Posted: 10/3/2011 11:33:07 PM
I like the over (70) in this game based on two huge matchups:
Tech's 9th in the nation pass offense vs. A&M's 120th ranked pass defense, and
A&M's 15th ranked rushing offense vs. Tech's 117th ranked rush defense.
Also, in their last two games (when each team has played decent competition), these teams are averaging a combined 70 points a game. However, the matchups weren't so one-sided in those games as they are in this game. With the exception of A&M scoring 29 against Oklahoma State, these teams have scored over 35 points each in every game this year. They scored 72 against each other last year, when both teams had much better defenses than they have this year.
Combined so far this year, these teams average over 1,000 yards a game on offense and give up over 800 yards a game defensively.
The weather, one of the few things in my mind that could mess up the over, is supposed to be good in Lubbock on Saturday - only a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Best of luck, everyone.