this game.
Calgary is not a whole lot different from the team that blasted Montreal 46-21 last year here in Calgary while I do think that Montreal is worse than last year. I'm not saying the score will be like that but I'm just having trouble understanding this line.
GL.
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andarmac99 |
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#2 Posted: 8/22/2011 8:23:20 PM
****Montreal is 4-12 ATS in the west in the range they find themselves in for this game.
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tommy_covers |
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#3 Posted: 8/22/2011 9:11:18 PM
I respect your write up very good work.......should be interesting |
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coldsnap55 |
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#4 Posted: 8/22/2011 9:15:40 PM I totally agree with you.
A pickem is what I predicted because at first glance most bettors think they have a sure thing in getting Montreal without giving points to a team that has only one home win so far.
Contending Western teams always seem to get up for a Montreal visit and this is only the Als second time out west..... With their last 2 wins against Toronto and a beaten up Eskies team I think Montreal is over-valued here.
Can't wait to see the Als in Winnipeg..... [ Who I still consider a Western team ] 
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SirBruce |
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#5 Posted: 8/22/2011 11:12:22 PM
good job 
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mickjam |
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#6 Posted: 8/23/2011 3:20:43 PM
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badlands |
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Legend
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#7 Posted: 8/23/2011 5:41:03 PM yes sir, we got this. its gonna be an in game party like no other 
btw you would be proud of me i took b.c +200 the other night   wally |
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canadiantruth |
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#8 Posted: 8/24/2011 12:28:06 PM Another guy who is KILLING NFL.
Great work andar.... keep it up
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44-dimes |
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#9 Posted: 8/24/2011 6:34:21 PM
I'm staying off this game but i do agree that Calgary should of been at least a 2.5 point favorite here.
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bold27 |
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#10 Posted: 8/26/2011 10:18:37 AM 
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rdrflyer |
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#11 Posted: 8/26/2011 5:13:33 PM On it as well...
GL! |
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tommy_covers |
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#12 Posted: 8/28/2011 6:57:34 AM |
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